Best Patrick Mahomes Prop Bets To Grab For Super Bowl 57

By Adam Thompson Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EST

All eyes are on the arm and the ankle of Patrick Mahomes as he looks to guide the Kansas City Chiefs to a second Super Bowl win in four seasons on Sunday, Feb. 12 against the Philadelphia Eagles.

Mahomes’ 5,250 pass yards this season was nearly 500 more than any other QB, and his 41 TDs were six more than anyone else (and 11 more than fourth place).

His Chiefs will come in as underdogs for Super Bowl 57, however. The Eagles are holding strong as -1.5 favorites on NFL betting sites for Super Bowl Sunday. But who is brave enough to count out Mahomes?

Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl 57 Best Prop Bets

We have examined the full NFL odds board available and pulled specific props to back on Mahomes in Super Bowl 57 from the top betting sites and sports betting apps.

Prop & Total	Pick	Odds
37.5 Yards Longest Pass	Over	-110 at DraftKings
1.5 Passing Touchdowns	Under	+160 at Caesars Sportsbook
38.5 Pass Attempts	Over	-115 at DraftKings
Anytime Touchdown	N/A	+500 at BetMGM

Over 37.5 Yards Longest Pass

Odds: -110 at DraftKings

Mahomes isn’t afraid to go downfield, as evidenced by nearly every game all year. Mahomes completed a pass of at least 38 yards in 12 of his 17 games. Of the five he didn’t, in three of them he had completions of 35, 36 and 36 yards.

His longest pass so far this postseason is only 29 yards. But in his previous four playoff games, he’s tossed at least one completion going 54 yards or more. Philly is elite at stopping big plays, but Mahomes is good for one of them in the Super Bowl.

Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Odds: +160 at Caesars Sportsbook

The Chiefs stand little chance if Mahomes can’t find paydirt at least two times through the air. KC is 14-1 when he tosses two or more TDs this season, and 3-2 when he doesn’t. Last year against Philly, he had a modest 278 pass yards but a massive five TDs.

The Eagles allowed only 21 pass TDs in 17 regular season games and only two TDs combined through two playoff games. Mahomes looks to Kelce, but Philadelphia has allowed only three TDs to tight ends all year. TDs are going to be tough to come by, and KC might have better matchups on the ground.

Tap for Promo Visit site

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 20 Bets
Promo Code: BOOKIES20X

Used 57 Times Today

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Terms and conditions apply. Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. This promotional offer is not available in Mississippi, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Over 38.5 Pass Attempts

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

When push comes to shove, Chiefs coach Andy Reid puts the ball in the hands of Mahomes. He’s averaging nearly 40 pass attempts in postseason games. If Kansas City gets behind, which odds at online sportsbooks suggest it could, Mahomes could go for even more.

The Chiefs were 7-0 this season when Mahomes tossed at least 41 balls. There’s no easy way to move the ball on the Eagles, but short passes to Travis Kelce are likely to be a big part of the equation.

Anytime Touchdown

Odds: +500 at BetMGM

This one is worth a sprinkle on Kansas betting apps. Mahomes is coming in limping with his painful high ankle sprain. It’s going to make doing everything more difficult. But it may not affect Mahomes’ mindset, and his belief that he can do it all.

We saw it in the clutch first-down run (and penalty drawn) that set up the game-winning FG in the AFC Championship. Philly is going to bring intense pressure. Mahomes, whether he should or not, is going to take off. He’s had two rushing TDs the last four games.

Tap for Promo Visit site

Bet $10, Get $150 If You Win
Promo Code: BOOKIESBG150

Used 76 Times Today

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

About the Author

Adam Thompson

More About Adam

Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.