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NASCAR Odds, Picks & Best Bets For Brickyard 400 At Indianapolis

David Caraviello for Bookies.com

David Caraviello  | 20 mins

NASCAR Odds, Picks & Best Bets For Brickyard 400 At Indianapolis

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NASCAR heads to Indianapolis Motor Speedway this weekend for its midsummer crown jewel, and for the first time since 2020 will compete on the facility’s 2.5-mile oval track rather than its infield grand prix circuit. Brad Keselowski and Kyle Busch are the only two active full-time Cup Series drivers to have won on that 2.5-mile layout, making it very likely that we’ll have a first-time winner kissing the bricks on Sunday.

Denny Hamlin opened as NASCAR odds favorite for Sunday’s event at Indianapolis, where the Joe Gibbs Racing driver has finished top-10 in five of his last seven starts. But the hottest driver heading to the Brickyard is reigning Cup Series champion Ryan Blaney, who kicked his title defense into high gear with a victory last Sunday at Pocono Raceway—his second triumph in five weeks. Blaney has also been top-10 in five of his last six starts, over which his average finishing position is 8.3.

Indy’s oval track is a notoriously difficult layout for stock cars—drivers build up tremendous speeds in the long straights before navigating sharp, flat corners that don’t provide much grip. That’s why winners there tend to be former series champions, who have won six of the past seven NASCAR NASCAR races on the Brickyard oval. Several playoff-contending drivers like Tyler Reddick, Christopher Bell, and Ross Chastain have precious few starts on the layout, and only one hour of practice on Friday to figure it out.

Fans are flocking to the top sportsbooks for high-stakes action on the unpredictable race.

Brickyard 400 Odds

Odds via Bet365 and current as of publication. Check out our Bet365 Review

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Brickyard 400 Betting Tips

Among active drivers with more than one career start on the Indianapolis oval track, Joey Logano owns the best average finish—10.8, which includes a pair of runner-up results and a 10th-place run in the facility’s most recent NASCAR race in 2020. The two-time series champion snapped a 49-race winless skid with a victory at Nashville Superspeedway three weeks ago, and placed fifth in his most recent start this past Sunday at Pocono. Logano due to his struggles earlier in the season also presents fairly good value at +1400 to win.

Busch is the active Indianapolis win leader with two triumphs on the Brickyard oval, with those coming back-to-back in 2015 and 2016. But his Richard Childress Racing car has struggled to keep pace this season, netting just two top-fives, and finishing in the double digits in eight of his last nine entering Indianapolis. The only other full-time active driver with an Indy Oval win is Keselowski, who prevailed in 2018 with Penske Racing. His current Roush-powered car has been hit or miss, winning at Darlington in the spring but finishing outside the top 10 in four of its last six. 

Of course, all these stats about past winners come with one caveat: Jimmie Johnson, the seven-time series champ and four-time Indy winner who is competing this week in a vehicle fielded by Legacy Motor Club. That car is a long way from the one J.J. drove during his Hendrick glory days—in five previous starts this season, his best finish is 28th. Despite his glittering resume, Johnson is unlikely to be a factor Sunday at Indianapolis, as evidenced by his +40000 odds to win.

Hamlin, who has finished third three times on the Brickyard oval, heads to Indy on the heels of a runner-up result last weekend in Pocono. No. 2 odds choice Kyle Larson hasn’t raced on the Indy oval since his days with Chip Ganassi, and the current Hendrick driver limps into the Hoosier State after finishes of 13th or worse in three of his past five starts. Reddick surges into Indy after finishing top-10 in four straight and seven of his last eight, and he finished eighth in his lone Indy oval start back in 2020.

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Brickyard 400 3 Best Bets 

Ryan Blaney To Win

Odds: +750 at Bet365

Pocono and Indianapolis have similarities in their long straights, and Turn 2 at the triangular Pennsylvania layout is modeled after a corner at the Brickyard. Success at one often translates into success in another—Kevin Harvick finished second at Pocono before winning the most recent Indy oval race in 2020, and Bill Elliott swept both events in 2002. With everyone starting from scratch this week, Blaney’s strong run at Pocono last week is a very good sign, one burnished by his level of performance over the past five weeks

William Byron Top 3

Odds: +275 at Bet365

Byron’s best career finish on the Indy oval was fourth in 2019, and he’s led laps in all three of the races he’s started at the Brickyard. Above and beyond that, though, we like Byron because of his steady nature throughout much of this season—no, he’s not knocking out the wins he was earlier in 2024, but he’s still almost always in contention, as his three top-10s in his last five starts will attest. While Byron’s car may be lacking the punch to win this week, his Hendrick team is known for its ability to adapt, and a fourth-place run last Sunday in Pocono doesn’t hurt.

Tyler Reddick Top 5

Odds: +140 at Bet365

Reddick’s lone career start on the Brickyard oval came with RCR, whose cars have fallen off the map this season. Now with 23XI Racing, the outfit co-owned by Hamlin and Michael Jordan, Reddick won at Talladega in the spring to ignite a surge that’s lifted him to third in the series standings. Reddick hasn’t finished worse than sixth since mid-June, and he’s had one bad result since Memorial Day weekend. That type of sustained performance gets your attention, especially when heading to a very difficult track that demands it. 

Brickyard 400 Time, Date, and TV

When: Sunday, 2:30 p.m. EDT

Where: Indianapolis Motor Speedway

TV: NBC

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About the Author

David Caraviello for Bookies.com
David Caraviello
Veteran sports journalist David Caraviello has covered college football, college basketball, motorsports and golf, covering all three US golf majors, the Daytona 500 and SEC football.