Two points per game doesn’t sound like a lot, but scoring in the NFL has bounced back to the tune of 45.6 ppg, up from 43.6 in 2023 and reversing a declining trend. 

We’re a ways off from the 49.6 ppg of 2020, but it’s a step in the right direction if you like offense. 

When it comes to hitting the Over, some teams are doing their part more than others. The Baltimore Ravens rank third in the NFL at 31.9 ppg, but No. 1 in the hearts of Over bettors, going above the number in 76.9% of games (10-3). The Cincinnati Bengals and Carolina Panthers are each 9-3 to the Over, a healthy 75%. 

Every team has hit the Over in at least four games this season, though six are going Over on 33.3% or less of the time. The Houston Texans are the biggest Under players at 9-4 while the Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, New York Giants, Los Angeles Chargers, and Atlanta Falcons are all 8-4 to the Under. 

Last season, the Chargers, Panthers, and Kansas City Chiefs each finished 12-5 to the Under (70.6%), while the Cleveland Browns, Indianapolis Colts, and Detroit Lions were part of the most Overs at 11-6 (64.7%).

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson has his finger on the pulse of the NFL. Thompson has hit on over 60% of his NFL best bets in each of the last three years and has cashed in on one of his two parlays in each of the past two weeks. 

Here are his two parlays for Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season:

Intriguing NFL Week 14 Parlays

Odds are current as of publication but subject to change. For the most updated NFL odds, please check the betting apps.

The “Buck Trends” Parlay

Leg 1: Titans -3.5 Over Jaguars 

Tennessee is 0-3 against the spread as a home favorite. That should change here against a Jaguars team that’s been held to single-digits in two Mac Jones starts, with a defense that’s dead last vs. the pass. Will Levis has been inconsistent but “Good Will” can hunt here. 

Leg 2: Eagles -12 Over Panthers 

Philly has covered just one of four home games so far. This is a big number and Carolina has covered four straight, but all were at home and the Panthers have been steamrolled in every road game, not in Vegas. Saquon Barkley can do work against the NFL’s bottom-ranked rush D. 

Leg 3: Vikings -5.5 Over Falcons 

Minnesota is a modest 1-2 ATS as a home favorite. Kirk Cousins makes his return with the Falcons after the past six seasons with the Vikings, but Atlanta has scored 17 points or less for three straight weeks, all losses. He could be in trouble against a heavy-blitzing Vikings D that is also great vs. the run. 

The “Back Trends” Parlay

Leg 1: Seahawks +2.5 Over Cardinals 

Seattle is 3-1 ATS as a road underdog this season and is getting points here against a Cardinals team it beat 16-6 just a few weeks ago. Geno Smith has owned Arizona and the Seahawks defense is playing hard since their bye week (14.7 ppg L3 weeks). 

Leg 2: Raiders-Buccaneers Over 48

The Over is 8-4 (66.7%) in Vegas and Tampa games this season. Tampa Bay can score quickly and should find opportunities against a bad Raiders secondary. Meanwhile, the Bucs have had issues vs. good tight ends, and that’s Vegas’ best position. Aiden O’Connell is improving. 

Leg 3: Bengals-Cowboys Over 49.5 

The Over is 5-1 in Cowboys home games, mainly because they have failed to stop anyone. The Over is also 4-2 in Bengals road games. All Cincinnati games are averaging a massive 56.3 points, the most of any team. Dallas isn’t far behind (48.9). The Cowboys’ defense is legendarily bad at home this season, giving up nearly 35 ppg. Cincy’s given up 34-plus points in three straight games.