Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds, Best Bets & SNF Predictions
Adam Thompson | 6 mins
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Teams with a ton to play for face off on Sunday Night Football in Week 17, as the Baltimore Ravens host Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Ravens (10-5) have clinched a playoff berth and are, for the moment, the top wild card in the AFC. A win this week and next week over the Bengals could give them a first-round home playoff game and push them as high as the No. 2 seed.
The Steelers are one of four AFC teams coming into the week at 7-8 – all one game behind the Dolphins for the final AFC postseason slot. A loss ends their playoff hopes.
RELATED: NFL Week 17 Picks, Predictions and Best Bets
Baltimore is favored by 2.5 points at home on NFL betting sites in the latest Steelers vs. Ravens odds, with the Over/Under currently at just 35 points.
Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – on the way to his fourth-consecutive season of 60%-plus success on NFL picks and has crushed Sunday Night Football picks this year – reveals his best bets for this important AFC North showdown.
Steelers vs. Ravens Point Spread Pick
This is a absolutely massive game for the Steelers, who need to win to keep any playoff hopes alive. But the Ravens are playing for something, too – a division championship and first-round home game. No Lamar Jackson has made Baltimore’s offense real ugly (17, 3, 16 and 10 points the last four weeks). But the defense has been awesome.
Kenny Pickett on the road vs. playoff-contending teams is 0-3 with an average margin of -21 ppg. At night against a motivated Ravens defense is a tough spot. Lock in the Ravens and lay under a field goal at home.
Steelers vs. Ravens Over/Under Best Bet
This 35-point is by far the lowest total of Week 17 on betting apps, and it’s daring bettors to play the Under. So are all of the stats. Pickett-led Steelers teams are averaging 16.9 ppg in 11 games, and that's considerably more than Huntley-led Ravens offenses, averaging a laughable 11.5 ppg.
The Under has also hit in the last four meetings between these teams with an average of 32.8 ppg. Anemic offenses with powerful defenses and run-first philosophies? The total is low, but the Under is still worth a play.
Steelers vs. Ravens Moneyline Pick
The Ravens are -140 on the moneyline on Maryland betting apps, meaning it would take a $140 bet to win $100 in profit. The Steelers, meanwhile, are at +120. We like Baltimore to cover the small spread, but there may be some value in the moneyline.
With such a low-scoring game expected, two points may be formidable. Ravens games with Huntley as QB have averaged a hilarious 22.8 ppg, but they’re 3-1 in those games. It’s never pretty, but Baltimore finds ways. The moneyline on the home favorite is worth considering at -140.
Best Steelers vs. Ravens Player Props
Kenny Pickett, Under 0.5 Pass TDs
Odds: +170 at BetMGM ➜
Backing a QB to throw zero TDs seems counterproductive in today’s NFL. But Pickett has just five games with TDs, and seven with none (including one stopped early due to injury). Baltimore has allowed only 18 pass TDs in 15 games, blanking the opposing QB on five occasions. It’s worth a flyer with these sizeable NFL odds.
Najee Harris, Over 76.5 Total Yards
Odds: -115 at DraftKings ➜
Harris got 12 carries but managed only 33 yards just three weeks ago against these Ravens. He’s averaging just 44 ypg in three career games vs. Baltimore, too. But he’s going to be the guy who gets the ball often, and it’s going to come rushing and receiving. Five of the last seven games, Harris has finished with at least 86 all-purpose yards. We’re not expecting much for the Steelers offense, but we are expecting Najee to get his.