Luis Castillo Trade Odds: Yankees, Dodgers & Mariners Among Favorites

By Adam Thompson

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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Luis Castillo lost nearly half of the league-high 33 games he started as pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds in 2021. But he’s bounced back quite nicely this season. Now Castillo is a prime starter on the block as the MLB Trade Deadline nears.

Castillo, 29, has played with the Reds all six seasons but with little chance to contend and one extra year of team control, Cincy is reportedly looking to “sell high” on its top pitcher.

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has revealed his hypothetical MLB odds as to where Castillo is playing after the Aug. 2 trade deadline date.

Luis Castillo Next Team Odds

Team	Odds	Implied Probability
New York Yankees	+200	33.3%
Cincinnati Reds	+400	20%
Los Angeles Dodgers	+450	18.2%
Seattle Mariners	+725	12.1%
Toronto Blue Jays	+800	11.1%
Minnesota Twins	+850	10.5%
The Field	+575	14.8%

This hypothetical MLB betting market is for entertainment purposes only and does not reflect any market that may be available on betting sites and betting apps.

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Last year Castillo went 8-16 with a modest 3.98 ERA despite leading the league in both defeats and walks. This year, a different story. Castillo is only 4-4 but with a 2.86 ERA and he was named to his second All-Star Game.

He’s throwing his best ball right now, upping the value to potential suitors who could use one more arm for a postseason push. Over the last five starts, Castillo is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and would be part of nearly every team’s three-man postseason rotation.

The Yankees have made it clear they want Castillo to shore up a rotation that ranks 17th in ERA in July. Many believe adding Castillo pushes the Yankees past the Dodgers as 2022 World Series favorites in the futures market.

The Dodgers are stacked as usual, but the elbow injury to star Walker Buehler and a banged-up bullpen could force L.A.’s hand into adding another arm.

The Blue Jays’ bullpen boasts a 2.77 ERA in July but the starters are at 4.54. Castillo would slide right into the No. 3 spot and be an upgrade over Jose Berrios or Yusei Kikuchi in the rotation.

The Twins could also use help in the starter category (and bullpen) as they fight off the Guardians and the White Sox in a crowded AL Central race. Same goes for the Mariners, who need rotation help and have reportedly targeted Castillo as their top choice.

The Field has a few legitimate options: Several contenders are in dire need of starters. The Red Sox starters' ERA in July of 7.41 is by far the worst in the majors. The Cardinals and Padres are also bottom 10 and are buyers as the deadline nears.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson

More About Adam

Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.

Luis Castillo Trade Odds: Yankees, Dodgers & Mariners Among Favorites

Luis Castillo Next Team Odds

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