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Davis Cup 2019 Odds Show Spain as Surprising Favorites

Thom Cunningham for Bookies.com

Thom Cunningham  | 5 mins

Davis Cup 2019 Odds Show Spain as Surprising Favorites

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2019 Davis Cup odds are out, despite the World Group Final not taking place until late November.

Tennis betting sees Spain as the current front-runner to win at +300 while both Croatia and France, the two nations that reached the final last year, have the second-best odds at +500. The United States have the fourth-best odds to win at +700.

Davis Cup 2019 Odds

Country Odds

Spain a Surprising Favorite

Seeing Spain as the odds-on favorite is a bit surprising to say the least, considering both Croatia and France seem to have the best squads once again this season.

Perhaps oddsmakers are hopeful that Rafael Nadal gears up for his country this time around.

Nadal did play in one stage for Spain last season, but he is no lock to participate given his recent injuries this year. Spain does have a solid lineup even if Nadal doesn’t play. Pablo Carreno Busta, Roberto Bautista Agut and David Ferrer will more than likely represent their country this season.

Oddsmakers might be leaning on history as well, as Spain has won five World Cup titles since 1999 which is the most. The real issue comes in their group, as they are matched with last year’s champion Croatia.

Champions in Croatia

Seeing Spain favored and then placed in Croatia’s group is strange to say the least, as Croatia is quite formidable again this year. The big difference for Croatia will be the play of their top two players, Borna Coric and Marin Cilic. Coric has been impressive thus far, but Cilic has seen a slow start to 2019.

Russia is also in the same group as Croatia and Spain, as they have a decent shot of winning. Emerging stars Karen Khachanov, Andrey Rublev and Daniil Medvedev will be leaned on heavily for the Russian squad, as they have looked very good so far this season.

America’s Odds

The USA having the fourth-best odds is quite generous, considering male Americans outside Frances Tiafoe have struggled this season. John Isner has at least been playing well lately, including a deep run in the Miami Open.

America has Isner, Tiafoe, Steve Johnson, Ryan Harrison and Sam Querrey who will be more than likely called upon by captain Jim Courier.

The USA find themselves grouped with Italy and Canada, so getting out of the group really shouldn’t be an issue. Italy is short outside of Fabio Fognini and Andreas Seppi, while Canada’s Denis Shapovalov and Vasek Pospisil are the only real threats from the north.

The USA have been to 37 Davis Cups, have won 64 Davis Cup matches and have won it all nine times. Those are all the most totals of any nation.

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Should France Be Favored?

Despite falling short a season ago, it does seem France has the most depth of any nation competing.

France’s top players include Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Jeremy Chardy, Nicolas Mahut, Lucas Pouille, Richard Gasquet, Adrien Mannarino and Pierre-Hughes Herbert.

Most countries are lucky to have three notable players that captains can rotate through the lineup. France has seven notable players that participated in at least one match last year. France also has a pretty easy group to deal with, as Serbia and Japan probably won’t be much of a threat.

Japan would love to have Kei Nishikori playing for them, but it seems unlikely. Nishikori’s participation is up in the air, but Japan does have Taro Daniel and Yuichi Sugita who will need to step up.

Serbia is usually a solid ‘sleeper’ pick in this tournament, but Novak Djokovic is the only reason for that. If Djokovic doesn’t play for his country, Serbia will more than likely rely on Laslo Dere and Dusan Lajovic.

Long-Shot Winner?

Argentina might have the best chance to win from the ‘long shot’ selections, as they are currently favored to win with odds at +1200. Juan Martin del Potro is the obvious difference maker, as he was a big reason as to why Argentina defeated Croatia in the championship a few years ago.

In 2018, Argentina missed the World Group Final for the first time since 2002. They are back now with a ton of depth in a pretty favorable group.

Germany will be Argentina’s biggest threat, as Chile shouldn’t be much of an issue. Alexander Zverev has not been very reliable this season, but Philipp Kohlschreiber and Jan-Lennard Struff give the Germans some support if Zverev continues to struggle.

Argentina is loaded though, with plenty of talent outside del Potro if he elects to skip the Davis Cup this season. Diego Schwartzman, Guido Pella, Horacio Zeballos, Carlos Berlocq, Leonardo Mayer and Federico Delbonis are all suitable options for Argentina to roll on the court if del Potro misses any games.

About the Author

Thom Cunningham for Bookies.com
Thom Cunningham
Thom Cunningham, a former statistician for STATS, Insights and digital producer for Spectrum SportsNet, has 11 years of sports coverage experience.