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Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

By Adam Thompson | | 4 mins

Juan Soto Trade Odds: Yankees, Dodgers In Play For Young Star?

Juan Soto Trade Odds: Yankees, Dodgers In Play For Young Star?
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Juan Soto is undeniably one of the premier young hitters in MLB. The Washington Nationals outfielder finished top five in NL MVP voting the last two seasons and is in the midst of his fifth pro season despite being just 23 years of age. 

He also rejected a 15-year, $440 million offer from the Nationals, which would have been the richest deal in baseball history. Washington still has Soto under control via arbitration through the 2024 season, but some analysts believe the team may be proactive and attempt to trade the transcendent star. The earlier he’s shipped, the more in return since he'll be more than just a one-year rental for his new team. 

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has revealed his MLB odds as to where Soto is playing after the 2022 trade deadline:

Juan Soto Team After Trade Deadline Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Washington Nationals+30025%
San Diego Padres+37521.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers+50016.7%
Texas Rangers+55015.4%
St. Louis Cardinals+65013.3%
Seattle Mariners+10009.1%
New York Yankees+15006.3%
The Field+70012.5%

This hypothetical MLB betting market is for entertainment purposes only and does not reflect any market that may be available on betting sites and betting apps.

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It’s déjà vu for the Nationals, who a few years ago couldn’t re-sign star Bryce Harper. They also didn’t trade him and he ended up inking a record deal with the rival Phillies. 

To avoid that total loss, there is speculation the Nats could move Soto a year early, if they feel re-signing him isn’t going to happen. Soto’s agent, the enigmatic Scott Boras, is known for getting his players into free agency. 

Who Could Trade For Juan Soto?

Only a few teams can afford to offer the type of deal Boras hopes to get Soto. Of the teams who regularly spend big to get the top players, the Padres and Dodgers are the best positioned to begin a new mega deal after 2024 and are on the lookout to improve at the deadline. 

Others that maybe could afford Soto appear less interested or unlikely to make a deal. The Yankees appear they've moved on to other targets. The Giants have just $24 million locked up past 2024, the third-least in MLB, but it appears they're not going to be buyers. The Mets would love to acquire Soto and have the means to do it, but trading to a top NL East rival is a last resort for Washington. 

It’s also possible Soto could be moved to a team that may simply want to “rent” Soto for a two-year run at a World Series. He’s earning roughly $17 million this year in arbitration and should get more next year, but it won’t be the $35 million-plus he’ll get in a new contract. 

A number of teams would toss in $50 million over two-plus seasons for Soto if they thought it could get them to a World Series. The growing Seattle Mariners, the positioned St. Louis Cardinals (Paul Goldschmidt's big contract ends the same year Soto's massive contract would begin) and the hungry Texas Rangers (they'll throw money at desired targets) could attempt to ride Solo to a trip to the Fall Classic. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been estabilshed as one of the nation's premier NFL and MLB handicappers, and his horse racing and PGA picks have produced major winners over the last 12 months.