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Buying or Selling Betting Favorites for March Madness

Mark Fordham for Bookies.com

Mark Fordham  | 7 mins

Buying or Selling Betting Favorites for March Madness

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With Week 15 of the men’s college basketball season out of the way, edging closer to March Madness. The top of the AP Top 25 has been dominated by the same teams, with little climbs and falls over the last few weeks. Let’s now decide if you should buy or sell the chances of the favorites for March Madness when making your college basketball picks.

Houston Cougars: Buy 

Houston is the only team in the top five of the ESPN rankings to have only lost two games all season. One loss came against the current No. 1 team in the country, Alabama, and the other was a bit of an aberration against Temple. The Cougars have a favorable schedule the rest of the way and play in one of the easier conferences. A No. 1 seed in March Madness will count for a lot. Everything points towards a deep run in the tournament and would be well worth looking at when looking at the prices on college basketball betting sites.

Winning is a great habit, and Houston has won a lot of matches. The Cougars may be carrying that momentum into March Madness and no team will enjoy facing them in this sort of form. They also have a consistent performer in Marcus Sasser, who has averaged 16.4 points per game and 42.9 percent from the field. Sasser has also helped defensively with 1.7 steals per game and been a real example to his teammates with his two-way displays.  

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Baylor Bears: Sell 

Baylor comes with a big reputation but have been inconsistent all season. The Bears even lost three games on the bounce midway through the regular season but find themselves in the nation’s Top 10 as things stand. Their recent form has been much better, with nine wins from their last 10 and victories over Kansas and TCU. Their only loss in that time came against the No. 6 Texas. That defeat and the fact their schedule includes matches against four more ranked foes, suggests that they may not be a team to back on US betting apps ahead of March Madness. 

They also lack real star quality in their lineup. Keyonte George has been their most prolific scorer with 16.5 points per game. He’s been shooting at just 38.6 percent from the field. Jalen Bridges has impressed on the boards with 5.8 rebounds and 1 block per game, but Baylor can’t count on his defensive prowess to get them over the line. If the Bears get through the last five games unscathed they will be a high seed in the tournament. If they are a lower seed, it’s hard to see them go on a run, so perhaps fading them on betting sites is the way to go.

Purdue Boilermakers: Buy 

Going by recent form, it might be strange to advocate for Purdue Boilermakers, but recency bias shouldn't take away from what an outstanding season Purdue has enjoyed. The recent losses to Indiana and Northwestern were tight affairs, and it was always going to be an impossible task to keep their winning run going till March Madness. The Boilermakers have enough games to recover their form before the NCAA tournament begins, including a return matchup with Indiana. 

In Zach Edey, they’ve got one of the most formidable athletes in the nation. The center has averaged 22.2 points per game, while shooting 62.8 percent from the field. His contributions aren’t limited to offense – he has also averaged 13 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game, making him a must-have when choosing college basketball player props. 

He’s the sort of player who can swing the trajectory of a game within seconds, and March Madness is all about the big players coming to the fore. There haven’t been many players bigger than Edey this season, and it’s why you shouldn’t lose trust in Purdue when making your picks on USA sports betting sites. 

Alabama Crimson Tide: Sell 

Alabama Crimson Tide are the current No. 1 team in the nation, but that’s not going to last for long as the ranking hasn’t been updated since the defeat to Tennessee Wednesday. Alabama also lost a match to Oklahoma at the end of January to make it two defeats from its last six. The Crimson Tide are heading into March Madness looking a bit out of sorts. They are also in a conference with lots of strong teams, which is why it’s best to look elsewhere when making choices on betting apps.

Being the top seed in the conference matters little because every March Madness game is going to be like a final. Brandon Miller has averaged 18.7 points and 8.2 rebounds a game, as well as shooting 42.5 percent from three. These are impressive stats, but there are bigger game-changers in the league, and Miller isn’t in the same bracket as the likes of Edey or Drew Timme of Gonzago. Alabama is getting overrated a little, and we think that there are teams with better chances of winning big in March Madness. 

March Madness is almost at our doorsteps. February is the shortest month of the year, and it sure feels like that when NCAA games are coming thick and fast. There are so many great teams to choose from and wildness will certainly ensue next month, but we think Purdue and Houston have the best shot at coming out on top. 

About the Author

Mark Fordham for Bookies.com
Mark Fordham
Mark spent over a decade as a sports reporter and editor with Goal.com and Bleacher Report. He is now a Content Editor at Bookies.com covering all manner of sports from the Premier League and cricket to the NBA and NFL.