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Browns at Steelers: Odds, Predictions & Best Bets For Monday Night Football

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 6 mins

Browns at Steelers: Odds, Predictions & Best Bets For Monday Night Football

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

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One of the NFL’s premier rivalries is renewed on Monday Night Football, as Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh Steelers host Deshaun Watson and the Cleveland Browns in Week 2. 

Few teams looked as good as the Browns in Week 1. They held Joe Burrow and the potent Bengals offense to a single field goal in a dominating 24-3 rout. On the flip side, the Steelers were manhandled 30-7 by the 49ers. 

NFL betting oddsmakers expect far closer games for each side here. Cleveland is favored by just two points in the latest Browns vs. Steelers NFL odds. The Over/Under is a modest 39 points, down from 39.5.

Bookies.com veteran NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – who crushed his Week 1 primetime best bets (6-2, +375) and has hit on a whopping 62-64% of his NFL picks three years running, reveals his plays for Game 1 of a Monday Night Football nightcap. 

RELATED: Best NFL Week 2 Parlays to Back Today

Browns vs. Steelers Odds

Steelers-Browns Point Spread Best Bet

The Browns looked wildly impressive in their 23-3 handling of the rival Bengals in Week 1. They rushed for over 200 yards and held Joe Burrow and Co. to just 142 total yards. If they did that to the Bengals, what they can do against the Steelers, who rank 27th in total offense and 29th in total defense after getting demolished by the Niners? 

The answer is, pretty much the same. Don’t blame Pickett for Pittsburgh’s woes; the O-line was overmatched, and that should be the case here against Myles Garrett and friends. That Pickett won’t have WR1 Diontae Johnson out there certainly won’t help. 

Deshaun Watson didn’t have to do a ton in Week 1, and we’re hoping he can “game manage” his way here as well. The Browns to cover is our best bet of Monday night. 

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Browns vs. Steelers Over/Under Best Bet

Mike Tomlin knows what he’s doing and he’s been doing it for a while. So expect adjustments after the 30-7 opening-week beatdown. Changes are needed on both sides to figure this one out. Unfortunately for the Steelers, the Browns and 49ers have a lot of similarities on both sides of the ball. Cleveland may be a poor man’s version, but it’s still an effective version. 

Cleveland’s offense wasn’t humming through the air, but the ground game was on point. Why change things now against a Pittsburgh team that allowed 188 rush yards in Week 1? That means more grinding, and more clock-running, probably on both sides. Pittsburgh’s defense is more likely than its offense to bounce back here. Grab the Under, but play it light on an O/U of just 39 points. 

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Browns vs. Steelers Moneyline Best Bet

The Steelers have won 20 in a row at home on Monday Night Football, the longest run of success in NFL history. They’ve also beaten the Browns 19 straight times at home in the regular season. 

We’re fading both of those trends by picking Cleveland to cover as a road favorite here. The moneyline on the Browns is -125 (wager $125 to win $100 in profit) but we prefer laying less here, and focusing more on the spread. After all, Pittsburgh’s streaks are impressive. History suggests Pittsburgh shows up and competes. 

Best Steelers vs. Brown Player Props

Najee Harris, Over 62.5 Total Yards

Odds: -110 at BetMGM

If the Steelers are to have any shot, it needs to include Harris far more than they did in Week 1. Pittsburgh got away from the run after trailing big in the first quarter. He managed only six carries for 31 yards (5.2 per run) and two receptions on two targets. 

Passing against this Browns team, which an All-Star cast of DBs and edge rushers, is going to be a major challenge. Instead, establishing a run and keeping with it is the way Pittsburgh stays close. Take this modest total for the best odds at BetMGM. 

Nick Chubb, Over 75.5 Rush Yards

Odds: -115 at BetMGM

Chubb rushed for 106 yards on a modest 18 carries, a big 5.9 per-rush average in a rousing win over the Bengals. The Steelers, meanwhile, were gashed by Christian McCaffrey for 188 yards. Put 2 + 2 together … 

Jerome Ford got 15 carries in Week 1, for only 36 yards. If the game is close, Chubb should get 20-plus attempts. Chubb got over 14 carries on 11 occasions in 2022 – he gained 80-plus yards each time. Jump on Chubb hitting the Over here at DraftKings. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.