NBA Finals Betting Guide Knicks Vs. Spurs: Odds, Picks & Analysis
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The New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs meet in the 2026 NBA Finals starting with Game 1 Wednesday night in the Lone Star State. The NBA-betting favored Spurs captured the West with an instant-classic seven-game series win over the defending NBA champion OKC Thunder. The Knicks, meanwhile, enjoyed a cakewalk in the East to their first NBA Finals appearance since they lost to the Spurs in 1999. Our NBA Finals Betting Guide will track all the action and offer updated odds, picks and analysis.
Oddsmakers and prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket have set the Spurs as significant favorites to win their sixth NBA title. DraftKings installed the Spurs as -205 favorites. That translates to a 67.2% chance of winning. The price is slightly lower on Kalshi, where the Spurs carry a 65% chance to win. That would translate to -186 odds at a sportsbook.
Led by 22-year-old phenom Victor Wembanyama, the Spurs will attempt to replicate they dynasty that won titles in 1999, 2003, 2005 and 2007 - in addition to 2014.
The Knicks last won a championship during President Nixon's second term. The 1973 Knicks played with five future Hall of Famers in their starting lineup - Willis Reed, Walt Frazier, Dave DeBusschere, Bill Bradley, and Earl Monroe - in addition to Phil Jackson on the bench. The 2026 Knicks lack a full starting lineup headed to the Hall of Fame. It does contain three former Villanova teammates - Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges and Josh Hart - along with Karl Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby.
NBA Finals Betting Guide: Game 1 Odds & Best Bets
New York Knicks 
San Antonio Spurs Game 1
Wednesday, June 3
Knicks at Spurs
8:30 p.m (ET), ABC
Best Bet: Knicks +5.5 (-188) at BetMGM via OddsJam
Buzz: The Knicks enter Game 1 on an epic 10-game playoff winning streak and a 10-day layoff. The Hawks, Sixers and Cavs evoke a G-League feel when stacked up against the emerging monster in the West that is the San Antonio Spurs. Victor Wembanyama may well carry the NBA on his 7-foot-4 shoulders for the next decade. The Spurs outlasted the defending champs in the Western Conference Finals. And given their collective youth, lack-of-rest won't be an issue. But the Knicks match well against the Spurs, especially with Karl Anthony Towns carrying a brutal, physical presence that Wemby hasn't faced yet in this postseason. The Knicks can handle what the Spurs have defensively, and add even more pressure on their end. The Knicks nab the cover in Game 1 and may well grab this one on the road.
NBA Finals Betting Guide - Knicks Vs. Spurs Schedule
Here's the NBA Finals Schedule:
New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Full series schedule · All games 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC
NBA Finals Betting Guide - Knicks Vs. Spurs Game 1 Odds & Picks
The Knicks and Spurs begin the NBA Finals Wednesday night at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. The game begins at 8:30 p.m. (ET) and airs on ABC.
NBA Finals Betting Guide - Knicks Vs. Spurs Matchup
What The Oddsmakers Say:
Johnny Avello, Director of Sports Operations, DraftKings:
This is one of the most exciting NBA Finals matchups we've seen in recent memory. The Knicks are back for the first time since 1999 and are playing some outstanding basketball, while the Spurs have reached this stage remarkably quickly behind one of the league's brightest young stars and a team that continues to develop at an incredible pace. Early betting action has been on the Knicks to win both Game 1 and the series, but interest has been robust across the board. Between the Knicks' long-awaited return to the Finals and the Spurs' rapid rise, along with the star power on both sides, there are no shortage of compelling storylines. We expect tremendous excitement and engagement throughout the series.
Adam Bjorn, CEO Plannatech US (owners of Prime Sportsbook & Betcris Arizona)
For Game 1, we're looking about 82% of the point-spread money is on the Knicks. On the money line, it's about 84% on the Spurs, but there's not a lot of volume compared to the spread. On the series, we've got about 68% of the money on the Spurs. Based on the prices, that's about where it should be. However, on the sharp money, about 73% of that is on the Knicks. Our overall money is heavy on the Spurs, but the sharp money is around +170 to +173 on the Knicks to win the series. So the Knicks are the sharp play, at the moment, of course.
Knicks Lineup & Roster
Spurs Lineup & Roster
The Spurs roster - surprisingly - outranks the Knicks’ in Finals appearances.
- Golden Spurs: Harrison Barnes (13 games, Golden State), Kelly Olynyk (5 games, Miami), and Luke Kornet (6 games, Boston) own 24 games of Finals experience for San Antonio
- Tested Knicks : Mikal Bridges (6 games, Phoenix) and Jordan Clarkson (2 games, Cleveland) have wisdom from eight combined Finals games.
- Youth Movement: San Antonio (25.06 years old) is the second-youngest team to reach the Finals in the shot clock era, based on average age and weighted by postseason playing time.
NBA Finals Betting Guide - Knicks Vs. Spurs How They Got Here
How The Knicks Got Here
The analytics tell the story before a word is written. New York leads all remaining playoff teams in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, assists, and defensive rating (103.5) — a four-category sweep that almost never happens simultaneously. And bettors have noticed: the Knicks are an NBA-best 11-3 ATS this postseason, covering by an average of 23.8 points per game across 11 straight wins. The path drew scrutiny — two fringe opponents, then a Cleveland team already 14 games deep — but the efficiency metrics don't discriminate by opponent quality. This team is legitimately humming.
Knicks’ path: Beat No. 6 Atlanta, 4-2; beat No. 7 Philadelphia, 4-0; beat No. 4 Cleveland, 4-0
How The Spurs Got Here
San Antonio's 62-20 regular season looked dominant on paper, but the ATS ledger told a more complicated story — 45-34-2 against the spread, with a home-favorite cover rate of just 26-20-1 (+1.1 ATS margin). The playoffs forced a recalibration. Wembanyama had to physically assert himself against Oklahoma City's size and scheme. The guards had to solve Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul-baiting without getting picked apart defensively. They went 12-6 ATS in the postseason — the best mark in the West — and closed Game 7 by 27 points, the largest elimination-game margin in franchise history. They earned this.
Spurs’ path: Beat No. 7 Portland, 4-1; beat No. 6 Minnesota, 4-2; beat No. 1 Oklahoma City, 4-3
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