Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

By Dan Kilbridge | | 16 mins

Latest College Football Playoff Rankings & CFP Title Odds

Latest College Football Playoff Rankings & CFP Title Odds

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Oregon’s Week 12 loss to Utah sent the College Football Playoff dominos tumbling, setting up a potentially chaotic scenario for CFP selection and college football title odds entering the final week of the regular season.

Cincinnati (+3500) is now in the top four and in position to become the first Group of 5 team to ever make the CFP. The Bearcats are hoping they don’t need any help, but Michigan (+4000), Notre Dame (+5000) and Oklahoma State (+5000) are right behind them and have legit paths to the playoff if a few things go their way.

With college football picks winding down, Georgia is still thriving atop the betting board with -125 odds. But we saw another shake-up with Ohio State surpassing Alabama and moving to No. 2 in the rankings. The Buckeyes also have the second-best odds at +300 and the Tide are down to +400 on betting apps.

Let’s see how the rankings stack up from a college football betting perspective. Do the bookmakers agree with the committee?

Comparing CFP Title Odds to Rankings

Rank, TeamOdds
1. Georgia -125
2. Ohio State +300
3. Alabama +400
4. Cincinnati +3500
5. Michigan +4000
6. Notre Dame +5000
7. Oklahoma State +5000
8. Baylor +20000
9. Ole Miss +20000
10. Oklahoma +5000
11. Oregon +20000
12. Michigan State +30000
13. BYU +100000
14. Wisconsin +20000
15. Texas A&M N/A

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16. Iowa +30000
17. Pittsburgh +30000
18. Wake Forest +50000
19. Utah +30000
20. North Carolina StateN/A
21. San Diego StateN/A
22. UTSA +100000
23. Clemson N/A
24. Houston N/A
25. ArkansasN/A

Odds via BetMGM current as of publication. Betting sites vary on odds, so it is always best to shop around.


Oklahoma +5000

The Sooners have caused the biggest disconnect between oddsmakers and the CFP committee since the rankings were first released. That’s still true this week, with Oklahoma ranked No. 10 while sitting seventh on the betting board at +5000 odds. The Sooners play Oklahoma State this week and would get an immediate rematch with the Cowboys in the Big 12 title game if they win.

If Oklahoma somehow pulls off back-to-back wins over Oklahoma State to finish as a one-loss conference champ, will it be enough to crack the top four? One win might be difficult enough with the Sooners a +4 underdog this week in college football odds, but the window might still open for Oklahoma.

Texas AM

Texas A&M

The Aggies are 15th in the rankings and have a win over Alabama on the resume. But oddsmakers give them a 0% chance at the CFP and don’t have Texas A&M listed on the national championship futures board. It probably wouldn’t have mattered anyway, but the loss to Ole Miss two weeks ago sunk A&M’s chances completely. Otherwise, the Aggies would still have a shot to get in the SEC title game should Auburn upset Alabama this week.


Wisconsin +20000

Sportsbooks have the Badgers two spots ahead of the CFP committee, placing them tied for ninth alongside Baylor, Oregon and Ole Miss at +20000. Wisconsin is further down at No. 14 in the rankings entering the final conference game at Minnesota.

A win would get the Badgers into the Big Ten title game to face Ohio State or Michigan, but it’s still unlikely a three-loss conference champ would get in even if Wisconsin were to pull off the upset in Indianapolis.


Oregon +20000

The Ducks plummeted out of the top four after a blowout loss to Utah. But Oregon could still get another crack at the Utes in the Pac-12 title game. Oregon is down to 11th in the CFP rankings but tied for ninth with oddsmakers in college football futures odds.

The Ducks do have arguably the biggest win of any team this season with the upset victory at Ohio State, and it would be very interesting to see how the committee would handle a two-loss conference champ like Oregon. Bottom line – the odds are long for a reason. The Ducks need to win out and get help elsewhere in order to even get back in the discussion.


Utah +30000

The Utes looked impressive in that blowout win over Oregon, and they’re currently getting more respect at sportsbooks than in the CFP rankings. Oddsmakers have Utah 11th on the board at +30000, while the Utes are sitting at No. 19 in the latest rankings. It’s tough to see a three-loss team getting in without absolute chaos in just about every other important game from here out, but they’re currently favored to win the Pac-12 at -180.


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3 CFP Value Bets To Make Now

Ohio State

Ohio State +300

The Buckeyes are one win away from the Big Ten title game and enter Ann Arbor as an 8.5-point favorite over rival Michigan. We don’t seem them having any trouble in Indianapolis against Wisconsin or Iowa. Depending on the SEC title game, they could see a team like Cincinnati or Notre Dame in the CFP semifinal.

A national championship matchup with Georgia is now the game everyone wants, with an elite Bulldogs defense taking on the Buckeyes’ high-powered offense. Recent history suggests siding with offense in those matchups is the way to go.

Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State +5000

The Cowboys still have a very legit shot at the CFP, having clinched their spot in the Big 12 title game. If they beat Oklahoma this week and Baylor beats Texas Tech, Oklahoma State would get a rematch with the Bears in the Big 12 title game. If they lose to Oklahoma or Baylor loses, the Cowboys would take on the Sooners again.

The Cowboys would definitely figure to get in as a one-loss conference champ, and for longshot bets that’s all we can ask. Just get into the top four and see what happens.

Notre Dame

Notre Dame +5000

The Irish have had a very quiet 10-1 season to this point and are now knocking on the CFP door at No. 6 in the rankings. They’ll move up at least one spot next week if Ohio State beats Michigan and could get in if Cincinnati loses in the AAC title game, or Alabama gets destroyed in the SEC title game. Crazier things have happened.

The Irish will finish 11-1 after beating Stanford this week, with the only loss to Cincinnati. The Bearcats would cry foul if they lost their title game and got jumped by the Irish, but who do we really think the committee will go with if it’s a choice between Cincinnati and Notre Dame?


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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.