Supermarket Heroes 500 at Bristol Odds & Best Bets to Back

By David Caraviello

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EST

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It’s another tight turnaround for NASCAR, which competed Thursday night in a Charlotte race postponed a day by rain, and Sunday ventures to Bristol Motor Speedway for the season’s first short-track event. For NASCAR betting, it promises to be another race with the favorites at the front.

High-banked Bristol is a tough place to race, with 500 laps taking a toll on driver and vehicle alike. And it plays favorites – drivers develop a knack and tend to win there again and again, evidenced by the fact that Kyle Busch and Carl Edwards have combined to win 12 races there since 2007. The track has seen just three first-time Bristol winners in the last decade, so stick to the proven commodities –especially with no qualifying or practice.

Bettors should also keep in mind starting positions, given that 12 of the last 17 Bristol winners have started in the top 10. The top 12 for Sunday will be drawn randomly based on those same positions in owner points, so consider these three drivers to back:

NASCAR Supermarket Heroes 500 at Bristol Drivers To Back

Note: Odds current as of publication. Compare the latest NASCAR odds here.

Kyle Busch

He’s the odds favorite for a reason: At Bristol, he’s the man. Busch’s eight wins lead all active drivers, with three of those victories coming in the last five races. While there are no guarantees on a short track – indeed, before his recent run, Busch crashed out of four races in five starts – his track record combined with a top-12 starting position (his No. 18 car is 12th in owner points) make him tough to pass up at either +400 to win or +115 for a top-three at Unibet.

One note of caution: Due to his cut tire and 29th-place Charlotte finish, he’ll pit from Bristol’s backstretch, which traditionally puts drivers at a disadvantage.

Kurt Busch

Although his younger brother is the Bristol King, Kurt isn’t bad there, either. He’s won on the short track six times, most recently in 2018, and has placed ninth or better in four of his last five starts there. He’s also off to a great start in his first season with Chip Ganassi Racing, finishing seventh or better in five of his last six starts.

Kurt will start in the top 12 thanks to his standing in owner points, and like his brother brings that immense level of track knowledge that can’t be overstated without any practice. He’s intriguing at both +1400 to win and +350 for a top-three with 888sport.

Chase Elliott

The Hendrick driver is already building a promising Bristol resume, with top-10s in half of his eight career starts on the short track. He’s run fifth or better in two of his last three starts there, and is clearly on his game this season – outside of the Darlington race where he was wrecked by Kyle Busch, Elliott hasn’t run worse than seventh since February.

He’ll have a great starting position and pit spot by virtue of his strong points position and victory at Charlotte on Thursday, and presents fairly good value at +900 to win and +250 for a top-three with DraftKings.

About the Author

David Caraviello

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Veteran sports journalist David Caraviello has covered college football, college basketball, motorsports and golf, covering all three US golf majors, the Daytona 500 and SEC football.