Crystal Ball: Don’t Duck Oregon Pac-12 Championship Odds

We are selecting a new college football futures bet to back each week, looking for value in college football odds and jumping on lines before the big picture starts to come into focus. This week, we’re gazing into our Crystal Ball for one conference championship futures wager on the West Coast.

Oregon to Win the Pac-12

The Odds: -110 at DraftKings

There was a lot of value at betting sites on Oregon at +250 before the season started. Those odds have since dropped down to -110 in most sportsbooks, thanks in large part to the Ducks’ 35-28 win at Ohio State. That game obviously didn’t impact Oregon’s chances in its own conference, but it showed how good the Ducks can be even without two of their best defensive players.

Looking at the schedule and the rest of the Pac-12 outlook, we think now is a great time to jump on Oregon to win the conference -110 when making your college football picks. Those odds could go longer as early as next week and certainly over the next month if Oregon takes care of business.

Looking around the league, USC is already toast at 1-2 in the PAC-12 with the coaching debacle consuming the Trojans’ entire season. Washington, another preseason betting favorite, escaped its first conference game with an overtime home win over California. But the Huskies were exposed in nonconference losses to Montana and Michigan and haven’t been able to get anything going on offense.

Everyone placing those early bets on betting apps expected the Trojans and Huskies to pose the biggest threat to the Ducks back in the preseason, but they look like imposters after the first month.

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Who Can Challenge The Ducks?

Arizona State (+450) and UCLA (+450) are now second behind Oregon on the conference betting board. They play this weekend at the Rose Bowl in a game that will shake up the odds no matter the result. Oregon’s odds should improve along with it unless one of the teams looks incredible and wins in a blowout. While Arizona State might get some love at Arizona sports betting sites, we don’t see it.

Oregon State currently looks like the Ducks’ strongest competitor in the North division. But the Beavers are just a -2.5-point home favorite over Washington Saturday in another prove-it game for two of the stronger teams in conference. Oregon gets Oregon State at home this year in the annual in-state rivalry game, another reason we love the Ducks’ chances to get it done and reach the Pac-12 title game for the third consecutive season.

Assuming the Ducks are able to get back to the title game, we expect them to finish the job. The North Division has won nine of 10 championships since 2011 and the Ducks are 4-0 all-time in title games. Even a No. 5-ranked Utah team with serious College Football Playoff aspirations couldn’t get the job done, with the Ducks ruining their season in a 37-15 upset in 2019.

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Oregon’s Path To Pac-12 Championship

The Ducks still need to take care of business and cut their own grass, so to speak. That starts with a potentially tough one Saturday at Stanford – the Cardinal are coming off a home loss to UCLA and got smoked by Kansas State in the opener, but this still looks like a capable squad.

Oregon’s path also includes road games at No. 20 UCLA, Washington and Utah. The Ducks will be favored in all three matchups and should also run the table at home against California, Colorado, Washington State and Oregon State.

We also think the Ducks will have some wiggle room and can afford a loss along the way. The North Division just doesn’t look great behind them, and this was a good year for Oregon to miss Arizona State.

Oregon has looked impressive on both sides of the ball, particularly against the Buckeyes. That’s the type of win that gets every player on the team to buy in without question for the rest of the season. As soon as they left the field in Columbus, every player and coach knew one thing – it’s national championship or bust from here out.

With plenty of weapons, a favorable schedule and some weaker-than-expected teams in conference, we don’t think Oregon’s Pac-12 college football betting odds will stay like this for long. We’re pulling the trigger this week at DraftKings on the Ducks to secure the three-peat and win another conference title.

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