Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

By Dan Kilbridge | | 7 mins

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2021 Odds, Predictions & Picks

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2021 Odds, Predictions & Picks

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Certain players on the PGA Tour avoid the Waste Management Phoenix Open like an interview question about politics. It’s not that they don’t like the golf course or the desert in February. They just want to stay away from the insanity that occurs with 200,000-plus liquored up party animals on the property.

Point being, the golf betting board for this tournament is stronger than ever with attendance extremely limited due to COVID protocols. Rory McIlroy is one of several big names making their TPC Scottsdale debut this week, and he opens at fourth in the latest Waste Management Open odds.

Jon Rahm is the favorite at +650, Justin Thomas is +775 and Xander Schauffele sits third at +850.

2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open Best Bets

Bet Odds
Hideki Matsuyama over Harris English -118
Bet it at DraftKings
Zalatoris, Scheffler & Fowler Make Cut +150
Bet it at BetMGM
Luke List Top-10 Finish +900
Bet it at Unibet
Louis Oosthuizen over Matthew Wolff -118
Bet it at PointsBet
Martin Laird over Ryan Moore +108
Bet it at FanDuel

Golf odds current as of publication and subject to change.

Hideki Matsuyama (-118) over Harris English

Matsuyama always tears it up in Phoenix. He has two wins, four top-10s and nothing worse than T-16 in six career starts. Some guys seem to thrive in the raucous environment and elevate their games as a result. They might not have as much success this week with no crowds.

We don’t think that’s the case with Matsuyama. It’s not that he loves the environment — he’s just used to it. The guy is a rock star in Japan with a huge throng of media on site each week just to cover him. It’s a weekly circus and he deals with more of it than anyone on tour save Tiger Woods.

His game is also looking good with seven consecutive cuts made. English was in poor form last week and missed the cut after a first-round 79. We’re taking Matsuyama on one of his favorite tracks at DraftKings.


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Will Zalatoris, Scottie Scheffler and Rickie Fowler Make the Cut (+150)

Fowler is definitely a go and seems to have the game moving in the right direction after a rough 2020. He also won here in 2019 and has made six consecutive cuts, finishing T-11 or better in four of those starts.

Zalatoris already has four top-10s in seven starts this season and was T-7 last week at Torrey Pines. We like him at any course right now. Scheffler has now missed two consecutive cuts right on the number, which isn’t all that concerning. The game has been in a good place all season and we don’t think that’s changed. Really like the value here at +150 with BetMGM.


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Luke List Top-10 Finish (+900)

List has been struggling with the short game all season, but he finally got hot on the greens with 2.607 strokes gained putting in the final round en route to a T-10 finish at Torrey Pines. Putting doesn’t matter as much at this course compared to others anyways, and the driver has been a huge asset with List ranked seventh in strokes gained off the tee this season.

We like him as a DFS play this week and think top-10 is also worth a small touch at +900 with Unibet.

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Louis Oosthuizen (-118) over Matthew Wolff

We faded Wolff last week, and he ended up withdrawing after a first-round 78 that was even uglier than it looked. His chili was running super-hot, and the frustration was pretty over the top. That continued a trend of frustrating results since his T-2 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, with nothing better than a T-40 in his last five starts.

Oosthuizen has been a beacon of consistency and finished T-29 last week, with all four rounds between 70-72. He also finished solo third in his only prior appearance at this tournament. We like Oosthuizen as a DFS play, and we love him in this matchup over Wolff at -118 with PointsBet.


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Martin Laird (+108) over Ryan Moore

The betting odds are weighted heavily toward Moore, but we like Laird here. Moore recently returned from a back injury that sidelined him for a few months, and he’s missed both cuts since. He also has three consecutive missed cuts in Phoenix.

Laird is 5 for 5 on cuts made at TPC Scottsdale, including two top-10s over the last four years. He missed the cut on the number last week but played well at the Tournament of Champions and American Express. We’re taking the underdog in this matchup with Laird +108 at FanDuel.


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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.