CFB Week 13 Parlays: ‘Playing Favorites’ & ‘Points Galore’
Some losing bets hurt more than others. They shouldn’t, but it’s inevitable. Ohio State failing to cover a 52-point spread last week at Rutgers? That’s fine. We can live with that. Betting on this Scarlet Knights team shouldn’t even enter the thought process. They’re 3-7 against the spread this season and we’ll probably bet against them again Saturday when they host Michigan State.
Other times, you look at a final score and feel like an idiot. We were really liking last week’s three-team home underdogs parlay and got through the first two legs unscathed. Temple took care of business against Tulane and South Florida nearly beat Cincinnati as a 14-point underdog. It all came down to Georgia State +16.5 against Appalachian State. The Panthers took a 21-7 lead before it all came crashing down, with the Mountaineers running it up in a 56-27 win to cover and bust the parlay.
It’s not the blown lead so much as the realization that you let it all come down to Georgia State. Against a very good App State squad. That’s not a hill we want to die on.
So we’re changing it up this week. No cute under plays or trendy upset picks. Just good teams and overs. We like to fade the public as much as the next guy, but there are always a few popular picks that look good and cash. Might as well group them together with our Week 13 college football betting plays.
Best College Football Week 13 Parlays
|Ohio State -18.5, Iowa -15.5, Utah -22.5||+597|
|Michigan-Indiana O 53.5, Texas-Baylor O 59.5, Oregon-Arizona State O 54.5||+596|
Odds are current as of publication but subject to change
The “Playing Favorites” Parlay
Leg 1: Ohio State (-18.5) Over Penn State
Rutgers unpleasantness aside, OSU has been easy money all year at 8-2 against the spread. We like that to continue this week against a PSU team that showed its true colors at Minnesota.
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The Buckeyes aren’t just winning games. They’re destroying the competition. Their closest wins were by 24 points, against Michigan State and Florida Atlantic. And the last time a decent team showed up in Columbus, OSU pounded Wisconsin 38-7.
Leg 2: Iowa -15.5 Over Illinois
Yeah, we’re saying the Hawkeyes are a good team. They’re not fun to watch but they get the job done. Illinois has won four straight but just spent two weeks celebrating a 25-point comeback win over Michigan State to become bowl eligible. It’s great to see and we’re very happy for Lovie Smith. But this looks like a letdown game against a Hawkeyes team that should sustain drives and keep the Illini under 14 points.
Leg 3: Utah -22.5 Over Arizona
The Utes are on a tear with six straight covers and they annihilated a 21-point spot in last week’s 49-3 win over UCLA. The Wildcats defense can’t stop anyone and Utah should be able to name its score. More important, Utah has the third-best defense in the nation, giving up just 248.6 yards per game. That’s a recipe for covers, and as of now we even like Utah to beat Oregon in the Pac-12 title game and give the CFP a serious run.
The “Points Galore” Parlay
Leg 1: Michigan-Indiana Over 53.5
Michigan went into the locker room down 21-7 at halftime last month at Penn State. Whatever happened in there changed the Wolverines’ season. Their offense actually works now and they’ve scored 38 points or more in four of the past five games. The Hoosiers didn’t exactly build their brand on defense and the forecast looks good in Bloomington. This should be an easy one.
Leg 2: Texas-Baylor Over 59.5
Texas is always willing to engage in a shootout and the Bears will be anxious to get going and put that brutal Oklahoma loss behind them. Both teams average more than 440 yards of offense per game with balanced attacks. Looks like a typical Big 12 free-for-all.
Leg 3: Oregon-Arizona State Over 54.5
Betting the under in Oregon games was great in the early months, before people figured out the Ducks had a good defense. Now they’re giving up points again and clicking on offense, with the over hitting in three of their last four games. Same deal with the Sun Devils, whose defense has regressed big time after a great first month. The over has hit in four of their last five games.
This total looks too low for a pair of teams that have completely changed over the past few weeks.