Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions Picks & Thanksgiving Betting Predictions

The biggest question facing NFL betting fans when making their NFL picks for the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions, who clash on Thanksgiving at Ford Field, is who will be starting at quarterback? Bears rookie Justin Fields left last week due to a rib injury. If he can’t go, that means veteran Andy Dalton will be under center for the Bears.

Meanwhile, the 0-9-1 Lions were without Jared Goff (oblique) as they lost to the Browns at Cleveland. Activated off IR, Tim Boyle was the surprise starter over backup David Blough. Will it be Goff, Boyle or Blough at QB for Detroit on Thursday?

Take a look at Lions vs Bears odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Bears vs Lions Key Matchups

Who’s at QB? Certainly, if it’s a battle of No. 2s at starting QB, the edge must be given to the Bears. Dalton might not be what he once was at this stage of his career, but he’s an experienced NFL signal caller.

Lions’ D’Andre Swift vs Bears run defense: Chicago is 21st in the NFL at stopping the run (122.8 yards per game). Swift went for 136 yards last week against Cleveland’s No. 12 run defense.

Bears pass rush vs Lions O-line: Chicago shares the NFL lead with 31 sacks. Detroit is tied for eighth in the NFL, allowing 27 sacks.

5 Key Bears vs Lions Stats

9: Consecutive games in which the Lions have scored fewer than 20 points. That’s their longest drought of this nature since 1988.

36: Sacks allowed by the Bears, the most of any NFL team.

1-6: Detroit’s record in the last seven games against Chicago.

4-3: Detroit’s record in the last seven Thanksgiving Day games against Chicago.

25: 10+ tackle games for Bears inside linebacker Roquan Smith.

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Bears vs Lions Weather Forecast

Normally, there’d be no point in talking about the weather forecast when the game is being played inside a dome. However, in this case, it appears that climate-controlled conditions suit the Bears. Chicago is 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread inside domed stadiums since the start of the 2018 season. That includes 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS at Ford Field.

Bears vs. Lions Player Props

Bears RB David Montgomery over 76.5 rushing yards

Odds: -115 at Caesars Sportsbook

Montgomery rushed for 123 yards against the Lions in Week 4.

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Lions RB D’Andre Swift over 67.5 rushing yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Swift gained over 100 yards on the ground in each of the past two weeks.

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Bears RB David Montgomery anytime TD

Odds: -140 at DraftKings

Montgomery has run for four TDs in his last two games against Detroit.

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Bears vs Lions Moneyline

One of the myths that is purported over the years is the Lions exhibit some sort of prowess in their traditional annual Thanksgiving Day game. Reality tells a much different story. Overall, in 81 Thanksgiving Day games the Lions are 37-42-2 (.469). Recently, they’ve lost four straight games.

Detroit is 4-13 over the past 17 Thanksgiving games. The Bears hold a 10-8 edge over the Lions in 18 Thanksgiving Day meetings. Betting sites are listing the Bears at -190, and if you want to bet on the moneyline at sportsbooks, that’s the price to take.

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Bears vs Lions Point Spread

Straight up, 0-9-1 Detroit and 3-7 Chicago are the two worst teams in the NFC. When it comes to betting on the NFL spreads, though, the Lions are actually a pretty good play. Detroit is 6-4 ATS this season. That’s tied for seventh-best in the NFL. The same can’t be said for the Bears. They are 4-6 ATS.

As a home underdog, though, Detroit is just 2-2 ATS. This is the first time all season that Chicago has been an away favorite. That should tell you something. Take the Lions and the 3.5 points.

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Bears vs Lions Totals

Even when they have their No. 1 QBs under center, these are two of the worst offenses in the NFL. Detroit is the NFL’s No. 27 offense, while Chicago is No. 31. When it comes to scoring offense, the Bears are No. 30 (16.3 points per game) and Detroit is No. 21 (16.0 ppg).

The Over is 3-7 in both the Bears and Lions 10 games this season. The over/under in Lions home games this season is 2-2. The over/under in Chicago road games is 2-3. The total is 3-6 in the last nine Lions-Bears games. At 41.5 points, the total for this game is low. And yet, it still seems too high. Bet the Under at NFL betting apps.

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