Bookies Predict An English Winner of the Champions League

By Jamie Casey

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EST

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With four of the remaining eight teams in this season’s Champions League being Premier League sides, bookmakers have given a probability of 61.5% that this year’s winner will be an English club.

That’s reflective in Betway’s odds of 8/13 on an English team lifting the trophy, though Friday’s quarter-final draw (11am GMT) could pit them head-to-head in the last eight, which would skew the market.

It’s the first time in 10 seasons that four clubs from one country have made it to the last eight, with Manchester City and Liverpool this week joining the already-qualified Tottenham and Manchester United in the quarters.

According to stats gurus at Gracenote, the chances of all four English sides avoiding each other in Friday’s draw is just 22.9%, so we can expect more quarter-final fireworks between Premier League rivals, following Liverpool and Manchester City’s barnstorming tie at the same stage last term.

Betway’s Alan Alger said: “There was a period a few years ago when English football was in the doldrums in Europe and there was a threat of losing a spot in the Champions League.

“However, this year particularly has shown how strong English clubs are and after Liverpool’s win in Munich last night, we make it just 8/13 that an English team wins the European cup this season.

“Spain look to be England’s biggest rivals for European glory, with Barcelona always there or thereabouts and they come next at 100/30.”

Having been 125/1 outright after their 2-0 home defeat in the first leg against Paris Saint-Germain, Man Utd are the punter’s choice right now and have since been backed in to a best price of 13/1.

However, last season’s beaten finalists Liverpool have the know-how and arguably overcame the toughest test in their last 16 tie – beating fellow five-time winners Bayern Munich 3-1 in the German side’s own backyard.

Reds boss Jurgen Klopp, twice a beaten finalist with Dortmund and latterly Liverpool, will be eager to make up for past heartache, with his side just 2/1 to reach the final once again.

About the Author

Jamie Casey

More About Jamie

Jamie Casey, a sports writer with extensive experience in the sports betting industry, has contributed to such publications as RTÉ, Sky Sports, The Irish Post and Bleacher Report.

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