The Octagon heads back to the O2 Arena in London, England, this Saturday for UFC London: Edwards vs. Brady. The main event features a five-round welterweight clash between former UFC welterweight champion Leon Edwards and top contender Sean Brady, plus 12 fights on the undercard. We’ll break down the UFC picks for the headliner plus two of the preliminary card bouts in the latest edition of the Bookies.com Best Bets.

UFC odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings Sportsbook Review.

Sean Brady (-162) vs. Leon Edwards (+136) 

The main event of UFC London is a five-round welterweight bout between Sean Brady and Leon Edwards. Despite being a +136 underdog at top sports betting apps, I am going with Edwards to get the win. 

Brady is 32, and he is 7-1 in the UFC. The American joined the UFC in 2019 and has been a top welterweight ever since. He is known for his talented grappling skills, but he has also improved his striking to become a well-rounded fighter. Most of his opponents he has been able to get down to the mat and beat up there, and he will likely try to do the same against Edwards. Brady has striking skills as well, but the fight would be easier for him if he could get takedowns. If he can get a big win here against a former champion, a title shot could be next for Brady.

Edwards is 33, and he is 14-3, and 1 NC in the UFC. The Jamaican-born Brit is the former UFC welterweight champion, and he will be fighting at home in this fight. Historically, he has performed well when he has competed in England, going 5-1 while fighting at home in the UFC. His lone loss at home came in his last fight when he lost his belt to Belal Muhammad. In that fight, Edwards was taken down and controlled. It was an off night for Edwards, and he will need to show better takedown defense here against Brady to win this fight. Should Edwards keep it standing, though, he should be the more effective striker and have a chance to get the upset.

Brady is a great fighter, and this will be a competitive fight, but I believe that Edwards has several key advantages. He’s fought better competition, he is fighting in his home country, and he has far more experience in five-round fights. Edwards needs to keep this fight standing, but if he can keep it on the feet, he should be the more effective striker and win this fight on points. I am going with Edwards to win as a +136 underdog, and I like him to win this fight by decision.

UFC London Best Bet: Leon Edwards wins at +136 with DraftKings Sportsbook  

Carlos Ulberg (-265) vs. Jan Blachowicz (+215) 

The co-main event of UFC London features light heavyweights Carlos Ulberg and Jan Blachowicz. Ulberg is a -265 favorite, and I believe he will win this fight.

Ulberg is 34, and he is 7-1 in the UFC. The New Zealander won a UFC contract after winning on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2020 but had a misfire in his UFC when he was knocked out by Kennedy Nzechukwu. However, Ulberg has been on fire since then, winning his last seven fights in a row. He is one of the best strikers in the UFC light heavyweight division and he has shown terrific takedown defense as well. By all accounts, Ulberg could be someone who fights for the belt with another win or two, and a victory over Blachowicz would be huge for his career.

Blachowicz is 42, and he is 12-7-1 in the UFC. The Pole is the former UFC welterweight champion and remains one of the top contenders in the weight class. He is a terrific striker with big knockout power, and he also has a solid ground game. That being said, he is getting up there in age and right now is the third-oldest fighter in the UFC. He also has not fought in nearly two years due to injuries, and he now gets a much younger and very difficult opponent in Ulberg. It’s a tough fight, but one that Blachowicz needs to win to stay relevant at 205 lbs.

Ulberg has far more momentum coming into this fight with seven straight wins, he is eight years younger, and he has been fighting far more frequently than Blachowicz, who hasn’t fought in nearly two years due to injuries. Blachowicz is also among the oldest fighters in the UFC at 42, and we will fade that trend anytime we can, even for someone as talented as the Pole. Go with Ulberg to win this fight as a -265 favorite, and take him to win by decision.

UFC London Best Bet: Carlos Ulberg wins at -265 with DraftKings Sportsbook  

Gunnar Nelson (-125) vs. Kevin Holland (+105) 

Also on the main card is a welterweight bout between Gunnar Nelson and Kevin Holland. Nelson is a -125 favorite, and I like for him to win this fight by submission.

Nelson is 36, and he is 10-5 in the UFC. The Icelander joined the UFC back in 2012, and he has been a lot of fun to watch over the years as his ground game is as elite as it gets, with eight of his 10 UFC wins coming by submission. He also has good striking as well. The problem with Nelson is that he has been taking a lot of time off in recent years and hasn’t fought in over two years, coming into this fight. But when he does step into the cage, he is supremely talented, and his ground game is going to allow him to defeat many of the opponents that stand in his way.

Holland is 32, and he is 13-10, with 1 NC in the UFC. The American is a very exciting fighter who is extremely talented with both his striking and submissions, being able to finish his foes anywhere the fight goes. Unfortunately, Holland also has some big holes in his game, particularly in regards to his takedown defense, which is only 53%, and his submission defense, which historically has also been poor. He is very dangerous, and you can never take Holland lightly, but he is beatable, and smart fighters like Nelson can take advantage of those holes.

Nelson hasn’t fought in over two years, but this is a great fight for him stylistically, as he has one of the best ground games at welterweight, and Holland has one of the worst submission defenses. Nelson should be able to take Holland down easily, and on the mat, he should be able to get Holland’s neck and choke him out. Go with Nelson to win this fight as a -125 favorite, and take him to win by submission for a prop bet.

UFC London Best Bet: Gunnar Nelson wins at -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook