Jets vs. Patriots Odds, Best Bets & Player Props For TNF NFL Week 11

By Adam Thompson Nov 13th, 2025 10:39 AM EST

New York Jets RB Breece Hall runs the ball

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AFC East rivals on opposite spots of the standings face off in the Week 11 edition of Thursday Night Football, as Drake Maye and the New England Patriots host Justin Fields and the New York Jets.

The surging Pats (8-2) have won seven in a row, covering the spread in six of those games. Then there’s the Jets, who have found life, winning two straight after dropping their first seven games. New England has beaten New York in 16 of the last 18 meetings.

Oddsmakers expect more of the same here. The latest Jets vs. Patriots NFL odds have New England at -13.5. The Over/Under for total points is at 43.

Bookies.com veteran NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – who has hit on a whopping 60.2% of his NFL picks five years running- reveals his plays for this this this Thursday rivalry showdown.

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Jets vs. Patriots Betting Predictions

Jets vs. Patriots Betting Predictions

The Jets have won two in a row. Both wins produced bizarre moments that helped vs. the Browns and Bengals, but a positive sign is that the offense scoring 39 and 27 points in those games. It’s tough to imagine the offense doing that much here vs. the Patriots.

For all its losses, the Jets have only had two games decided by more than seven points. And New England, for all its wins, has won by double figures three times. Drake Maye has played on short rest just once in his career, and the Pats managed only seven points in a blowout loss to the Chargers. Coach Mike Vrabel is just 2-6 ATS on short rest, as well. We’ll take the points with the J-E-T-S, but only as a secondary play.

Jets vs. Patriots Over/Under

Every game during the Patriots’ seven-game win streak has totaled at least 43 points. The Jets’ last two games, which have focused heavily on the run, have totaled 57 and 77 points.

The Jets may try to run the ball ad nauseum. That’s likely to backfire against the NFL’s top-ranked rush defense. Look for New England to get up early, score in the 28-32 range for the third time in four weeks, and for the Jets to chase. The line is low enough to back-door an Over.

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Jets vs. Patriots Same Game Parlay

1. Over 43 Points: New England should find success offensively, and scoring 28-plus has been their recent trend. That requires the gets to put up 13-16 points, including a meaningless backdoor score late. It’s a low line for two teams trending Over.

2. Breece Hall, Over 2.5 Receptions: Hall was a big part of the pass game in the opening five weeks, with three-plus in every game and five-plus in three of them. In the last four weeks, he has only had seven catches, but still had two games with three. New England ranks No. 1 vs. the run but allows the most receptions to RBs in the NFL. If the Jets coaches are smart, they’ll use the pass game to give Hall his best opportunity to make plays.

3. TreVeyon Henderson, Over 80.5 Rushing Yards: Henderson has earned 16 rush attempts in each of his two starts for the injured Rhamondre Stevenson. He gained 55 yards vs. the Falcons in Week 9, but 147 last week vs. the Buccaneers. Look for New England to establish Henderson vs. a Jets team that’s given up 158 and 181 rush yards the last two weeks.

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