Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

By Adam Thompson | | 3 mins

  • URL Copied!

5 Chiefs-Broncos Prop Bets & Betting Lines to Back on TNF

5 Chiefs-Broncos Prop Bets & Betting Lines to Back on TNF
  • URL Copied!

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs have lost two in a row, while Joe Flacco and the Denver Broncos have won two straight. The AFC West rivals face off to open Week 7 on Thursday Night Football.

The Broncos have been a stellar short-week team, covering the spread in 10 of their last 12 Thursday Night Football appearances. The Chiefs have dominated the AFC West lately, on a 14-4 ATS tear. Let’s take a look at some of the best bets fans of NFL betting should consider:

Chiefs-Broncos Best Bets

GameBetPickBest Odds
Kansas City Chiefs
KC
@Denver Broncos
@DEN
Spread
Denver Broncos
DEN
Kansas City Chiefs
KC
@Denver Broncos
@DEN
Moneyline
Denver Broncos
DEN
Kansas City Chiefs
KC
@Denver Broncos
@DEN
Over/Under
Under

OTHER BETS TO BACK

All odds current as of publication but subject to change. Check out the latest Chiefs-Broncos odds here.


PICK 1: Broncos +3

It’s going to be a huge test for the Broncos defense against a motivated Mahomes. But the key to Denver’s success has been stopping the run. When the Broncos allow 100 yards rushing, they’re 1-17 since 2017. But KC averages just 82 ypg this year.


RELATED: Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Chiefs At Broncos


Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ defense got torched by Deshaun Watson and the Texans’ run game last week. It ranks 30th in stopping the run, a perfect combo of strength vs. weakness that Denver can exploit. Add in this game being in the Mile High City on a short week and the Broncos’ TNF success coupled with the Chiefs’ 0-5 ATS slide in primetime.

PICK 2: First Team to 30 Points – Neither

Keeping Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes off the field could be the key to victory for the Broncos.
Keeping Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes off the field could be the key to victory for the Broncos.

Neither side has scored more than 27 points in any Broncos game this season. In three games at Denver, the winning team has managed more than 16 points just once.

The Chiefs, of course, are a perfect team to buck that trend. The winning team has eclipsed 30 points in four out of six KC games. I think the Broncos keep this game close with a gameplan highlighted by running the ball, shortening the game and keeping Mahomes off the field. Denver’s fourth-ranked defense will get holds, at least every now and then.


CHECK OUT: Bookies.com NFL Week 7 Betting Power Rankings


PICK 3: Highest-scoring half – Second Half

The second half has featured more points than the first half in every game played at Denver this season. Denver has been a successful first-half team thanks to its defense. The odds are nearly even for a second-half boost. The Chiefs allow exactly 13.0 ppg in each half, but the Broncos’ defense has been much better early on, while their offense has led the way late.

PICK 4: Turnovers Combined – 2-3

This one is all about averages. These teams combine to commit 2.5 turnovers per game. They combine to create 2.7 takeaways per game. Getting 2-3 at a plus-price is worth a leap.

PICK 5: Travis Kelce TD – Yes

Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has just one touchdown this season, but he has been targeted an NFL-leading eight times in the red zone.
Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has just one touchdown this season, but he has been targeted an NFL-leading eight times in the red zone.

Kelce, one of the premier tight ends any way you break it down, is one of the Mahomes’ top weapons, and that’s amplified close to the goal line. Kelce ranks third among tight ends with 49 targets on the season, but he’s first with eight targets in the red zone.

He has just one TD this season but leads all TEs with 497 receiving yards. The Broncos haven’t been able to do much about Kelce in the past – he’s scored a TD in four consecutive games against Denver.

Top Betting Sites
Secure Payment MethodsTrusted Betting SitesVerified Sportsbooks
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Bookies.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Bookies.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the US's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully US licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.