David Caraviello for Bookies.com

By David Caraviello | | 6 mins

British Open 2019 Expert Picks

British Open 2019 Expert Picks

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Played on seaside links courses, the British Open is all about adapting to variables. There’s wind that can howl at any moment, weather that can change quickly from sunny to Scandinavian. Weathering those conditions is as important as managing pot bunkers and groves of heather.

It’s fun to watch, but a challenge to bet. On calm days, courses can be so benign that players in their 50s can make a charge. Comparing tee times and weather forecasts can be crucial, as is knowing who excels in inclement weather. All factors we considered in making the best British Open picks.

Brooks Koepka to win+700View all odds
Jon Rahm to win+2000View all odds
Rory McIlroy each-way +800/+200View all odds
Louis Oosthuizen to win+4000View all odds

British Open Winner Odds 2019

Brooks Koepka finished in a tie for 39th in 2018 at Carnoustie, but remains atop the British Open betting odds as a +700 favorite to win at Royal Portrush. Hard to argue, given that Koepka has four major wins and two runner-up finishes in his last nine major starts, and top-10s in two of his last three British Open appearances.

McIlroy is the No. 2 odds choice at +800, for more than just his personal history on the course. His play remains amazingly consistent: other than a missed cut at Memorial and a 21st-place result at the Masters, he’s finished ninth or better in every start this year.

Dustin Johnson is the No. 3 choice at +1000, after finishing second at both the Masters and PGA Championship.

Brooks Koepka+700
Rory McIlroy+800
Dustin Johnson+1000
Tiger Woods+1200
Justin Rose+1400
Francesco Molinari+2000
Jon Rahm+2000
Jordan Spieth+2000
Xander Schauffle+2200
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Rickie Fowler+2500
Patrick Cantlay+3300
Jason Day+3300
Adam Scott+3300
Henrik Stenson+3300
Justin Thomas+3300

Recent History of British Open

Played on a rotation of links courses throughout the United Kingdom, the British Open has evolved from a tournament dominated in turns by Scottish and American golfers to a truly international affair. Since 2008, players from six different nations have hoisted the Claret Jug, though the United States continues to produce the most winners.

Scoring in the British Open can vary wildly from one year to the next, with winners carding final results at around even-par or well into the double-digits under, depending on the weather conditions at the venue that week.

Henrik Stenson’s 20-under 264 at Royal Troon in 2016 remains the lowest score in tournament history, while Paul Lawrie’s 6-over 290 at Carnoustie in 1999 is the highest score by a winner in the event’s modern era.

British Open 2019 Expert Picks 1
Francisco Molinari won the British Open in 2018, continuing an international trend.

Recent British Open Winners

2018 Francesco Molinari (-8) +2500 Carnoustie
2017 Jordan Spieth (-12) +1200 Royal Birkdale
2016 Henrik Stenson (-20) +2500 Royal Troon
2015 Zach Johnson (-15) +8000 St. Andrews
2014 Rory McIlroy (-17) +1200 Royal Liverpool
2013 Phil Mickelson (-3) +1500 Muirfield

Keys to Betting British Open 2019

The Course is a Wild Card | The British Open returns to Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland for the first time in 68 years, so it’s a new venue to almost everyone in the field.

Even those with local knowledge like McIlroy could be challenged, given the layout has been extensively renovated, with two new finishing holes. Tops among British Open golf betting tips for 2019: look for players who are traditionally strong on links courses.

Look Out For the Bombers | Royal Portrush will measure at nearly 7,400 yards for the British Open, making it comparable in terms of length with Bethpage Black, which played at 7,459 for this year’s PGA Championship.

That event turned into a duel between two huge hitters in Koepka and Johnson, and the British Open brings a similar possibility. Also, keep an eye on the big hitters from the Euro Tour like Nicolas Colsaerts and Thomas Pieters, whom American bettors may not be as aware of.

Long Shot Winners Are Rare | While the British Open has produced some true stunners, like Lawrie winning the train wreck at Carnoustie or John Daly’s second act at St. Andrews, recent long shot victories have been relatively rare.

Over the past 14 years, according to Sports Odds History, just four winners opened with odds of greater than +4000. Three of them came consecutively: +12500 Stewart Cink in 2009, +20000 Oosthuizen in 2010, +15000 Darren Clarke in 2011.

Can Tiger Woods Win the 2019 British Open?

British Open 2019 Expert Picks 2
It has been more than a decade since Tiger Woods won the British Open.

Woods is always among the betting favorites for the British Open, and that includes 2019, where he carries the fourth-lowest odds to win at +1200.

His major championship results since his comeback triumph at the Masters, though, have been less than inspiring: a missed cut at the PGA Championship, and a 21st-place result at the U.S. Open highlighted by a Sunday 69.

Woods hasn’t won the British Open since going back-to-back in 2005-06, though three of his last five finishes in the tournament have been sixth or better. Given his inconsistency off the tee, he’s better suited to courses like Augusta with more forgiving fairways—not a characteristic of the narrow Portrush layout, according to reviews.

If the weather forecast is good, Tiger can certainly go low; Portrush’s greens are said to be very receptive and conducive to scoring, making second shots key. But if the weather is poor and he’s forced to grind, Woods might feel every ache and pain in that 43-year-old back.