Super Bowl 59 Betting Guide Chiefs vs. Eagles: Odds, Predictions, Best Bets To Back



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Super Bowl 59 kicks off at 6:28 p.m. on Sunday at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The game between the AFC and NFC champions airs FOX. The Kansas City Chiefs go for their record third-straight Super Bowl win in a rematch of Super Bowl 57 against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Kansas City reached the Big Game with a 32-29 win over the Bills - and some help from Park Avenue. Patrick Mahomes was his usual masterful self.
The Philadelphia Eagles won the NFC for the second time in 4 years Sunday by crushing Washington 55-23. It was the most points ever scored by one team in a Conference championship game. The Eagles' punishing ground game and the unstoppable legs of Saquon Barkley have brought Philly back to the Super Bowl. He ran the ball for 118 yards and 3 TDs Sunday, including a 62-yard scoring romp on Philly's first offensive play.
The Eagles lost Super Bowl 57 to the Chiefs 38-35.
Major Money Backing The Chiefs' Moneyline
The first week of Super Bowl betting saw little line movement and lots of money on the Chiefs moneyline.
"The first week of Super Bowl prep has bettors loving Eagles money line. However, with our futures liability on the Chiefs factored in the book still needs the Eagles right now. Other heavily bet markets include Patrick Mahomes rushing props, the coin toss, and Saquon finding the end zone," says BetMGM's Christian Cipollini.
Here are some notable plays on The Big Game via BetMGM:
Notable Super Bowl Bets
- $800,000 on Eagles +110
- $300,000 on Chiefs -130
- $125,000 on Chiefs-Eagles under 49.5
- $25,000 on Travis Kelce +1500 to win Super Bowl MVP
- $2,000 on correct score Chiefs 27-23 Eagles +17500
- $1,500 on Dallas Goedert +10000 to win Super Bowl MVP
- $10 on Landon Dickerson +100000 to win Super Bowl MVP
- $10 on Noah Gray to score 1st TD / Kareem Hunt to score 2nd TD +17500
Super Bowl Moneyline
- Eagles moneyline is the most popular Super Bowl bet
- Majority of bets are on Eagles to win in all states but Kansas
- In Super Bowl LVII, a majority of bets were on Chiefs to beat the Eagles in all states but Philadelphia and New Jersey
The Super Bowl is the most bet-on single sporting event of the year in the U.S. More than $35 billion was expected to be bet on the NFL this season, according to the American Gaming Association. The AGA this week said $1.39 billion will be bet legally on the Super Bowl. That's in an 11.2% increase over the amount that was estimated to have been bet last year, according to Eilers & Krejcik.
The Super Bowl also offers, by far, the largest available market in terms of total wagers. Prop wagers have become increasingly popular with bettors. This season, in several weeks, prop plays equaled or surpassed the number of straight plays on the moneyline, spread, and total at multiple books.
Super Bowl 59 Odds & Best Bets To Back
Now it’s on to our Super Bowl 59 NFL picks to back on your favorite sports betting app.
Date | SB 59 Matchup | Spread Best Bet | Over/Under Best Bet | Moneyline Best Bet |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sunday, Feb. 9 | Eagles vs. Chiefs | KC -1.5 (-105) DraftKings | Chiefs ML (-120) FanDuel | Under 49.5 Points (-110)FanDuel |
Super Bowl 59 picks and odds subject to change
Buzz: We've got a Super Bowl rematch. that no one outside of KC or Phill wanted, the Chiefs (17-2, 9-10 ATS this season) vanquished the Bills - again - in the AFC Championship Game. KC aims to be the first team ever to win 3-straight Super Bowls. KC has 12 one-score wins this season. They'll get another one in this game. The Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl 57. The Eagles led that game 27-21 before the Chiefs rallied for 17 points in the 4th quarter, winning it on a 27-yard chip shot off the foot of Harrison Butker with 8 seconds to play. Mahomes threw for 3 TDs in that game against no picks. The Eagles have told anyone who plans to watch the Super Bowl - and Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo - that they will run the ball at you and through you. Spags has the smarts. But do the Chiefs have the personnel up front? Philadelphia has ridden the power of its offensive line and the speed and fury of Saquon Barkley to its second Super Bowl in 4 seasons under Nick Sirianni. The Commanders were helpless in the NFC Championship Game as Philly forced 3 crucial turnovers and ran the ball 36 times for 229 yards and 7 touchdowns. The Eagles (17-3 SU, 13-7 ATS) have just one loss since September and avenged that one Sunday. Philly was No. 2 in the NFL in scoring defense - allowing 16 PPG in the regular season. The Chiefs (14.0) were first. The under has hit in 5 of the past 7 Super Bowls, and look for it again here. Sirianni has stressed punching the ball from the opponent all season. Turnovers are critical in setting up the Eagles' offense. So keeping the ball will be crucial for the Chiefs. They did not turn over the ball in Super Bowl 57. The Bills forced the first Chiefs' first turnover on Sunday since November. In the end, here, the NFL gets what the NFL wants. So look for the close calls to continue to fall Kansas City's way. The Shield wants Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to have their 3-peat. And for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce to share a postgame kiss at midfield. Mahomes is great enough to make it happen. By the way, Andy Reid is the winningest coach in the history of both franchises. This line and total has held since it opened on Sunday.
Super Bowl Betting Audience
Last year, betting on the Big Game was split about 50/50. In addition to several hundred prop plays expected, there will be more money bet in-game this year than ever before. Both the AFC Champions and NFC Champions are in markets that allow online betting.
Super Bowl 58 was the most-watched telecast in history. The game between the Chiefs and 49ers ended with Kansas City scoring a 25-22 victory in overtime. The Chiefs won outright as 1.5-point underdogs. And the under hit on the total of 47.5, despite 9 points being scored in OT.
That game saw 123.4 million average viewers across all platforms, including CBS, Paramount+, Nickelodeon, Univision, and CBS Sports and NFL digital properties.
This year, legal online and retail sports betting on the Super Bowl is being offered in 38 states, plus Washington DC. Sports betting became legal in Missouri on January 1 but is not expected to launch until August at the earliest.
Super Bowl Betting Numbers
Winners covering has been the trend of late. The Chiefs won outright as underdogs in the past 2 Super Bowls. The winner has covered in 9 of the past 10 games and 17 of the past 20. But the underdogs have been barking throughout the 21st Century. Underdogs have covered in 14 of the past 20 Super Bowls - beginning with the Patriots 20-17 OT win over the Rams in Super Bowl 36 as 14-point underdogs.
In terms of points total, the under has been on a run of late, hitting in 5 of the past 6 games. The over has gone 29-28 in the 57 Super Bowls in which it was posted. And 12 of the past 20 Super Bowls have finished as one-score games. The team to score first has won 37 of 58 Super Bowls. The Patriots own the NFL record with the most Super Bowl appearances, a total of 11. They went 6-5 SU and 7-4 ATS in those games.
Super Bowl Betting History
Super Bowl | Year | Teams – Score – Winning Spread | Spread /OU Result |
---|---|---|---|
LVIII | 2024 | Kansas City (+2.5) 25 (OT) vs. San Francisco 22 (OT) | Underdog-Over (46.5) |
LVII | 2023 | Kansas City (+1.5) 38 vs. Philadelphia 35 | Underdog-Over (51.5) |
LVI | 2022 | L.A. Rams 23 vs. Cincinnati 20 (+4.5) | Underdog-Under (48.5) |
LV | 2021 | Tampa Bay (+3) 31 vs. Kansas City 9 | Underdog-Under (55) |
LIV | 2020 | Kansas City (-1.5) 31 vs. San Francisco 20 | Favorite-Under (53) |
LIII | 2019 | New England (-2.5) 13 vs. L.A. Rams 3 | Favorite-Under (56) |
LII | 2018 | Philadelphia (+4) 41 vs. New England 33 | Underdog-Over (49) |
LI | 2017 | New England (-3) 34 vs. Atlanta 28 (OT) | Favorite-Over (57) |
L | 2016 | Denver (+5) 24 vs. Carolina 10 | Underdog-Under (43.5) |
XLIX | 2015 | New England (Pick) 28 vs. Seattle 24 | Push-Over (47.5) |
XLVIII | 2014 | Seattle (+2.5) 43 vs. Denver 8 | Underdog-Over (47.5) |
XLVII | 2013 | Baltimore (+4.5) 34 vs. San Francisco 31 | Underdog-Over (48) |
XLVI | 2012 | N.Y. Giants (+2.5) 21 vs. New England 17 | Underdog-Under (53) |
XLV | 2011 | Green Bay (-3) 31 vs. Pittsburgh 25 | Favorite-Over (45) |
XLIV | 2010 | New Orleans (+5) 31 vs. Indianapolis 17 | Underdog-Under (57) |
XLIII | 2009 | Pittsburgh 27 vs. Arizona 23 (+7) | Underdog-Over (46) |
XLII | 2008 | N.Y. Giants (+12) 17 vs. New England 14 | Underdog-Under (55) |
XLI | 2007 | Indianapolis (-7) 29 vs. Chicago 17 | Favorite-Under (47) |
XL | 2006 | Pittsburgh (-4) 21 vs. Seattle 10 | Favorite-Under (47) |
XXXIX | 2005 | New England 24 vs. Philadelphia 21 (+7) | Underdog-Under (46.5) |
XXXVIII | 2004 | New England 32 vs. Carolina 29 (+7) | Underdog-Over (37.5) |
XXXVII | 2003 | Tampa Bay (+4) 48 vs. Oakland 21 | Underdog-Over (44) |
XXXVI | 2002 | New England (+14) 20 vs. St. Louis 17 | Underdog-Under (53) |
XXXV | 2001 | Baltimore (-3) 33 vs. N.Y. Giants 7 | Favorite-Over (33) |
XXXIV | 2000 | St. Louis (-7) 23 vs. Tennessee 16 | Push-Under (45) |
XXXIII | 1999 | Denver (-7.5) 34 vs. Atlanta 19 | Favorite-Over (52.5) |
XXXII | 1998 | Denver 31 vs. Green Bay 24 (+11) | Underdog-Over (49) |
XXXI | 1997 | Green Bay (-14) 35 vs. New England 21 | Push-Over (49) |
XXX | 1996 | Dallas 27 vs. Pittsburgh 17 (+13.5) | Underdog-Under (51) |
XXIX | 1995 | San Francisco (-18.5) 49 vs. San Diego 26 | Favorite-Over (53.5) |
XXVIII | 1994 | Dallas (-10.5) 30 vs. Buffalo 13 | Favorite-Under (50.5) |
XXVII | 1993 | Dallas (-6.5) 52 vs. Buffalo 17 | Favorite-Over (44.5) |
XXVI | 1992 | Washington (-7) 37 vs. Buffalo 24 | Favorite-Over (49) |
XXV | 1991 | N.Y. Giants (+7) 20 vs. Buffalo 19 | Underdog-Under (40.5) |
XXIV | 1990 | San Francisco (-12) 55 vs. Denver 10 | Favorite-Over (48) |
XXIII | 1989 | San Francisco 20 vs. Cincinnati 16 (+7) | Underdog-Under (48) |
XXII | 1988 | Washington (+3) 42 vs. Denver 10 | Underdog-Over (47) |
XXI | 1987 | N.Y. Giants (-9.5) 39 vs. Denver 20 | Favorite-Over (40) |
XX | 1986 | Chicago (-10) 46 vs. New England 10 | Favorite-Over (37.5) |
XIX | 1985 | San Francisco (-3.5) 38 vs. Miami 16 | Favorite-Over (53.5) |
XVIII | 1984 | L.A. Raiders (+3) 38 vs. Washington 9 | Underdog-Under (48) |
XVII | 1983 | Washington (+3) 27 vs. Miami 17 | Underdog-Over (36.5) |
XVI | 1982 | San Francisco (-1) 26 vs. Cincinnati 21 | Favorite-Under (48) |
XV | 1981 | Oakland (+3) 27 vs. Philadelphia 10 | Underdog-Under (37.5) |
XIV | 1980 | Pittsburgh (-10.5) 31 vs. L.A. Rams 19 | Favorite-Over (36) |
XIII | 1979 | Pittsburgh (-3.5) 35 vs. Dallas 31 | Favorite-Over (37) |
XII | 1978 | Dallas (-6) 27 vs. Denver 10 | Favorite-Under (39) |
XI | 1977 | Oakland (-4) 32 vs. Minnesota 14 | Favorite-Over (38) |
X | 1976 | Pittsburgh 21 vs. Dallas 17 (+7) | Underdog-Over (36) |
IX | 1975 | Pittsburgh (-3) 16 vs. Minnesota 6 | Favorite-Under (33) |
VIII | 1974 | Miami (-6.5) 24 vs. Minnesota 7 | Favorite-Under (33) |
VII | 1973 | Miami (-1) 14 vs. Washington 7 | Favorite-Under (33) |
VI | 1972 | Dallas (-6) 24 vs. Miami 3 | Favorite-Under (34) |
V | 1971 | Baltimore (-2.5) 16 vs. Dallas 13 | Favorite-Under (36) |
IV | 1970 | Kansas City (+12) 23 vs. Minnesota 7 | Underdog-Under (39) |
III | 1969 | N.Y. Jets (+18) 16 vs. Baltimore 7 | Underdog-Under (40) |
II | 1968 | Green Bay (-13.5) 33 vs. Oakland 14 | Favorite-Over (43) |
I | 1967 | Green Bay (-14) 35 vs. Kansas City 10 | Favorite-Total (NA) |

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About the Author

Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.