By Mark Strotman | | 8 mins
NBA All-Star 3-Point Contest Odds, Best Bet & Top Long Shot
The 3-point field goal percentage around the NBA is down considerably in 2022. Consider that teams are making 34.9% of their 3-point attempts, the worst mark since the 2012 season (34.9%). Before that, only the 2004 season was worse (34.7%) over the last two decades.
Luckily for All-Star Weekend bettors and NBA betting fans, the league still managed to find eight of the absolute best sharpshooters in the league. We’ve got a diverse group of players, including four All-Stars, a center, a sixth man, a lefty, and a whopping six first-timers. There are also two Ohio natives in the group that will take part in Cleveland’s festivities.
Here’s a look at the NBA odds for this year’s contest as well as our picks to take home the title.
2022 NBA All-Star 3-Point Contest Odds
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2022 NBA All-Star 3-Point Contest Betting Analysis
There’s some serious parity in this year’s contest as far as the odds go on betting sites and betting apps. With just a small gap between Mills the favorite and Bane, McCollum, and Towns, it’s tough to say that there’s any real value to be uncovered. That leaves us to simply find a winner among this group of sharpshooters. Let’s do a quick rundown of the field:
Patty Mills’ quick trigger should serve him well in a contest like this. Luke Kennard has an equally quick stroke and he has the best 3-point field goal percentage among all contestants. Only Steph Curry, last year’s champion, has made more 3-pointers this year than Fred VanVleet.
Range is part of the competition with the Mountain Dew DEW ZONE, which makes Trae Young and Zach LaVine worthy competitors. Desmond Bane has had a rough month and yet is still shooting 41% from deep this season. CJ McCollum has played 40 games this season and tallied 4+ triples in nearly half (18) of them. And the lone big man in the group, Karl-Anthony Towns, is quietly a career 40% 3-point shooter.
2022 NBA All-Star 3-Point Contest Best Bet
As far as NBA picks go, ours is a boring one but we’re going with the favorite. Mills is tiny, has a compact shot, and a quick trigger. Stamina is a real aspect of this competition, and Mills’ ability to fire away quickly without exerting himself too much is going to be critical to his success.
It also helps that he’s flirting with 42% from deep this season. The Nets haven’t been doing too much winning lately, but Mills will buck that trend by himself with an epic showing in the 3-point contest. We’re backing him here at +450 with DraftKings.
2022 NBA All-Star 3-Point Contest Long Shot
Let’s get wild and go with Towns. He’s everything Mills isn’t—a big guy with a slow release—but he also barely jumps on his release. Stamina won’t be an issue as he shoots his triples like free throws. The two biggest players to win this contest were Dirk Nowitzki in 2006 and Kevin Love in 2012.
We think we’re due for a big man to win it, and Towns is a dead-eye sharpshooter even if he stands 6-feet-11. Roll the dice on history being made on All-Star Saturday. You can get him at +1200 on FanDuel.
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