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Buccaneers vs Cowboys Best Bets, Picks & Betting Predictions For SNF

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 6 mins

Buccaneers vs Cowboys Best Bets, Picks & Betting Predictions For SNF

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Tom Brady begins his quest for an eighth Super Bowl ring when his Tampa Bay Buccaneers head to Texas to face Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys in a Sunday Night Football showdown to begin the 2022 NFL season. 

Brady’s Bucs are right behind the Buffalo Bills in most NFL futures odds markets to win Super Bowl 57 at the top online sportsbooks. The Cowboys rank No. 5 in the NFC futures and are title contenders of their own, led by the top offense of a year ago. 

RELATED: NFL Week 1 Picks, Predictions And Best Bets

The latest Buccaneers vs. Cowboys odds have Tampa Bay favored by 2.5 points, with the Over/Under set at 50.5 points. Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – who has hit on a whopping 62-64% of his NFL picks three years running - reveals his plays for the NFL Kickoff Game at SoFi Stadium. 

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Picks For Point Spread

These teams faced off in the NFL Kickoff Game in 2021, a down-to-the-wire 31-29 Buccaneers win that was buoyed by a controversial pass interference call in the final seconds. The underdog has covered the spread on betting apps in the last five meetings between these teams. 

One big key: The injury of Cowboys star tackle Tyron Smith, a crucial loss that may take time to adjust against a team that gets to the QB. While we expect both teams to score ample points, the Cowboys could struggle at times while the veteran Bucs should hit the ground running. 

Expect a good game ending with a one-score Tampa victory. The edge is with the road Bucs, though there isn’t much value to add this to your Bucs vs. Cowboys best bets for the game.

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Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Picks For Over/Under

The total for this one is 50.5 on sports betting sites, which is bird feed compared to what these teams were accustomed to scoring in 2021. Dallas averaged 30.4 ppg last season, Tampa Bay was at 29.9. They were the top two scoring offenses in the NFL, and combined accounted for over 60 ppg. 

These team defenses were overshadowed, but neither was particularly bad. Combined in that stat, they allowed 42.3 ppg and ranked top 10 in scoring defense. When it comes to yards, however, each was decidedly average. 

Each team’s offseason focus leaned toward the offense. Tampa added Julio Jones and used its top draft pick on an offensive guard. Dallas bolstered the O-line in the draft and in free agency and used a third-rounder on WR Jalen Tolbert, who might start. We’re all about the Over on Sunday Night Football for our Bucs vs. Cowboys picks. 

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Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Picks For Moneyline

We like the Buccaneers to cover the spread, so obviously we’d lean on Tampa to win on the moneyline as well. In fact, the ML looks better than the spread. Dallas has very high expectations and Week 1 is a litmus test it will take seriously. 

Tampa Bay -125 is the play here. If either team has an unproven unit, it’s Dallas and its pass defense. If the game is close at the end, and Brady has the ball, he’ll get the team in scoring range. A consecutive last-second win would be upsetting if you took Bucs -2.5. Lean toward the road team on the moneyline as one of your Bucs vs. Cowboys best bets. 

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Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Player Props To Back

Tom Brady, Over 278.5 Pass Yards

Odds: -115 at PointsBet

Last year in the season opener vs. these Cowboys, Brady threw for 379 yards – about 100 over this week’s total. That turned out to be only the fourth-highest total of the season for TB12, who averaged 312.7 ypg. 

Dallas last year ranked 21st in pass defense. Sure, there’s no Rob Gronkowski and receivers Chris Godwin and Russell Gage are questionable (but expected to play). And there’s a new coach. We’ll eschew all that nonsense and remember it’s Brady. Back the GOAT with the Over at these odds at PointsBet as one of your Bucs vs. Cowboys best bets. 

Ezekiel Elliott, Over 44.5 Rushing Yards & Over 12.5 Rush Attempts

Odds: +264 at DraftKings

Elliott is considered the past, Tony Pollard the future in the Cowboys backfield. Yet Dallas keeps going back to its veteran workhorse, and turns out when they do, the team is successful. Last season, Dallas was 12-1 when Elliott gained at least 35 rushing yards. Just 35. When he received 12-plus carries, the team was a perfect 11-0. 

Tampa Bay was a top-five defense vs. the run last year, so it might be slow sledding. But Mike McCarthy loves to at least establish the run, and Elliott is the guy for now. Parlay the Elliott props as one of your Cowboys vs Buccaneers picks at DraftKings.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.