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UFC Vegas 64 Odds, Picks & Predictions For Rodriguez vs. Lemos

Adam Martin for Bookies.com

Adam Martin  | 10 mins

UFC Vegas 64 Odds, Picks & Predictions For Rodriguez vs. Lemos

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We’re back for another week of MMA action when UFC Vegas 64 goes down this Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card features 12 fights in total, including an important women’s strawweight bout between Marina Rodriguez and Amanda Lemos in the headliner. 

We’ll take a deeper look at the main event, plus two other undercard bouts, in this best UFC picks preview for Vegas 64.

Favorite Underdog
Marina Rodriguez | -210 Amanda Lemos | +180

Odds via DraftKings sportsbook and current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings sportsbook review.

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UFC Vegas 64 Main Event Best Bet

Marina Rodriguez (-210) vs. Amanda Lemos (+180)

The headliner of UFC Vegas 64 is a five-round women’s strawweight bout between top-10-ranked Marina Rodriguez and Amanda Lemos. Rodriguez is a -210 favorite to win, and I believe she’ll get the job done.

Rodriguez is one of the best fighters in the women’s 115lbs weight class. Even though she’s 35 years old, she is in the prime of her fighting career right now. Overall, she has an impressive 6-1-2 record since entering the UFC back in 2018, including winning her last four fights in a row. 

She’s beaten some big names during her UFC run, too, including Yan Xiaonan, Mackenzie Dern, and Tecia Torres. Her striking is some of the best in the division, she has solid takedown defense, and her conditioning is among the best in the weight class. With a win here, Rodriguez could very well get a title shot.

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Lemos is also one of the top contenders at 115lbs. She’s 6-2 overall in the UFC since joining the promotion in 2017, and she has the skills to beat anyone in the weight class. Like Rodriguez, Lemos is 35 years old, but it feels like she’s in her prime too. 

She has the knockout power in her hands to finish opponents in devastating fashion, and she also has a dangerous ground game. She doesn’t have many weaknesses, but we still need to see more from her. 

The fact this fight is set for five rounds makes it interesting as she’s never gone five rounds in the UFC. That could give her opponent Rodriguez an advantage here, and we’ll soon find that out.

Lemos is a dangerous fighter, but Rodriguez is far more well-rounded and proven in five-round fights. Give me Rodriguez -210 on UFC betting sites as a favorite to win, and I believe she’ll get the job done by decision, so take a look at that prop if you want an alternative way to play this fight.

UFC Vegas 64 Best Bet: Marina Rodriguez at -210 with DraftKings Sportsbook

UFC Vegas 64 Best Prop Bet: Marina Rodriguez wins by decision with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Other UFC Vegas 64 Best Bets

Miranda Maverick (-610) vs. Shanna Young (+460)

I previously wrote about this Miranda Maverick vs. Shanna Young fight when it was scheduled to take place back at UFC 278 in August. Unfortunately, the fight fell off at the last minute after Young was hospitalized ahead of the fight. Now that she’s healthy, the UFC has re-booked the fight. This time around, Maverick is an ever bigger favorite at -610 odds.

UFC Vegas 64 Odds, Picks & Predictions For Rodriguez vs. Lemos 1

Just 25 years of age, Maverick is one of the top young women’s flyweights on the UFC roster. She joined the promotion two years ago and since then she has a 3-2 record, though one of her decision losses was highly disputed and she could easily be 4-1 right now. 

Regardless, she is a very solid fighter who is constantly improving. She has some of the best grappling at women’s 125lbs and she is also improving her striking, which makes her a well-rounded fighter.

Young, meanwhile, is just 31 herself, but she is 1-2 in the UFC and hasn’t looked great overall. Although she did win her last fight, it felt more like her opponent gassing out rather than Young showing incredible skill. 

She is definitely tough and she has the grappling skills to beat the lowest-ranked opponents she’ll fight in the UFC. But going up against a rising contender and a great talent such as Maverick, this just feels like a terrible matchup for Young.

Give me Maverick to win this fight in dominant fashion and win as a -610 favorite on betting apps. But to extract maximum value from her in this spot, take the prop on Maverick winning inside the distance, as a finish from her seems very likely here.

UFC Vegas 64 Best Bet: Miranda Maverick wins at -610 with DraftKings Sportsbook

UFC Vegas 64 Best Prop Bet: Miranda Maverick wins inside the distance with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Johnny Munoz Jr. (-215) vs. Liudvik Sholinian (+185)

In bantamweight action, Johnny Munoz Jr. takes on Liudvik Sholinian. Munoz Jr. is a -215 betting favorite, and I believe he will win this fight.

Munoz Jr. got off to a great start in the UFC with two straight wins before getting knocked out in his last outing. Just 29 years of age, Munoz Jr. is a very talented young fighter who was showing significant improvements until running into a roadblock in his last outing. 

However, before that loss, he was showing very good grappling skills in the Octagon. His striking is also improving, but if he wants to have more success, he’ll choose to grapple.

As for Sholinian, we only saw him fight once in the UFC, losing to top prospect Jack Shore last year. The 32-year-old bantamweight is someone who is pretty well-rounded, but he doesn’t excel in any area of the game, whereas Munoz Jr. is a ground specialist. We also saw Sholinian on The Ultimate Fighter last year, and he didn’t really stand out among the fighters.

I feel like Munoz Jr. is a solid talent and he has what it takes to beat Sholinian in this fight. Give me Munoz Jr. to get his hand raised as a -215 betting favorite, and he’ll likely do so by decision.

UFC Vegas 64 Best Bet: Johnny Munoz Jr. wins at -215 with DraftKings Sportsbook

UFC Vegas 64 Best Prop Bet: Johnny Munoz Jr. wins by decision with DraftKings Sportsbook

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About the Author

Adam Martin for Bookies.com
Adam Martin
A writer based out of Toronto, Adam Martin has covered professional sports, with an emphasis on sports gambling, for more than a decade, writing for such outlets as The Toronto Star and Sportsnet. He is an expert in UFC, while also covering NHL betting and the Stanley Cup.