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5 Bills vs Patriots Betting Lines & Prop Bets to Back on MNF

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 4 mins

5 Bills vs Patriots Betting Lines & Prop Bets to Back on MNF

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The newly crowned champions of the AFC East take on the once-dominant, now-eliminated former champs as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills travel to face Cam Newton and the New England Patriots for a Monday Night Football showdown. The Bills (11-3) have clinched the division title and can still get the No. 2 overall seed in the conference. The Patriots (6-8) will miss the playoffs in their first season without Tom Brady.

The Bills have covered the spread in each of their last six games, but the underdog in this rivalry is on a 3-0-1 ATS run, and New England is 5-2-1 in its last eight matchups. Let’s take a look at some of the best odds that fans of NFL betting props that fans should consider.

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Bills vs Patriots Odds & Props To Back

Bet Odds
Bills -7 over Patriots +100
Bet it at FOX Bet
Bills-Patriots Under 46 -105
Bet it at PointsBet
1st Quarter – Bills -0.5 -115
Bet it at William Hill
Highest Scoring Half – 2nd +105
Bet it at FanDuel
Race to 5 Points - Bills -180
Bet it at FanDuel

NFL odds listed are current as of publication and subject to change.

Bills ATS over Patriots

The Patriots offense is in disarray as the Newton experiment clearly did not pan out. Surely a Bill Belichick team will show up to play for pride, but the Bills have won four in a row, all by double figures. They’re loaded and playing for postseason position. Locked in at -7.

Bills-Patriots Under

The Patriots haven’t scored a TD in two weeks. Their pass defense is the strongest thing going for it, and that will help keep the score down against the free-wheeling Allen. The Under has hit in New England’s last six games and its last four at home. I grabbed the Under at 46.

1st Quarter – Bills -0.5

The Bills rank No. 2 in the NFL in first-quarter defense, allowing a scant 3.1 ppg. And how about the Patriots offense? Well, no team has scored fewer than the 28 total points it has managed (2 ppg). Buffalo also ranks in the top 10 in scoring for the first 15 minutes. Lock in the first quarter prop over at William Hill.

Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half

Both these teams – the Patriots especially – pick up the offensive slack in the second half. They both not only score more points in the second half, they allow more, too. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see a similar script on Monday night. Back the second-half prop at FanDuel.

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Race To 5 Points - Bills

We’re doubling down on a Patriots slow start. They’ve scored three first-quarter TDs all season, and all were against subpar defenses (Jets, Texans) or other circumstances (Chargers, in a 45-0 win). Let’s bank on Buffalo reaching the end zone before the Patriots kick two FGs. Lock in the quick lead prop at FanDuel.

About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.