By Geoff Mosher | | 5 mins
6 Eagles-Falcons Prop Bets & Betting Lines to Back on SNF
The Falcons and Eagles square off on prime time for the third consecutive season, with the Eagles having won the past two. They met in the 2017 NFC Divisional playoffs round and opened the 2018 NFL season on a Thursday night, with the Eagles barely outlasting the Falcons both times. The Eagles beat Washington 32-27 in the season opener; the Falcons (0-1) lost 28-12 to the Vikings in Minnesota.
Both the Eagles and Falcons offer plenty of firepower. Led by quarterback Carson Wentz, the Eagles awoke from a first-half slumber and blitzed Washington with a 32-3 run that featured two bombs to DeSean Jackson along with two touchdowns from Alshon Jeffery. Zach Ertz also caught five passes and three running backs combined for 116 rushing yards.
The Falcons were strangely quiet in their opener but have dangerous perimeter weapons in Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley going against an Eagles cornerback group that let Washington’s Case Keenum pass for 380 yards and three touchdowns. Falcons running back Devonta Freeman is a proven weapon as a runner and receiver. The Eagles are 17-13-1 all-time against the Falcons, 20-14-1 including the postseason.
There are plenty of enticing bets to make for fans of NFL betting. For those of you just here for the picks, here you go:
Eagles-Falcons Best Bets
|Eagles win 1-6 Points||+360 |
|Over 51|| -110|
|Total TDs, Over 6.5||+170|
|Falcons Win 1-6 Points||+360 |
|Highest Scoring Quarter, Fourth|| +225 |
All odds current as of publication but subject to change..
PICK 1: Eagles Win by 1-6 points
There’s really good value here given the spread – Eagles getting 2 – and the series history. Three of the last four games between these teams going back to 2015 have been decided by six or fewer points, with the Eagles winning three of them.
There’s no evidence to suggest the Eagles will win going away, especially given their defensive struggles last week against what’s expected to be a below-average Washington offense. Three of Atlanta’s four home losses last year came by 6 or fewer points.
PICK 2: Over 51
Despite a long history of low-scoring games between these teams, this year’s showdown has all the ingredients to exceed the over.
Jones and Ridley should cause fits for the Eagles’ secondary, and the Eagles lost a key piece of their pass rush for the season in the opener when defensive tackle Malik Jackson went down with a major foot injury. New Falcons offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter was head coach of the Buccaneers last year and presided over Tampa Bay’s 27-21 win over the Eagles last year in Tampa.
He’s familiar with Eagles defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz’s schemes. Ryan Fitzpatrick torched defense for 402 yards and four touchdown passes in that game.
PICK 3: Eagles Win/Over
This isn’t for the by-the-book gambler, taking the road team getting points parlayed with the over for a historically low-scoring showdown, but the value is there for those who believe the Eagles are the superior team and that offense will reign supreme.
In 2017, with a healthy Wentz, the Eagles covered on the over five times in eight road games and scored at least 30 points four times in eight road games. Last year, the Falcons played three home games with totals of at least 50 – they lost two of the three and the game reached the over on two of the three.
PICK 4: Total Touchdowns-Over 6.5
Given the weapons on both sides, and the struggles of each defense in the opener, there’s decent value here.
Last week’s Eagles-Redskins game produced seven total touchdowns despite Washington’s pedestrian offensive weaponry and lack of a running game. Washington produced three TDs and the Eagles scored four after getting shutout for most of the first half.
Last week’s Vikings-Falcons game in Minneapolis produced six touchdowns even with Atlanta going scoreless until the fourth quarter. The Falcons being shut out at home for three quarters isn’t likely to happen again.
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PICK 5: Falcons Win 1-6 points
This is a better bet than Falcons in the moneyline or Falcons with the points given the historical unlikeliness of the Falcons winning this game by more than a touchdown. The last five Eagles losses in Atlanta going back to 1997 have come by an average of 3.6 points. None of those losses were by more than five points. Also, the Falcons haven’t started 0-2 since 2007.
PICK 6: Highest Scoring Quarter, Fourth
Two years ago, when both teams ranked in the top 10 for offense, the Falcons’ 103 points in the fourth was their second-highest scoring quarter of the season. The Eagles scored 126 points in the fourth quarter, their best of the season. Last year, the Eagles again scored more points in the fourth than any other quarter. The fourth quarter was Atlanta’s second-most productive quarter in 2018.