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Crystal Ball: Alabama Odds To Win SEC - Time To Jump On Is Now

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

Dan Kilbridge  | 5 mins

Crystal Ball: Alabama Odds To Win SEC - Time To Jump On Is Now

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It’s time to make a call on Alabama.

The Crimson Tide are currently +110 to win the SEC, down from college football odds of -160 at the start of the season. A 41-38 upset loss at Texas A&M pushed them out of the top spot to win the conference at sportsbooks, but the Tide left College Station still in control of their own destiny.

Given the matchups in a likely SEC Championship game with Georgia, and the way the Tide’s offense has improved in recent weeks, now looks like a great time to take Alabama to win the conference with five games to go in the regular season.

Alabama Odds To Win SEC

Odds: +110 at DraftKings ➜

Alabama is still ahead of the two-loss Aggies in the West division, and it holds the tiebreaker over fellow one-loss Ole Miss. Auburn is also right there at 2-1 in conference, but the Tide can surpass them on Nov. 27 with a win over the Tigers in the regular season finale – assuming the Tigers don’t lose before then. That’s not a given with Auburn coming up on games against No. 12 Ole Miss and at No. 17 Texas A&M.

The Tigers are the only ranked opponent left for the Tide – they play home games against Tennessee, LSU, New Mexico State and Arkansas before heading to Auburn. And given the way Alabama’s offense has played lately, there’s no reason to think they won’t run the table from here.

Georgia is on a similar course in the East division. The national championship sports betting favorites are all but guaranteed to make it to Atlanta for the title game with five unranked opponents left on the schedule and a two-game lead in the division.

That means when looking at college football futures odds - where Georgia is -130 and Alabama +110 to win the SEC - it’s essentially an early moneyline bet on the title game Dec. 4 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

We’ll take those odds on Alabama right now.


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Crimson Tide Offense & Defense Improving

The Tide offense continues to improve and generated 543 yards in last week’s blowout win over Mississippi State. First-year quarterback Bryce Young has proven to be accurate with good decision-making and plenty of raw talent.

Defensively, Nick Saban’s group is getting better each week. They’ve held opponents under 300 yards in three of the last four games as new contributors are starting to get comfortable. In a potential title game, Georgia’s ground attack doesn’t pose a huge threat against Alabama’s No. 8-ranked rushing defense.

Quarterback Stetson Bennett and the Bulldogs’ offense has done enough to stay unbeaten at 7-0 and should hold up fine down the stretch. But they haven’t faced a defense like this since the season-opener against Clemson, when a Georgia defensive touchdown was the difference in a 10-3 win.


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Title Game Experience

There’s also something to be said for experience in Atlanta. Alabama has been to five of the last seven SEC title games, winning all five times. That level of dominance seeps into the entire program, from the head coach down to the training staff and student managers, and everyone knows exactly what’s expected and how to handle it when the big moment arrives.

Georgia has lost four of its last five SEC Championship games, including a 35-28 loss to the Tide in 2018. Overall, the Tide have won six straight against Georgia dating back to Saban’s first year in Tuscaloosa in 2007.

We had our doubts about Alabama earlier this season, but the trajectory looks strong despite the recent upset loss. Georgia has not yet been tested by a truly strong team and we haven’t seen enough from the offense to think they can go score-for-score with Alabama.

These college football betting odds will flip in a hurry on betting apps if Georgia falters at any point, so now looks like a good time to jump on Alabama to win the SEC at +110.


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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.
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