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Corbin Burnes 2025 Team Odds: Mets, Red Sox Favored For Cy Young Winner

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 

Corbin Burnes 2025 Team Odds: Mets, Red Sox Favored For Cy Young Winner

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Cy Young Award winner Corbin Burnes will be the most-coveted pitcher in MLB free-agency market this offseason. Burnes came to the Baltimore Orioles from Milwaukee for past season in a trade. He went 15-9 for the O’s while posting a 2.92 ERA in 32 games and striking out 181 batters.

As important for potential suitors is that Burnes logged 194.1 innings in 2024

Baltimore reached the postseason as an AL Wild Card before getting brushed aside 2-0 by the Royals. Burns took the loss in Game 1 despite going 8 innings while giving up just 1 run. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has put together hypothetical betting odds for what MLB team will land Burnes in free agency this offseason. See the odds below.

Corbin Burnes 2025 Team Odds

Team Odds Prob. %
New York Mets +350 22.2
Boston Red Sox +400 20.0
Chicago Cubs +450 18.2
Toronto Blue Jays +500 16.7
Baltimore Orioles +800 11.1
Texas Rangers +950 9.5
Los Angeles Dodgers +1200 7.7
Washington Nationals +1400 6.7
The Field +1400 6.7

This hypothetical MLB betting market is for entertainment purposes only and does not reflect any market that may be available on betting sites and betting apps. It remains to be seen if Burnes will be posted, but in the event he does, Thompson has zeroed in on several teams that may be interested in signing him.

Corbin Burnes 2025 Next Team Odds: Breakdown 

NY Mets +350

Buzz: The Mets are in the hunt for every free agent of note. Burnes would have been a welcomed addition to the Mets this postseason. The Amazin’s rotation ran out of gas in the NLCS, giving up 8, 10, 6, and 10 runs to the World Champs in the final 4 games of that series. 


Boston Red Sox +400

Buzz: The Red Sox rotation was shattered last season before the first game of spring training. Chris Sale was shipped to the Braves. Free-agent pick-up Lucas Giolito was lost for 2024 with an elbow injury. A fully-healthy Giolito is expected back for 2025. Burnes would give the Red Sox a solid 1-2 punch atop the rotation. And Boston has plenty of cash to “Burnes.” If John Henry wants to spend it. 


Chicago Cubs   +450           

Buzz: Like the Red Sox, Cubs ownership has deep pockets. But will ownership dip into them? The Northsiders missed the postseason in 2024, going 83-79. Both pitchers atop the Cubs rotation (Shota Imangna and Jameson Taillon) are over 30. Neither surpassed Burnes in innings pitched or strikeouts last season. The Cubs are said to have a certain type of pitcher in mind – the type that doesn’t command top dollar. That won’t work here. 


Baltimore Orioles  +800    

Buzz: The Orioles were unable to keep Burnes in the fold when he was under their control. They can’t compete financially with some of their AL East competitors (at least if the Red Sox want to spend money), never mind the Mets or Cubs. Burnes will have to take a “hometown” discount if he wants to stay in Baltimore. 


Texas Rangers +950

Buzz: The Rangers need help in the rotation and in the bullpen. Just a day after the World Series ended, Texas claimed right-handed pitcher Roansy Contreras off waivers from the Los Angeles Angels. Only 2 pitchers threw more than 160 innings last season. And only one pitcher (Nathan Eovaldi) had more double-digit wins. A 78-84 finish coming off a World Series championship in 2023 (yes, that happened) may demand a change. 


Los Angeles Dodgers +1200

Buzz: The Dodgers can’t sign everyone. Right? 


Washington Nationals +1400

Buzz: The Nationals got production from the top 4 spots in their rotation in terms of innings. Those pitchers (Jake Irvin, Patrick Corbin, MacKenzie Gore, and Mitchell Parker) all threw at least 150 innings and started at least 29 games. But their ERAs began at 3.90 and went north from there. 


The Field +1400

Buzz: Teams like the Yankees, Padres, Astros and Braves often seem to slip into these sorts of discussions. 

About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.