By Dan Kilbridge | | 5 mins
5 49ers Bets To Back In Super Bowl 54 From Moneyline to MVP
Here’s a good reminder that the 49ers weren’t getting a lot of respect a few months ago. San Francisco opened the season with a 31-17 win over Tampa Bay before a Week 2 game at Cincinnati.
The betting line was Bengals -1.
San Francisco rolled to a 41-17 win that technically counted as an upset, rushing for 259 yards while establishing a ground-and-pound identity that took the 49ers all the way to a Super Bowl 54 matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs Feb. 2 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
Now the 49ers are consensus 1-point underdogs again, this time against a far more formidable opponent that will put San Francisco’s elite defense to the test. But Nick Bosa, Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle have been overlooked and undervalued all season, rising to the moment at every turn. Can they do it again and bring the 49ers their first Lombardi Trophy in 15 years?
For those who are betting the 49ers, pouring though Super Bowl betting odds can be overwhelming. We’ve done it for you and like these five bets best.
San Francisco has been one of the most reliable covers all season, going 11-6-1 against the spread. The 49ers have covered three games in a row and six of their last eight. We don’t see them slowing down as underdogs against the Chiefs.
This is one of the more well-rounded teams in years, a relentless rotation of talented running backs in Raheem Mostert, Matt Breida, Damien Williams and Tevin Coleman paving the way for Garoppolo to take advantage when defenses decide they’ve had enough and stack the box. Call it old-school or whatever you want, but the bottom line is it’s been working all season.
The 49ers went 13-3 in the regular season, dominated playoff games against the Vikings and Packers and suddenly they’re getting points again. We’ll gladly take ‘em. Bet it at William Hill.
CHECK OUT: Compare Up-to-the-Minute Super Bowl 54 Odds at Top Sportsbooks
49ers Moneyline, +108
It’s always nice to get points, but there are many out there that prefer moneyline betting, and it is probably the better play. Taking the 49ers straight up is +108, and that’s a solid investment compared to -110 for the extra 1 or 1.5 points you’re adding depending on the betting line.
Only one of the previous 49 Super Bowls had a winning margin of less than three points, with the New York Giants’ 20-19 win over the Buffalo Bills in 1991 the lone exception. The matchup is favorable enough for San Francisco that it should win this one and control the tempo. Kansas City’s below-average rushing defense is the area to exploit, and the 49ers should be able to do it early and often to open a few things up for Garoppolo in the passing game. We like the 49ers to win by a field goal or more. Bet it at DraftKings.
Damien Williams Under 51.5 rushing yards, -110
Pretty small number here for the Chiefs' leading rusher, but it's a fair one against that great 49ers defense. Williams hasn't had a strong month, averaging 3.2 yards per carry in two postseason games. Granted Kansas City trailed early in both games and was going pass-heavy, but that's all the more reason Williams should have been able to catch a defense sleeping.
The Chiefs will definitely be looking to get Williams involved in the passing game and that's where he could have a big impact, but the San Francisco defense should be at its best with two weeks to prepare. If anyone beats this defense it's going to be Mahomes. We predict an underwhelming day for Williams on the ground. Bet it at PointsBet.
49ers to Win the First Half, +108
Another favorable line here, and one we really like. The Chiefs have struggled out of the gates this postseason, falling behind 24-0 against Houston and 10-0 against Tennessee in the AFC Championship. The 49ers raced out to a 27-0 halftime lead against Green Bay and were up 14-10 over Minnesota at the break.
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes might need some time to settle in, but the 49ers offense should get the run game clicking right away to take the pressure off Garoppolo. And they can rely on the NFL’s top-ranked passing defense to keep the Chiefs in check early on, hopefully pressuring Mahomes and taking him out of his comfort zone early in Miami. Bet it at SugarHouse.
Jimmy Garoppolo To Win MVP, +225
Those aren’t bad odds for a starting quarterback on a team that isn’t a big underdog. Garoppolo didn’t have to do much in two postseason wins, throwing for just 131 yards against the Vikings and 77 yards against Green Bay. He’s only thrown three touchdowns in the last five games. But he’s capable of getting it done when necessary.
Garoppolo stepped up big time in a marquee Week 14 game at New Orleans, completing 26 of 35 passes for 349 yards with four touchdowns and one interception. We also could see him as the default choice with an underwhelming stat line should the 49ers win with a balanced effort. That’s how Eli Manning landed MVP honors after throwing for 296 yards and one touchdown in a Super Bowl 42 win over the Patriots. Bet it at DraftKings.
49ers Super Bowl 54 MVP Odds
RELATED: Check out all of our NFL experts' Super Bowl game picks