Best Anytime TD Prop Bets For Chiefs Vs Bills: Allen, Diggs & 45/1 Long Shot
Mark Strotman | 12 mins
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The best game of Week 6 (and potentially the NFL’s regular season) takes place this Sunday afternoon in Kansas City when Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs take on Josh Allen and the Bills. These 4-1 groups will battle for AFC supremacy in what is both a rematch of last year’s all-time postseason classic and a potential AFC Championship Game preview.
It’s also the highest NFL betting total of the week at 54 points and an expected score of Bills 28.5, Chiefs 25.5 (the Bills are -3 on the road). With that in mind, we expect to see plenty of scoring from the two highest scoring teams in the NFL (who also average a combined 7.6 touchdowns per game).
Who might find the end zone on Sunday? Here are our favorite anytime TD scorer prop bets on sports betting apps going into this highly-anticipated Week 6 matchup.
Best Anytime TD Prop Bets for Chiefs-Bills
Stefon Diggs Anytime TD
Odds: -115 at BetMGM ➜
Don’t overthink this one. Diggs has scored in three of five games this season and remains Josh Allen’s favorite target (9+ targets in four of five games). The KC secondary allowed two touchdowns to Davante Adams on Monday night, so we are fairly confident that Diggs will torch them the same way. Diggs is atop this list for a reason. In a game that should feature 6+ scores, the best skill position player on the field will account for at least one.
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Travis Kelce Anytime TD
Odds: -120 at BetMGM ➜
We’re hoping he didn’t waste all his touchdowns in Week 5. Kelce found the end zone four times against the Las Vegas Raiders, and we have all the faith that he’ll find paydirt for a fifth time in six games. The Buffalo defense is elite in every sense of the word, but Kelce is matchup-proof. If anything, Buffalo’s secondary locking down the KC receivers will mean Patrick Mahomes needs to pay more attention to Kelce. Plus, Micah Hyde is out for the year and the Bills' other star safety, Jordan Poyer, is nursing a rib injury that could limit his ability to keep up with Kelce. Lock this one in. Don’t overthink it.
Gabe Davis Anytime TD
Odds: +155 at Caesars Sportsbook ➜
Remember that slow start for Gabe Davis, who missed Week 2 and then bottomed out in Week 4 with a single catch for 13 yards? Yeah, he racked up 3-171-2 in Week 5, including a 98-yard touchdown from Josh Allen. Though we’d still like to see the targets improve (he had a season-high six in Week 5), there’s no denying he’s healthy and all the way back. Also, let’s not forget about his remarkable 8-201-4 performance in last year’s postseason matchup against these same Chiefs. We’ll just need him to find the end zone once to earn this W.
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Josh Allen Anytime TD
Odds: +170 at Caesars Sportsbook ➜
Josh Allen “only” has two rushing touchdowns this season, but we love that he’s rushed 35 times through five games. The Chiefs are 8th in the NFL with 13 sacks this season, so we think there’s a chance that Allen if flushed out of the pocket more than usual—and it results in a scramble for six. This is one of our favorite plays on the board. Allen has scored on the ground in two games this season—when he rushed 10 and 11 times, respectively. Expect him to hover around double digits again in this one.
Khalil Shakir Anytime TD
Odds: +450 at BetMGM ➜
We know that the Chiefs’ secondary is horrid, and Josh Allen will be throwing early and often. We’re going to ride with the rookie Shakir, who found the end zone in Week 5 while going for 3-75-1. True, Isaiah McKenzie (concussion) should be back in the WR3 role—but that makes the value even better here. We think Week 6 could be a breakout game for the fifth rounder out of Boise State.
Jerick McKinnon Anytime TD
Odds: +475 at DraftKings ➜
Clyde Edwards-Helaire is going to have shorter odds—and perhaps for good reason considering his five scores on the year and goal-line work. But McKinnon has played 42% of KC’s snaps this year (compared to 45% for CEH) and we expect some big plays in this one. It wouldn’t surprise us if McKinnon scores on a screen out of the backfield. The value is worth it here.