Best Brock Purdy Prop Bets For Super Bowl 58

By Adam Thompson

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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Brock Purdy finished in the Top 3 in passing yards and passing touchdowns and by far led all NFL quarterbacks in QB rating and a similar QBR. The former Mr. Irrelevant will lead the San Francisco 49ers into Super Bowl 58, matching wits with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in Las Vegas on Sunday. 

Purdy was the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft but ascended his way to the top of the 49ers depth chart in the latter half of that season. The team was his guide for 2023; Purdy put up MVP-worthy numbers and the Niners finished with the best record in the NFC. 

Those looking to bet on the Super Bowl, have thousands of hundreds of prop bets to go along with the usual spread, total, and moneyline wagers. Many of them involve Purdy. 

Bookies.com veteran NFL handicapper Adam Thompson hit on over 60% of his NFL picks over the last four seasons.

Here are his favorite Brock Purdy props for Super Bowl 2024.

Brock Purdy Super Bowl 58 Prop Picks

Odds via the top sports betting apps and current as of publication. For the most updated odds, please check them at the best betting apps.

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Brock Purdy Super Bowl Prop Bets

Most Passing Yards – Brock Purdy

Odds: +120 at FanDuel

Purdy over Mahomes? Based on how the whole of the season went. Purdy threw for more yards than Mahomes this season (as well as more TDs, and fewer INTs). He also had bigger individual games. Purdy had five games with at least 310 yards, Mahomes just one. Purdy had just five games with under 250 passing yards, Mahomes had 10 of them. Purdy is more of a big-play hunter, too. 

Brock Purdy Over 12.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Purdy isn’t Lamar Jackson, but he’ll take off when the pressure gets too hot. In 16 regular-season games, he managed over 12 yards just four times. In the two playoff games, he’s gained 14 and 48 yards. Knowing when to go is part of the maturing process. The Chiefs’ edge defenders should get Purdy out of the pocket at least a few times. 

Super Bowl MVP – Brock Purdy

Odds: +225 at BetMGM

Despite being the quarterback on the favored team, Purdy (+225) isn’t the favorite to win the Super Bowl MVP. That’s because of Christian McCaffrey (+475). But we’re going with Purdy. First, we’re on the 49ers winning the game. Second, KC’s struggles in the red zone against opposing receivers, adding TD potential for the QB. If the Niners are going to win the Super Bowl, Purdy must perform. Getting at QB at Super Bowl MVP odds above +200 doesn’t come around often. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson

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Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.

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