March Madness Picks & Best Bets 2026 NCAA Tournament - Elite Eight (March 29)

The Road To Indianapolis continues Sunday with the remaining two tickets punched for the Final Four. We had another night of thrills Saturday, with No. 3 seed Illinois (South) and No. 1 seed Arizona (West) winning their regions.. This year, March Madness ends in April with the National Championship Game on April 6. After checking the latest college basketball odds, be sure to check our March Madness Picks & Best Bets below as the tournament continues.

Recent NCAA Tournament history has been very kind to No. 1 seeds.

In all, 17 of the past 25 and 7 of the past 8 national champions were No. 1 seeds. The most recent exception was Connecticut in 2023. Those Huskies entered the tournament as a No. 4 seed. Of course, UConn proceeded to win back-to-back national titles as Danny Hurley kept the bulk of his team intact.

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RELATED: March Madness Perfect Bracket Odds Compared To Powerball, Mega Millions

RELATED: March Madness Betting Guide 2026: NCAA Odds, Picks & Strategy


Want a bigger dog than the 2023 Huskies – in terms of seeding – to win a national title? You’ll have to go back to the 2014 UConn Huskies. Those pups were a No. 7 seed before running the table and cutting down the nets at Jerry World. Those Huskies were +9500 to win the Tournament.

Three No. 3 seeds have won the Tourname since 2000, and one No. 2 seed has won during that time.


Duke Sweet 16
Nikolas Khamenia and the No. 1 overall seeded Duke Blue Devils are back in the Elite Eight. (Imagn)

March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Game-By-Game Predictions

Here are our March Madness Picks & Best Bets for the remaining Elite Eight games and the first Final Four game. All betting lines via OddsJam.


Midwest Region - Elite Eight

Sunday - Chicago

1 Michigan vs 6 Tennessee
2:15 p.m. | CBS
Michigan -7.5
Michigan -285
Tennessee +260
O/U 145.6/146.5

Best Bet: Tennessee +7.5 (-108) (DraftKings via OddsJam). Michigan rallied in the second half to dispatch and score the cover (-10.5) over Alabama Friday. Tennessee struck Midnight on Iowa State to reach its third straight Elite Eight. The Vols stand as the only SEC entry left dancing, winning outright 72-62 as 4.5 underdogs. The Critical Battle Michigan's jumbo lineup is a problem only three teams have solved all season — Duke, Purdue, and Wisconsin. The Wolverines protect the paint relentlessly, with opposing teams making just 48.9% of their shots in the post. Michigan controls the interior for most of the game and weathers everything Rick Barnes' Vols can offer. Michigan (34-3 SU) remains underwater at 17-20 ATS. The Vols (17-18 ATS) have covered in each of their three Tournament games. Take the points here, even as Michigan moves on to the Final Four.


East Region - Elite Eight

Sunday - Washington

1 Duke vs 2 UConn
5:05 p.m. | CBS
Duke -4.5 -120 (Hard Rock Bet)
UConn +5.5 -115 (DraftKings)
Duke -205
UConn +185
O/U 133.5/134.5

Best Bet: UConn +5.5 (-115)  (DraftKings via OddsJam). A pair of March True-Blue Bloods that have helped defined college basketball going back to the last century face off for a trip to the Final Four. Everyone circled this once the bracket was set. The Huskies fought off a furious Michigan State comeback Friday night before clawing their way to a 67-63 win and over (-1.5).

Duke missed the cover (-6.5) but notched another double-digit comeback, this time against St. Johns, before winning 80-75. Caleb Foster scored 11 key points in the second half in a gutsy return from a broken foot. Duke beats you inside with solid interior shooting (57% from inside the arc) and ferocious rebounding. UConn relives on Tarris Reed Jr. inside and Alex Karaban everywhere else. Duke and UConn have met three times in the NCAA Tournament, including UConn's iconic 1999 Final Four upset of the No. 1 seeded Blue Devils. This time, it's a coin flip. In cases such as these for betting purposes, take the points (UConn +5.5) given the Huskies' recent pedigree.



Arizona Final Four
The Arizona Wildcats punched their ticker to the Final Four Saturday. (Imagn)
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First Round Scores

March 19 - Round of 64

TCU 66, Ohio State 64

Nebraska 76, Troy 47

Louisville 83, South Florida 79

Michigan 101, Howard 80

High Point 83, Wisconsin 82

Duke 71, Siena 65

Vanderbilt 78, McNeese 68

Michigan State 92, North Dakota State 67

Arkansas 97, Hawai'i 78

VCU 82, North Carolina 78

Texas 79, BYU 71

Texas A&M 63, Saint Mary's 50

Illinois 105, Penn 70

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March 20 - Round of 64

Saint Louis 102, Georgia 77

Gonzaga 73, Kennesaw State 64

Houston 78, Idaho 47

Kentucky 89, Santa Clara 84 (OT)

Texas Tech 91, Akron 71

Arizona 92, Long Island University 58

Virginia 82, Wright State 73

Iowa State 108, Tennessee State 74

Alabama 90, Hofstra 70

Utah State 86, Villanova 76

Tennessee 78, Miami (Ohio) 56

Iowa 67, Clemson 61

St. John's 79, UNI 53

Purdue 104, Queens 71

UCLA 75, UCF 71

Florida 114, Prairie View A&M 55

Kansas 68, Cal Baptist 60

Miami (Fla.) 80, Missouri 66

UConn 82, Furman 71


Second Round Scores

March 21 - Round Of 32

1 Michigan 95, 9 Saint Louis 72

3 Michigan State 77, 6 Louisville 69

1 Duke 81, 9 TCU 58

2 Houston 88, 10 Texas A&M 57

11 Texas 74, 3 Gonzaga 68

3 Illinois 76, 11 VCU 55

4 Nebraska 74, 5 Vanderbilt 72

4 Arkansas 94, 12 High Point 88

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March 22 - Round Of 32

9 Iowa 73, 1 Florida 72

2 Purdue 79, 7 Miami (Fla.) 69

2 Iowa State 82, 7 Kentucky 63

5 St. John's 67, 4 Kansas 65

6 Tennessee 79, 3 Virginia 72

4 Alabama 90, 5 Texas Tech 65

1 Arizona 78, 9 Utah State 66

2 Iowa State 82, 7 Kentucky 63

Region Semifinal Scores

Thursday - Sweet 16

1 Arizona 109, 4 Arkansas 88

3 Illinois 65, 2 Houston 55

2 Purdue 79, 11 Texas 77

9 Iowa 77, 4 Nebraska 71

Friday - Sweet 16

Duke 80, St. John's 75

Michigan 90, Alabama 77

UConn 67, Michigan State 63

Tennessee 76, Iowa State 62


Regional Final Scores

Saturday - Elite Eight

3 Illinois 71, Iowa 59

1 Arizona 79, Purdue 64


It's all about March Madness. (Imagn)

March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Schedule

Here are our key March Madness Picks & Best Bets key dates to mark on your calendar and upcoming schedule:

  • Elite Eight: Saturday - Sunday
  • Final Four: Saturday, April 4
  • National championship game: Monday, April 6
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March Madness Picks & Best Bets: What The Sportsbooks Say

Patrick Berbert, College Basketball Trader at Caesars Sportsbook, checked in with Bookies.com before the tournament night. Here's what he had to say.

On Overall Expectations For The Tournament:

We’re expecting a fairly chalky tournament this year, similar to what we saw last season. The NIL era has really widened the gap between the top programs and the rest of the field. From a betting standpoint, we’re projecting record engagement again. College basketball has been a phenomenal product all season, and the television ratings reflect that, as it was reportedly the most-watched regular season ever.

On Favorites No. 1 Seeds Duke, Michigan, Florida & Arizona,

Duke enters the tournament as the current title favorite at +295. They’ve been dealing with some injuries lately, but they’re expected to get Patrick Ngbonga back, which should give them a boost heading into the tournament. Michigan, meanwhile, cooled off a bit after its scorching start, and the injury to LJ Cason could be significant. Florida had some struggles during non-conference play, but really found its stride in SEC action. With a roster full of experienced players, they’ll be a tough out. Arizona may be the most battle-tested of the group, given the schedule they’ve played and the consistency they’ve shown all season. All four teams have earned their position near the top of the odds board.

Here's what Michael Ranftle, Senior Trader, BetMGM, had to say about his book's liabilities.

Among the favorites, UConn, Florida, and St. John's are our biggest liabilities to win the tournament. Duke and Arizona have been popular with bettors, but are the best outcomes of the title contenders for the sportsbook.

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Betting Stats: March Madness Picks & Best Bets

March Madness Title Picks & Best Bets: Major Bets Of Note

  • $100,000 to win $600,000 on Purdue to Final Four 
  • $50,000 to win $450,000 on Houston +900
  • $50,000 to win $225,000 on Arizona +450
  • $25,000 to win $225,000 on UConn +900
  • $25,000 to win $275,000 on Houston +1100
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March Madness Picks & Best Bets: All-Time Longshots To Win

Going back to the expansion of the field to 64 teams in 1985, here's a look as the longest pre=tournament odds for the NCCA winner.

oddsYEARTeamSEEDFINAL OPP.SCORE
+95002014UConnNo. 7Kentucky60-54
+35001985VillanovaNo. 8G'town66-64
+25002011UConnNo. 3Butler53-41
+20001988KentuckyNo. 6Oklahom83-79
+18001997ArizonaNo, 6Kentucky84-79 (OT)
+16002023UConnNo. 4San Diego76-59

Here's a look at some trends and history surrounding the March Madness top seeds:

  • Most times seeded No. 1: North Carolina (18)
  • All four No. 1 seeds made Final Four: Twice (2008, 2025)
  • No No. 1 seeds made Final Four: Four (1980, 2006, 2011, 2023)
  • Championship games featuring two No. 1 seeds: 11 (1982, 1983, 1999, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2015, 2017, 2021, 2024, 2025)
  • Championship game featuring no No. 1 seeds (modern era): Eight
  • Only team to beat three No. 1 seeds: Arizona (1997 - beat No. 1 Kansas in Elite Eight, No. 1 North Carolina in Final Four, No. 1 Kentucky in championship game)
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March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Best Finish By Seed

In all the No. 1 see has won 26 national championships since the NCAA Tournament expanded to its current (legitimate) 64-team field in 1985,

SEEDBEST FINISHTIMES
No. 1National Champion26
No. 2National Champion5
No. 3National Champion4
No. 4 National Champion2
No. 5Runner-up4
No. 6 National Champion1
No. 7National Champion1
No. 8 National Champion1
No. 9 Final Four2
No. 10 Final Four1
No. 11Final Four6
No. 12Elite Eight2
No. 13Sweet 163
No. 14Sweet 162
No. 15Elite Eight2
No. 16Second round2
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