By Geoff Mosher | | 4 mins
5 Rams-Browns Prop Bets & Betting Lines to Back on SNF
Sunday Night Football pits a recent powerhouse against a historical cellar dweller for NFL betting fans, with the defending NFC champion Rams traveling to Cleveland for a showdown against the much-hyped and new-look Cleveland Browns.
The Rams are showing no signs of a Super Bowl hangover, having won each of their first two games, including a cross-country travel to Charlotte in the opener for a 1 p.m. game against the Panthers. They followed up a 30-27 win over the Panthers with a 27-9 triumph over the Saints at home in Week 2, capitalizing on the thumb injury that sidelined Drew Brees.
The Rams, who’ve been an explosive offensive team under Sean McVay, are seventh so far in scoring (28.5 points per game), ninth in third-down offense (47 percent) and eighth in time of possession. Interestingly, quarterback Jared Goff has only thrown two touchdowns and sports a pedestrian 87.2 passer rating. Todd Gurley is still a legit primary halfback but is averaging just 80 rushing yards per game, ninth in the league, and has just one rushing touchdown.
The Browns got an explosive effort Monday night from their biggest offseason addition, wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr., who scorched the Jets for 161 yards and a touchdown. No player was more hyped going into the season than Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield, who disappointed in the opener with three interceptions in a 30-point home loss to the Titans. Mayfield bounced back with a 325-yard effort against the Jets.
There’s good weaponry on defense on both sides. The Rams flaunt two-time defending Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald on the inside of their defensive line. Browns defensive end Myles Garrett already has five sacks through two weeks, which leads the NFL.
Rams-Browns Best Bets
|Rams Moneyline/Under||+200 |
|Rams -2.5/Under|| +195|
|Rams to Score First||-139|
|Rams FG First Scoring Play||+300|
|Rams win by 1-6 Points||+370 |
All odds current as of publication but subject to change..
PICK 1: Rams Moneyline/Under
Most historical precedent points to a Rams win but not enough scoring to exceed the total. That’s mainly because the total is unusually high.
Almost 50 percent of all Rams games have exceeded 50 points but only six of 13 games involving the Rams with totals of 50 or more have hit the over. The Browns haven’t shown enough consistency on offense to feel confident that they’ll score into the high 20s against an LA defense that’s allowed an average of 18 points for the first two games.
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PICK 2: Rams Point Spread/Under
The value here is very good given the track record for the Rams covering on the road.
Los Angeles has covered 18 times in 34 games with Sean McVay as head coach, including 13-10-1 when the Rams are favored by 3 or more points. They’re 10-7 against the spread on the road, including 6-5 when favored by 3 or more on the road.
PICK 3: Rams to Score First
Death, taxes and … the Rams scoring first? Well, almost. It’s not automatic, but the Rams have scored first 23 times in McVay’s 34 games going back to the start of 2017, a 68-percent clip.
So far this year, the Rams have scored first in each of their two games. However, the Browns also have scored first in each of their two games. The Browns only scored first six times in Mayfield’s 14 starts last year, but only two of those six came at home.
PICK 4: Rams FG First Scoring Play
Both long-term and short-term history favor the Rams here.
The Rams have opened the scoring in each of their two games this year, both times on Greg Zuerlein field goals. Zuerlein’s 24-yard field goal against the Saints this past weekend came on Los Angeles’ opening drive.
The Rams have scored on their opening possession 15 times in 34 games under McVay, with eight of those 15 coming via field goal.
PICK 5: Rams win 1-6 Points
You can get value of +420 on this pick, and it’s a good bet based on the Rams’ history of winning as a favorite, winning overall on the road and generally playing close games when on the road.
The Rams are 20-3 since the start of 2017 in games they were favored to win by at least 3 points. Of those 20 wins, 10 came on the road and seven came by 6 points or fewer – with four of those six coming on the road.