The college football title odds shifted dramatically this week following a slew of upsets and close calls in the final week of the regular season.

Georgia is still top dog at -220, but Michigan is up to No. 2 in the rankings with +850 odds after its upset win over Ohio State in Columbus. The Buckeyes’ second loss of the year dropped them to seventh in the rankings, with a playoff spot now an extreme long shot.

Elsewhere in an unpredictable week for college football picks, Alabama nearly fell to Auburn before pulling off a four-overtime victory in the Iron Bowl. The Tide are still second on the board on top betting apps with +650 odds.

Let’s see how the rankings stack up from a college football betting perspective. Do the bookmakers agree with the committee?

Comparing CFP Title Odds to Rankings

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Michigan (+850)

The Wolverines helped send the college football odds into chaos this week, jumping from fifth to second in the rankings after the upset win in Columbus. Michigan just needs to beat Iowa in the Big Ten title game to get into the CFP, but oddsmakers still give Alabama a better chance at +650. However, those odds are drastically shorter than they were a week ago, when Michigan was sitting at +4000. The BetMGM Sportsbook has Michigan listed at this exact +800 number and new users can sign up to receive a $1,000 risk-free bet with the BetMGM bonus code.

Iowa (+10000)

Iowa now has some of the best title odds out there, listed No. 7 on the betting board with +10000 odds. That’s far higher regard than the CFP rankings, where the Hawkeyes are No. 12 behind the likes of Oregon, Michigan State and BYU. It’s all about a path to this point, and Iowa does have one. The Hawkeyes are heading to Indianapolis thanks to their comeback win at Nebraska coupled with Minnesota’s upset win over Wisconsin. If Iowa can pull off another victory as a +10.5 underdog in the Big Ten title game, that’s a strong case for a CFP spot.

Oklahoma State (+1400)

The Cowboys are fourth on the board at top sportsbooks in the US in terms of national title odds ahead of this week’s Big 12 Championship Game against Baylor. But Oklahoma State is still on the outside looking in with the CFP rankings, where the Cowboys are fifth behind Cincinnati. Even with a victory over the Bears, wins from Cincinnati, Alabama and Michigan in their title games could leave Oklahoma State out of the playoff picture.

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3 CFP Value Bets To Make Now

Alabama (+650)

The Crimson Tide are a +6.5 underdog against No. 1-ranked Georgia in the SEC title game. If Alabama wins, it’s in. And the Tide could still get the nod and sneak in at No. 4 with a close loss, depending on how the other title games shake out. That could mean an immediate rematch with the Bulldogs, and we’d trust Saban to make the proper adjustments. Either way, these are relatively long odds for a defending national champ knocking on the playoff door yet again.

Oklahoma State (+1400)

We recommended the Cowboys +5000 last week, and we still think there’s value here. Oklahoma State is a -5.5 favorite over Baylor and already took out the Bears once this season with a 24-14 home win in early October. With a win, they’ll likely get into the playoff if Cincinnati or Michigan loses its title game, or if Alabama loses by more than a touchdown in the SEC title game. And in a year where no team looks unbeatable, the Cowboys have the third-best defense in the country and could stack up well with other top contenders. The FanDuel Sportsbook has the Cowboys at +1400 and new users can sign up today to receive a $1,000 risk-free bet with the FanDuel promo code.

Cincinnati (+1600)

Cincinnati is likely one victory away from becoming the first Group of 5 team to make the College Football Playoff. The Bearcats are a -10.5 favorite over Houston and should stay in the top four with a convincing win. Again, we’re just looking for teams with the safest path to the playoff at this point in terms of value bets. Once the semifinals kick off, anything can happen. Say what you will about the competition, but Cincinnati is undefeated with the eighth-best defense in the country. And it would be fascinating to see how they stack up against a Georgia or Michigan in a playoff game.

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