Super Bowl 60 Prop Betting: A Deep Dive Behind The Numbers Before Kickoff

Super Bowl 60
2MF7BTK Betting odds for NFL football's Super Bowl 55 are displayed on monitors at the Circa resort and casino sports book, Wednesday, Feb. 3, 2021, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)

For many bettors, Super Bowl 60 prop betting is where the big game really comes alive. More than just the point spread or moneyline — whether you’re betting player props, game props, novelties, or oddside markets — props let you wager on thousands of in-game outcomes that have nothing to do with the final result itself.

The widespread consumption of NFL Super Bowl prop bets dates back to Super Bowl XX in 1986, when oddsmakers at Caesars Sportsbook offered a then-unusual wager at 20-1 on William “The Refrigerator” Perry to score a touchdown. By the time the "The Fridge" rolled into the end zone for the Bears in their 46-10 win over the Patriots, the price had fallen to 2-1. This week, Caesars is offering +1800 odds on a defensive player scoring an offensive touchdown in Super Bowl LX.

Thousands Of Prop Wagers Available

The last time that happened? Current Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel scored a touchdown in Super Bowl XXXIX against the Philadelphia Eagles, something he also did the year before in Super Bowl XXXVIII against the Carolina Panthers. In all, Vrabel had 11 receptions in his career. All went for touchdowns from Tom Brady.

Today, prop menus can feature thousands of bets covering everything from who scores the first touchdown to how long the national anthem lasts, to color of the Gatorade bath.

In Super Bowl LX — the matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots — this year’s prop landscape reflects the evolution of that tradition, with the best sports betting sites bringing both depth and creativity to their markets.

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Super Bowl LX
Prop Betting Trends Snapshot
Early market signals using handle %, ticket %, and MVP odds movers. (All numbers subject to change.)
📊 Handle vs Tickets
Where bigger wagers are concentrating vs. where the volume is coming from.
Handle % = money • Ticket % = bets
PlayerTicket %Handle %SignalMini Bars
Jaxon Smith-Njigba9.5%19.2% Sharp money signal (handle > tickets)
Tickets
Handle
Sam Darnold7.9%16.7% Bigger bet sizing (handle > tickets)
Tickets
Handle
Drake Maye9.1%11.4% Public volume leaning (tickets ≈ handle)
Tickets
Handle
Kenneth Walker III6.8%13.5% Skill-player value interest (handle > tickets)
Tickets
Handle
Quick read: players where handle % exceeds ticket % are often drawing larger average wager size.
🏆 Early MVP Odds Movers
A quick snapshot of the Super Bowl MVP odds ladder.
PlayerOddsMarket ReadOdds Bar
Sam Darnold+125QB favorite; consistent MVP betting support
Drake Maye+230High-volume narrative play in Super Bowl props
Jaxon Smith-Njigba+475Skill-player upside drawing sharp prop bets
Kenneth Walker III+650Non-QB MVP longshot with traction
Jason Myers (K)+1500Deep MVP prop dart (kicker value)
Note: “Odds bar” is a visual guide only (lower odds = longer bar); it’s not an implied probability scale.
🎯 Most Popular Prop Markets
Where bettors consistently engage across books in the Super Bowl prop betting menu.
🏈 Touchdown props
First TD, last TD, anytime TD, quarter/half scoring.
📦 Squares markets
Pick squares with assigned odds; high-engagement casual market.
📈 Player yards props
Receiving/rushing yardage, longest play, alt lines.
🪙 Coin toss prop
The ceremonial “first bet” of the night.
🎭 Novelty props
Anthem, kickoff touchback, first play type, etc.
🧠 Quick Read: What It Means
  • When handle % exceeds ticket %, it often signals larger average bet sizes (sometimes sharper action).
  • The Super Bowl MVP market remains QB-driven — but skill players can draw meaningful early money.
  • Touchdown props and Squares markets still drive engagement volume across sportsbooks.
Source note: Percentages and odds reflect early market snapshots and can move rapidly as Super Bowl betting handle accumulates closer to kickoff. Totals and spreads from BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars

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What Goes Into Setting The Massive Super Bowl Prop Menu

Two major books in Las Vegas and beyond, Caesars and Circa, describe building a massive and immersive Super Bowl prop menu as a race against time once the title game is set.

  • Caesars, first off, highlights its extensive offering of thousands of props across player, team, game, and novelty categories, along with continuous updates leading up to Super Bowl Sunday.
  • Circa, meanwhile, emphasizes the balance of quality over quantity, crafting around 200–300 featured props and letting betting trends throughout the season shape what makes the cut.

Across the board, both operators stress that prop bet creation demands intense coordination, deep statistics, and a blend of analytics, betting behavior, and sharp sizing based on who the teams are and how they play.

“People want more information. They’re waiting on injury reports, weather conditions, and anything else that could move a betting line. Unless someone thinks the opening spread is clearly wrong, most bettors prefer to wait as close to the game as possible.”
Circa VP Of Gaming Mike Palm On Why Bettors Wait To Wager On The Super Bowl

But the bulk of the action won't be coming in the weekend. “Even though we’ve been talking about this game for weeks, 90% of the Super Bowl betting handle still hasn’t come in yet. These days, most of the real action shows up in the final 24 hours before kickoff, starting Saturday afternoon and running right up to Sunday," Circa VP Of Gaming Mike Palm told Bookies.com.


Seattle QB Sam Darnold remains the betting favorite to win Super MVP honors. (USA TODAY)
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Super Bowl Props Q&A With Caesars & Circa

Bookies.com caught up with Joey Feazel, Head of Football at Caesars Sportsbook and Circa VP Of Gaming Mike Palm this week to talk Super Bowl props. Some questions and answers have been edited for brevity and clarity.


Super Bowl Props Q&A With Caesars Sportsbook

How does Caesars build its Super Bowl prop betting menu?

Feazel: “The Super Bowl prop betting process is a full sprint. The moment the Conference Championship Games end, our team immediately shifts into high gear to launch our expanded Super Bowl prop menu. It takes long hours, accuracy, and an all-hands effort across the trading floor.”


How are player props priced for first-time Super Bowl starters like Sam Darnold and Drake Maye?

Feazel: “Player props get easier to price every year because we evaluate them weekly. Our betting lines are built using a mix of recent performance, season-long metrics, and a detailed breakdown of the opposing defense, including tendencies, scheme, and effectiveness.”


Feazel: “Caesars Squares remain one of our most popular Super Bowl betting markets, giving players a fun and strategic way to get involved. Touchdown props are always huge — whether it’s first touchdown, last touchdown, or scoring in a specific quarter or half. And of course, the coin toss prop continues to draw major interest as the first official wager of the game.”


How deep is Caesars’ Super Bowl prop menu this year?

Feazel: “This year’s menu includes thousands of Super Bowl props across player props, team props, game props, and novelty bets, including our deepest statistical betting markets and most creative specialty offerings. We also make continuous updates right up to Super Bowl Sunday.”


What advice does Caesars give first-time Super Bowl bettors?

Feazel: “The prop betting menu is massive, so take it slow and stay in control. I recommend starting with our Specials markets, which include themed bets and long-odds props tied to events that have happened in past Super Bowls. Another good approach is betting on players you’ve followed all season and using their player props to make both offensive and defensive possessions more engaging.”

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Super Bowl Props Q&A With Circa Sportsbook

How does Circa build its Super Bowl prop menu?

Palm: “We start during the playoffs and refine things as the field gets smaller. A Super Bowl prop bet has to do two things: be interesting and create betting handle. If it’s interesting but no one’s going to bet it, we’re not going to spend time pricing the prop.”


Does Circa use AI or automation to price Super Bowl props?

Palm: “No AI betting models or bots — at least not yet. The real skill is in setting opening odds and then moving the line correctly once the action starts coming in. You’re never going to be perfect on the opener, but you don’t need to be.”


What goes into pricing Circa Squares?

Palm: “It’s mostly math-driven betting models. Game totals and point spreads matter, but certain numbers are always going to be long shots. We tweak the pricing a bit year to year, but the overall betting framework stays pretty consistent.”


Does QB experience matter in the Super Bowl?

Palm: “It’s not just about talent — it’s about handling the Super Bowl pressure. The media week, the extended halftime show, and the long wait to actually play the game. Even being there before as a backup helps you handle the big-game environment.”


What advice does Palm give to first-time Super Bowl bettors?

Palm: “Set a betting budget you’re comfortable with and treat it as sports betting entertainment. Pick a few simple wagers you can easily track and understand. And try not to make correlated bets where one win automatically means another loss.”

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