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Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

By Adam Thompson | | 8 mins

Cincinnati Bengals At Tennessee Titans Picks & NFL Divisional Round Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals At Tennessee Titans Picks & NFL Divisional Round Predictions
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The AFC’s top team faces the AFC’s top upstart in a Divisional Round showdown, as Ryan Tannehill and the Tennessee Titans host Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals with a trip to the AFC Championship Game in the balance. Powerhouse RB Derrick Henry is on track to return from a foot injury, but the Bengals are riding high after winning the franchise’s first playoff game in 31 years, 26-19 over the Raiders, last weekend.

Betting sites and betting apps have Tennessee as a 3.5-point favorite, with an Over/Under of 47 points in the latest Bengals vs. Titans odds. When it comes to NFL spreads in this clash, the line has moved in the Titans’ direction from the opening line of -3.

Take a look at Titans vs Bengals odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Bengals vs. Titans Key Matchups

Derrick Henry vs. Bengals Run Defense: Cincy ranks No. 5 in rush yards allowed and is 6-0 when holding opponents to under 75 yards. Henry led the NFL in rushing attempts, yards and TDs before being injured in Week 8.

Ja’Marr Chase vs. Titans DBs: Tennessee has allowed the second-most receiving yards to wideouts this season. Chase had 119 yards in the Wild Card Round and 1,455 yards in the regular season, fourth-most in the NFL.

Ryan Tannehill vs. Himself: In the eight games A.J. Brown and Julio Jones have both played, Tannehill has passed for 216 or fewer yards five times and over 270 the other three, with 11 TDs and six INTs. More important, the Titans are 7-1 in those games with wins over the Rams, Bills, 49ers and Chiefs.


5 Key Bengals vs. Titans Stats

2: The difference in pass yards allowed all season by these teams. Cincinnati has allowed 4,487, Tennessee 4,485. The teams rank 27th and 26th in that category.

37.5: The percentage of Derrick Henry’s games this season he scored three TDs (3-of-8).

344: Pass yards per game over the last five weeks by Cincy’s Joe Burrow. Not only that, he has 13 TDs and zero INTs in that span.

471: The difference in receiving yards allowed to tight ends between the teams. Tennessee has given up just 612 compared to 1,083 for Cincinnati.

1,087: Rushing yards allowed to running backs by the Titans defense. Only the Buccaneers (1,083) allowed fewer. No other teams finished under 1,215.


Bengals vs. Titans Weather Forecast

No issues are expected from Mother Nature in Nashville, with clear skies and a high of 39 degrees. The forecast is similar 4.5 hours away in Cincinnati, so even the interstate trip south will be weather-free.


Bengals vs Titans Player Props

Joe Burrow, Over 276.5 Pass Yards

Odds: -115 at BetMGM

Burrow has eclipsed 300 yards in four of the past six Bengals games. The Titans have allowed at least 289 in two of their last three, and those were vs. Jimmy Garoppolo and Davis Mills. Cincy wins or loses with the ball in Burrow’s hands here.

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Ja’Marr Chase, Over 76.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -120 at DraftKings

Tennessee was the worst team in the NFL at covering WRs. Chase’s last three full games he’s finished with 125, 266 and 116 receiving yards. Burrow-to-Chase will be a recurring theme Saturday.

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A.J. Brown, Under 72.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -115 at Caesars Sportsbook

Fellow Julio Jones had his best game in Week 18, finally healthy, and Derrick Henry’s return takes touches from Brown, who has gone over 70 yards just once in the last six games.

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Bengals vs. Titans Moneyline

The Titans are -165 favorites on the moneyline, meaning it would take a $165 wager to win $100 in profit. Conversely, underdog Cincinnati is +145 (a $100 bet means $145 in profit). Early action at most sportsbooks has been nearly split even between the sides.

Normally that’s not the case for a No. 1 seed, but the Bengals are surging, having won their last four meaningful games, including their first playoff win in decades. The Titans’ pass defense ranks 26th, which could keep the Burrow Train rolling another week. That said, Tennessee’s defense ranks sixth in points allowed and its offense is finally healthy. There are other plays we like more than either side of this moneyline.

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Bengals vs. Titans Point Spread

The Titans are at -3.5, from -3 as money came in right from the start on Tennessee. For this bet, it’s all about the Tennessee offense. For only the sixth game, the unit should have Derrick Henry, Julio Jones and A.J. Brown in uniform. The Titans are 4-1 when all three play, with wins over the Bills and Chiefs.

The Bengals have covered five straight games while the Titans are on a 6-2 ATS run at home. Tannehill and the Titans have been highly inconsistent, taking the No. 1 seed despite losses to the Texans and Jets. The Bengals are allowing nine more points per game on the road than at home, too. We lean with Tennessee if we can get it at -3, but those looking for Sunday night NFL betting action can find better value in other areas.

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Bengals vs. Titans Totals

The Over/Under for this Saturday afternoon matchup has remained steady at 47 points. That’s the lowest total of the weekend – mainly because the other remaining teams are offense-first.

Tennessee at home and Cincinnati on the road average a combined 49.5 ppg, but the same splits in points allowed total only 42.7. Tennessee’s full arsenal is finally back, and the Bengals are playing inspired ball. Neither team has been consistent vs. the pass. The Over is a decent add to any NFL picks lineup for the Divisional Round.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been estabilshed as one of the nation's premier NFL and MLB handicappers, and his horse racing and PGA picks have produced major winners over the last 12 months.