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By Adam Thompson | | 3 mins

5 Vikings-49ers NFC Divisional Playoff Bets & Lines To Back

5 Vikings-49ers NFC Divisional Playoff Bets & Lines To Back

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A trip to the NFC Championship Game is on the line Saturday afternoon when Jimmy Garoppolo and the top-seeded San Francisco 49ers host Kirk Cousins and the upset-minded Minnesota Vikings.

The 49ers rank in the top five in both total offense and total defense while the Vikings are coming off an upset victory at New Orleans.

Let’s take a look at some of the best bets fans of NFL betting should consider:

Vikings-49ers Best Bets

Pick Expired


All odds current as of publication but subject to change. Check out the latest Vikings-49ers odds here.

PICK 1: Vikings +7

5 Vikings-49ers NFC Divisional Playoff Bets & Lines To Back 1
When running back Dalvin Cook and other key weapons were healthy, the Vikings went 8-2.

The Niners rightfully get the accolades as the No. 1 seed in NFC Conference title odds, but the Vikings have laid low and been nearly just as good. In fact, when full healthy on offense they’re 8-2. San Francisco has cooled down in the second half of the season and has covered the spread just once in its last five home games, while Minnesota has covered five of seven on the road. This is too many points to give a team with the weapons that Minnesota has.

PICK 2: Under 44.5 Points

The Under has hit in six of the last seven meetings between these teams and has trended in Vikings games, including five of the last six on the road. While the Niners have been lauded for their defensive success, Minnesota actually allows fewer points per game (18.9, compared to 19.4).

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PICK 3: Highest-Scoring Quarter — Second

Easily, the second quarter is the highest-scoring for these teams over the course of the season. Over the last three weeks, the gap between other quarters has actually grown. They combine for 19.0 ppg the last three weeks in the second, compared to 13.0 in the fourth and under 6.5 ppg in the first and third. The Vikings also allowed the most points in the second.

PICK 4: Jimmy Garoppolo — Under 252.5 Yards

Garoppolo has passed for 253-plus yards in six of the Niners’ 16 games, but two of those games were at home, and five of the instances were against bottom-10 pass defenses (Cardinals twice, Bengals, Seahawks, Saints). The Vikings have allowed that many pass yards just six out of 17 games, and held Drew Brees to just 227 yards last week at New Orleans.

PICK 5: Total Turnovers — 2-3

5 Vikings-49ers NFC Divisional Playoff Bets & Lines To Back 2
Cornerback Richard Sherman leads an opportunistic 49ers defense.

These teams combine for 1.3 turnovers per game and combine to force 1.8 per game. Garoppolo has been turnover-free in four of the last six games and Cousins hasn’t had more than one pick in a game since Week 1. I lean on the low side of the 3.1 average in the postseason.

About the Author

Adam Thompson for
Adam Thompson

NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and He has consistently produced profitable seasons in NFL and college football and established himself as an elite MLB expert in 2018, hitting 61 percent of his money line picks for a profit of $4,062 to $100 players, ending the season on a 22-4 run including 100 percent on World Series games. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB and college football. Now he shares the insight he gained at through well-reasoned picks and thought-provoking articles and on Twitter at @_Adam_Thompson_.