Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

By Adam Thompson | | 7 mins

Buccaneers vs Eagles Picks & TNF Betting Predictions NFL Week 6

Buccaneers vs Eagles Picks & TNF Betting Predictions NFL Week 6
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Tom Brady takes his 4-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers to the City of Brotherly Love to face Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles for the Week 5 Thursday Night Football matchup. Brady had five TDs on Sunday, rising the Bucs’ points per game average to 33.4.

The Eagles come off an inspiring rally win over the Panthers, moving to 2-3. Sportsbooks have Tampa Bay as a 6.5-point road favorite, with betting sites and some top betting apps, making a shift to -7.

Take a look at Buccaneers vs Eagles odds, injury report, betting lines and more.


RELATED: Complete NFL Week 6 Odds & Analysis For Every Game on the Schedule


Buccaneers vs. Eagles Key Matchups

Jalen Hurts Legs vs. Buccaneers Run D: The Eagles QB leads the team with 256 yards rushing and a 6.0 average. The Buccaneers have allowed just 13 rushing yards to QBs all season.

Tom Brady vs. Eagles Pass D: Brady hasn’t thrown an INT since Week 1. Philly has forced five turnovers in the last three weeks, including four INTs.

Buccaneers RBs vs. Philly pass D: Leonard Fournette and Giovani Bernard have a combined 34 receptions. The Eagles rank 24th in receptions allowed to RBs but only 16th in yards.

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5 Key Buccaneers vs. Eagles Stats

5.2: The average yards gained per rush by the Eagles this season, fourth-highest in the NFL. The Bucs are allowing only 2.9 yards per carry, however.

70: The yardage difference in passing for Jalen Hurts in Eagles wins vs. losses. He’s averaging 231 ypg through the air in victory, and 301 in defeat.

90.9: The percent cover rate of the Buccaneers against the spread, over their last 11 games, when beating a team by at least two TDs the week prior. Tampa pounded Miami 45-17 on Sunday.

314.4: The passing yards allowed per game by the Buccaneers, the most in the NFL. They’ve allowed over 290 pass yards in four out of five games.

349.4: The passing yards per game by Tom Brady and the Buccaneers, by far the most in the NFL. The Rams are No. 2 at 310.


Buccaneers vs. Eagles Weather Forecast

An unseasonable warm fall continues with Tampa-like temps set for Thursday. Highs in the Philadelphia area could hit 80 degrees, with temps likely around 70 for kickoff. Partly sunny skies with little wind and no rain offer a nice night for players and fans alike.


Buccaneers vs. Eagles Player Props

Jalen Hurts, Under 284.5 Pass Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Passing is the easiest way to move the ball vs. the Buccaneers, but the Eagles have proven to be far more successful when Hurts isn’t forced to throw for 300 yards. He averages 231 in Philly’s victories.

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Miles Sanders, Over 62.5 Total Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Rushing vs. the Bucs is easier said than done, but Philly will at least give it a shot. If that fails, they’ll get the ball into Sanders’ hands via the short pass. One way or the other, Sanders must produce.

Tom Brady, Over 301.5 Pass Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

The Eagles have been one of the toughest teams to pass on this season. But Brady is averaging an NFL-high 362 yards passing per game, and the Buccaneers are obsessed with throwing. Brady can have an off day and crush this number.


Buccaneers vs. Eagles Moneyline

The Buccaneers are a -310 on the moneyline, meaning a $310 wager would win $100 in profit. On the other side, the Eagles are at +245 (+100 wins $245 in profit).

Betting against Brady, even on the road, is a tricky proposition. The price is too high given the matchups favoring Philly, but this game could come down to the final moments. There are other bets worth backing on Thursday.

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Buccaneers vs. Eagles Point Spread

When it comes to NFL spreads, the Bucs have been one of the safer bets, covering each game since Week 2. Not to be outdone, the Eagles have covered the spread in their last four home games and in five of six on Thursday nights.

When it comes to matchups, the Eagles have an edge. Tampa is the best passing team but a subpar rushing team. Philly ranks No. 3 against the pass. The Eagles offense is multi-faceted and can take what Tampa’s defense gives them. Right now, no team allows more pass yards. Those looking for a Thursday night side as part of your NFL picks should lean with the points and the home Eagles.

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Buccaneers vs. Eagles Totals

The Over/Under for Thursday Night Football is 51.5 points, down a point from the opening line of 52 points set on Sunday. It is the third highest total for Week 6, behind only the Chiefs-Washington matchup (55.5) and the Monday night meeting between the Bills and Titans (54).

Points gets scored in Buccaneers games. Only once this season has the season finished under 50, thanks to a passing offense that ranks No. 1 in the NFL and a pass defense that ranks last. Teams have scored on Eagles defenses, too, with two of their last three games totaling over 60.

Thursdays have been big scoring spots for both teams, with the Over 8-3 in the last 11 Tampa games and 5-2 in Philly’s last seven on this night. Consider the Over as part of your NFL betting Week 6 lineup.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com.