UFC Paris Odds, Picks, Predictions & UFC Best Bets for Borralho vs. Imavov
travels to Accor Arena in Paris, France, this Saturday for another UFC Fight Night card. The main event features top-ranked UFC middleweights Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho, and there are 13 fights on the undercard. In the latest edition of the Bookies.com Best Bets, we will break down the headliner plus two other bouts scheduled for this excellent card.
UFC odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings Sportsbook Review.
UFC Paris Main Main Event Best Bet
Caio Borralho (-125) vs. Nassourdine Imavov (+105)
The main event of UFC Paris is a five-round middleweight bout between Caio Borralho and Nassourdine Imavov. Borralho is a -125 favorite, and he should earn the biggest win of his career in this spot, potentially getting a UFC middleweight title shot with an impressive victory.
Borralho is 32, and he is 7-0 in the UFC. The Brazilian earned a UFC contract after winning two fights on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2021, and he has looked incredible inside the Octagon since then, going a perfect 7-0 in the UFC. He is a very well-rounded fighter who came into the UFC as a grappler, but who has made rapid improvements in the striking department. On paper, Borralho has all the skills to be a UFC champion, and if he defeats Imavov in this fight in impressive fashion, then UFC may have no choice but to grant him a title shot at 185 lbs.
Imavov is 29, and he is 8-2, 1 NC in the UFC. The Frenchman has been on a roll as of late, having won his last four fights, including a knockout win over former UFC middleweight champion Israel Adesanya in his last bout. Imavov is an excellent striker who has shown many improvements in recent fights in his overall MMA game. Still, he doesn’t have the best cardio or takedown defense, and both aspects of his game figure to be tested here against Borralho.
Borralho’s striking has improved in recent years, and he also has the grappling edge in this fight, not to mention the superior cardio. While Imavov’s striking advantage and hometown edge give him some positives here, I still have to go with Borralho, who is the more well-rounded MMA fighter. Look for a competitive fight that goes the full five rounds, with Borralho winning a decision at the end of 25 minutes.
Take Borralho to win by decision and bet on him at -125.
UFC Paris Best Bet: Caio Borralho wins at -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook .
Other Paris Best Bets
Brad Tavares (-230) vs. Robert Bryczek (+190)
In middleweight action, Brad Tavares battles Robert Bryczek. Tavares is a -230 favorite, and I like him to get the win here.
Tavares is 37, and he is 16-10 in the UFC. The American has been in the UFC for over 15 years and is still fighting at a high level after all of these years. He is one of the most durable middleweights of all time, he has a well-rounded skill set, and he is highly experienced. He will likely hit a decline point sometime soon, but right now, Tavares is still a very capable fighter.
Bryczek is 35, and he is 0-1 in the UFC. The Polish fighter lost his UFC debut last year, and he has not fought since then. It wasn’t an impressive debut, and given his age, it would be surprising to see him improve since then. He did have some hype coming out of Europe before he entered the Octagon, but it feels like that hype is dead now after a poor UFC debut showing.
This should be an easy fight for Tavares, who has far more UFC experience and who is always in competitive fights, win or lose. Bryczek, meanwhile, looked terrible in his UFC debut. He has had a long layoff coming into this fight, and he should be at a disadvantage in both the cardio and durability departments.
Take Tavares to win at -230, and look for him to win by decision.
UFC Paris Best Bet: Brad Tavares wins at -230 with DraftKings Sportsbook .
Andreas Gustafsson (-120) vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov (+100)
Welterweights Andreas Gustafsson and Rinat Fakhretdinov clash on the undercard. Gustafsson is a -120 favorite, and I believe he wins this fight.
Gustafsson is 34, and he is 1-0 in the UFC. The Swede earned a UFC contract last year after winning on Dana White’s Contender Series, and he looked amazing in his promotional debut earlier this year when he beat Khaos Williams in a lopsided decision. Gustafsson has some of the best cardio and pace in the welterweight division, and he uses those traits to break his foes. He appears to be a late bloomer who is making a run in his mid-30s, and it’s been fun to watch.
Fakhretdinov is 34, and he is 5-0-1 in the UFC. The Russian looked incredible in his first three UFC fights and appeared to be a title contender, but he has struggled in his last three bouts, going 2-0-1, with both losses arguably being viewed as debatable by many. He is a strong grappler, but his wrestling hasn’t been as effective in recent fights, and his cardio is bad, too. He is indeed on a long unbeaten streak, but it feels like he has been getting lucky with the judges as of late.
Gustafsson had an incredible UFC debut earlier this year, while Fakhretdinov is falling off after a strong start to his UFC career. I can’t go against Gustafsson after seeing how impressive he was in his first UFC fight, plus I have been waiting to fade Fakhertdinov after his last fight.
It all adds up to taking Gustafsson at -120, in a fight I expect him to win by decision.
UFC Paris Best Bet: Andreas Gustafsson wins at -120 with DraftKings Sportsbook .
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