UFC Vegas 114 Odds, Picks, Predictions & UFC Best Bets for Emmett vs. Vallejos

Mar 9th, 2026 11:20 AM EDT

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The Octagon returns to Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, this Saturday for UFC Vegas 114: Emmett vs. Vallejos. The card features 14 fights, including a featherweight main event between Kevin Vallejos and Josh Emmett. In the latest edition of the Bookies.com best bets, we will take a closer look at the headliner plus two of the undercard bouts from a betting perspective.

Favorite	Underdog
Kevin Vallejos -550	Josh Emmett +410

UFC odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings Sportsbook Review.

UFC Vegas 114 Main Event Best Bet

Kevin Vallejos (-550) vs. Josh Emmett (+410)

The main event of UFC Vegas 114 is a five-round featherweight bout between Kevin Vallejos and Josh Emmett. Vallejos is a -550 favorite, and I fully expect him to pick up the biggest win of his UFC career to date.

Vallejos is 24, and he is 3-0 in the UFC. The Argentinian earned a UFC contract in 2024 after an impressive win on Dana White’s Contender Series. Then he had a 2025 to remember, as he went 3-0, including a knockout win over Giga Chikadze that vaulted him into the top 15 at featherweight. Vallejos is a terrific striker who throws a wide variety of different strikes. He is super young, has a strong chin, and throws an incredible volume of strikes. He has been nothing but impressive so far in the UFC, and he has all the makings of a top-10 featherweight.

Emmett is 41, and he is 10-6 in the UFC. The American debuted in the UFC a decade ago, and since then, he has been one of the best featherweights in the sport. He has huge knockout power, picking up impressive wins over the likes of Bryce Mitchell, Dan Ige, and Michael Johnson over the years. For a long time, he was one of the top fighters in his weight class. However, he is now 41 years old and really getting up there in age. He has lost four of his last five fights in a row, and now he gets another difficult matchup against a finisher in Vallejos. While Emmett will have a puncher’s chance in this fight, it’s not going to be an easy one to win.

Vallejos is one of the top up-and-coming featherweights in the UFC, while Emmett is nearing the end of his career. While this won’t be an easy fight by any means, it’s a set-up fight for Vallejos to win and break into the top 10 at 145 lbs. Look for a competitive fight for as long as it lasts, until Vallejos eventually finds the finish later in the fight. Take Vallejos to win as a -550 favorite, and look for him to win by stoppage in the later rounds of this five-round contest. Take him by knockout for a prop bet to cut down on the heavy juice from the moneyline.

UFC Vegas 114 Best Bet: Kevin Vallejos wins at -550 with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Other UFC Vegas 114 Best Bets

Charles Johnson (-205) vs. Bruno Silva (+170)

In a flyweight matchup, we have Charles Johnson taking on Bruno Silva. Johnson is a -205 favorite, and I like him to collect the victory.

Johnson is 35, and he is 7-6 in the UFC. The American debuted in the UFC in 2022, and he has been fighting the best opposition at flyweight so far, which is why his record doesn’t indicate his overall skill level. While he does have six losses, his wins include the likes of current UFC flyweight champion Joshua Van, so when Johnson is at the top of his game, he is an elite fighter. He has a ton of knockout power, is huge for the weight class, and has great cardio. He is coming off a knockout loss to Alex Perez in his last fight, but his opponent missed weight, so there is a bit of an asterisk next to that outcome. Before that loss, Johnson had won five of six fights, and I expect him to get back on track here and show everyone he’s still a top flyweight.

Silva is 35, and he is 5-4, 1 NC in the UFC. The Brazilian debuted in the UFC in 2019, and since then, he has been a good soldier at 125 lbs, earning five wins by stoppage. In his last fight, Silva snapped a two-fight losing skid when he knocked out top prospect HyunSung Park in what was a very impressive performance. There is no doubt he has serious knockout power and submission ability for a flyweight, though his cardio and chin aren’t the best. Silva is a solid fighter, but he is more of a gatekeeper type rather than a legit top-15 flyweight like Johnson.

I’m giving Johnson a pass for his fight with Perez, who missed weight. I still believe he is one of the best flyweights in the world, and I think he will bounce back with a win in this fight. Look for both Johnson and Silva to go toe-to-toe, but I expect Johnson to land a crushing knockout blow in the end. Take Johnson to win as a -205 favorite, and expect him to win the fight by knockout.

UFC Vegas 114 Best Bet: Charles Johnson wins at -205 with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Vitor Petrino (-210) vs. Steven Asplund (+185)

In a heavyweight bout, Steven Asplund takes on Vitor Petrino. Asplund is a +185 underdog, and I like him to pull off the upset.

Asplund is 27, and he is 1-0 in the UFC. The American had a 16-second knockout win on Dana White’s Contender Series last year to earn a UFC contract, and then he finished Sean Sharaf in his UFC debut in December. It was an impressive win for Asplund, who set a UFC heavyweight record with 170 significant strikes landed in the contest. Asplund is an amazing story as he was once over 500 lbs but turned his life around and is now a UFC fighter. He has incredible conditioning for a heavyweight, huge power, and a good chin, and is one of the best prospects in the weight class right now. If he beats Petrino, expect Asplund to get a top-15 opponent next.

Petrino is 28, and he is 6-2 in the UFC. The Brazilian burst onto the scene in 2023 as a light heavyweight and won his first four UFC fights, including three wins by stoppage, before he suffered back-to-back upset losses to Anthony Smith and Dustin Jacoby in 2024. After those two losses, Petrino decided to move up to heavyweight, and since then, he has gone 2-0 with two finishes over lesser opposition. While he has looked better as of late, it is still hard to trust Petrino given his past. He has a ton of power and a strong submission game, but his chin, cardio, and heart seem questionable, which makes him a difficult fighter to back with a bet.

Asplund has some of the best cardio in the heavyweight division, while Petrino’s gas tank is highly questionable. While I can see Petrino having some early success, the longer this fight goes, the more it favors Asplund. I see him taking Petrino into deep waters, drowning him, and getting a finish. Take Asplund to win at +185 and look for him to finish the fight by knockout.

UFC Vegas 114 Best Bet: Steven Asplund wins at +185 with DraftKings Sportsbook

About the Author

Adam Martin

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Adam Martin is a betting analyst and DFS betting expert for Bookies.com who has covered professional sports, with an emphasis on sports gambling, for more than a decade. He is an authority on UFC betting, while also covering the NBA, NFL, NHL, and MLB.