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New England Patriots Next QB Odds: What's Next After Mac Jones?

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 5 mins

New England Patriots Next QB Odds: What's Next After Mac Jones?

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The Mac Jones Error is over in New England. 

The former Patriots QB and first-round pick was shipped to his hometown Jacksonville Jaguars in exchange for a sixth-round pick this past weekend.

The legal tampering period for teams and free-agents begins Monday at noon. 

Jones made the Pro Bowl in his rookie season before his career stalled and fell into reverse. In his three seasons in New England, Jones had 3 different offensive coordinators. And if we are to believe the rumors, Jones was never the first choice of Bill Belichick in the 2021 NFL draft. More mythology surfaced over the weekend that Belichick wanted to deal Jones before the 2023 season. 

When the new regime took over in Foxboro this offseason, it was clear that Jones was not going to be part of any plans for 2024. New Patriots quasi-GM Eliot Wolf gave Mac the knife during an early press conference when he spoke about the body language of quarterbacks was important. That was a clear reference to Jones’ multiple outbursts on the field and on the sidelines during poor performances. 

Now, it’s time for both the Patriots and Jones to move forward. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league to update his NFL futures odds as to where Evans will be playing next season. 

Patriots 2024 Starting QB Odds 

New England Patriots Next QB Odds: What's Next After Mac Jones? 1

Here is a look at the odds for which QB will take the first snap for the Patriots in the 2024-25 NFL season. 

QBOddsImplied Probability
Drake Maye+30025%
Jacoby Brissett+40020.0%
Jayden Daniels+45018.2%
Bailey Zappe+60014.3%
Justin Fields+9509.5%
Ryan Tannehill+10009.1%
Joe Flacco+15006.3%
Tom Brady+500000.2%
The Field+50016.7%

This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the Bookies.com team. It is not currently available on betting apps. Percentages will not add up to 100% most time because these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Who Will Start At QB For The Patriots In 2024?

Jones should provide a challenge and motivation for Jaguars starting QB Trevor Lawrence. Of the five QBs chosen in the first round of the 2021 draft, Lawrence may be the only one still starting with the team that selected him come Week 1 this season. The Jets have Aaron Rodgers ready to go over Zach Wilson. Trey Lance and Jones have been traded. And the Bears are likely to pick Caleb Williams with the No. 1 overall pick this season and deal Fields. 

The Patriots own the No. 3 pick in April’s NFL Draft. While the Bears are favored to pick USC’s Williams at No. 1, the second choice at QB remains more uncertain. Either Drake Maye or Jayden Daniels are likely to be chosen by the Washington Commanders. 

Reports and sentiment out of New England have the Patriots taking whoever of those QBs is available at No. 3. Maye played at North Carolina but some recent doubts have surfaced about his mobility in the NFL. Daniels won the 2023 Heisman Trophy. His stock has risen steadily since the end of last season. He boasts the LSU pedigree that includes Joe Burrow

Hopes of the Patriots perhaps making a deal with Baker Mayfield crashed over the weekend when Mayfield agreed to stay in Tampa Bay on a three-year deal that carries a $50 million guarantee and could be worth up to $115 million. That’s an indicator that the new salary cap is going to show up in some of these deals. 

If the Patriots are able to land Daniels with the No. 3 pick, he would be their starter. His price here is more a reflection of the fact that Daneils will be gone by the time that the Patriots pick, rather than his inability to take the first snap of the season as a rookie. 

Jacoby Brissett Homecoming In The Works?

New England Patriots Next QB Odds: What's Next After Mac Jones? 2

Jacoby Brissett fits with the Patriots for multiple reasons. Brissett was signed originally by New England in the third round of the 2016 draft. At that time, the Patriots had both Tom Brady and Jimmy Garoppolo in the fold at QB. He is close with new Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo.

Brissett has been both a full-time starter and backup. He’s capable of coming off the bench whenever needed. And he could buy Maye or Daniels some time as they get adjusted to the NFL. The Patriots finished 4-13 this past season. Their “Super Bowl Or Bust” expectations sailed with Brady to Tampa Bay 4 years ago. 

Brissett’s best attribute, especially given the current situation of the Patriots, is that he’ll be an anchor of support and not a disruptive force in the locker room. Whether he’s starting or working with the new rookie QB in town. 

Bailey Zappe is one of 2 quarterbacks on the Patriots roster. Zappe liked an Instagram post about the Jones trade. Zappe was given ample opportunity to succeed as a starter this past season put showed nothing to give the front office, his teammates, or fans that he’s the best choice to lead the team heading into 2024. 

The Patriots could land Fields in a deal with the Bears, but he would cost them at least their No. 2 pick this season, or possible a pair of No. 3 picks. 

Ryan Tannehill, Joe Flacco, and the field of other available veterans, would be the stop-gap, last-ditch scenario. An injury to their rookie choice in training camp, and a sub-par camp performance from the likes of Zappe or Brissett, could open the door to a Garnder Minshew, Drew Lock, or Sam Darnold.

As far as Brady goes, he’s looking to start his career at Fox this season for $37.5 million per season. Then again, the 47-year-old GOAT in Week 1 could probably start for at least 20 teams in the league. Including New England.

About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.