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Juan Soto 2025 Team Odds: New York Teams Battling For All-Star Slugger

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 

Juan Soto 2025 Team Odds: New York Teams Battling For All-Star Slugger

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Juan Soto was a force for the New York Yankees in 2024, helping to guide the team to their first World Series berth in 15 years. 

He's also a free agent at season's end and will command perhaps the second-largest contract in MLB history, bigger than the one Aaron Judge just agreed to last off-season. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has surveyed the MLB landscape and updated his MLB odds as to where Soto will be playing his home games in 2025. 

Juan Soto 2025 Team Odds

Team Odds Implied Probability
New York Mets +300 25.0%
New York Yankees +350 22.2%
Toronto Blue Jays +425 19.1%
Boston Red Sox +500 16.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers +700 12.5%
Texas Rangers +1000 9.1%
Philadelphia Phillies +1000 9.1%
The Field +1500 6.3%

This hypothetical MLB betting market is for entertainment purposes only and does not reflect any market that may be available on betting sites and betting apps.

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After the 2022 season, the Washington Nationals realized they didn't have the funds to sign Soto to a long-term agreement. After he declined a reported 15-year $440 million deal, they traded him to the San Diego Padres. At the end of 2023, the Padres also realized Soto was going to be too pricey, so they traded him to the Yankees. Soto also didn't re-up with the pinstripes, deciding to play out the year before hitting the open market. 

It appears that risk is going to pay off very well. Soto, just 25 years of age, is expected to get a bigger deal than the nine-year, $360 million one the Yankees gave to Judge. 

Soto's numbers are everything a team wants. He hasn't missed more than 12 games in a season since 2019, and has led MLB at one time or another in walks, batting average, on-base percentage and OPS. This season in New York, he led the league in runs scored while hitting 41 homers with 109 RBIs and 129 walks drawn. 

Every team would drool about adding such a bat in the order. But only few will be able to realistically afford even getting a conversation with Soto's super agent Scott Boras. 

Who Can Trade For Juan Soto?

There are five clear-cut contenders, all of which have made offers north of $600 million

First, we can start with the New York Yankees, who finally got back to the World Series after an epically long drought by Yankees standards. The Yankees can bid with anyone for anyone, and certainly, Soto will take New York seriously. 

The New York Mets were supposedly going to cut back on payroll and build the old-fashioned way of building their minor league system. Instead, they had MLB's highest payroll in 2024, but it's sliced for 2025. They made the NLCS for the first time since 2015 and owner Steve Cohen is hungry for more. They tried to get Shohei last winter and failed, but it proved they'll go for it. 

Cohen is reportedly willing to offer $50 million over what the Yankees propose. Soto will have a huge decision to make. More often than not, money talks. 

The Los Angeles Dodgers plan to strongly go after Soto, too. Their 2025 salary number is currently close to $40 million lower than the Yankees, thanks to their deferred dealings with Shohei Ohtani. Adding Soto to a lineup that ranked Top 4 in average, homers, and runs scored would be a nightmare for the rest of the league. 

The Boston Red Sox aren't shying from offering a mega-deal to Soto. The proud franchise also had a winning season since 2021 and hasn't won a playoff series since 2018. Among the five contenders, the Sox have the lowest 2025 payroll number ($120 million), $89 million than the Dodgers and $73 million than the Yankees are locked into. 

Many insiders believe the Toronto Blue Jays could bring the strongest offer to get Soto out of the New York area, as they look to bounce back from a disappointing 2024 campaign. 

There is a belief that Soto prefers the East Coast, giving an edge to the Yankees and Mets, and perhaps Philadelphia Phillies among other teams. The Texas Rangers have built a team of veterans to compete in another World Series. The Phillies are reportedly planning to make a massive offer to Soto. 

Teams in the mix to compete who may go all-in lead The Field. That includes the Chicago Cubs, who have the capital to make a play but often don't use it; plus the San Diego Padres, who could push themselves back into the hunt; they nearly reached an agreement with Soto before team owner Peter Seidler passed away. 

The Field also includes the Baltimore Orioles, San Francisco Giants, St. Louis Cardinals, and Atlanta Braves

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.