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Daniel Jones Next Team Odds: Big Blue To Go Big To Keep QB?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Daniel Jones Next Team Odds: Big Blue To Go Big To Keep QB?

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The New York Giants opted not to pick up the option on Daniel Jones’ rookie contract. Then the 2022 NFL betting season happened. 

Jones had the best season of his career and led the Giants to their first playoff berth since 2016. Now the team is committed to bringing him back. But how much money are they willing to spend to do so? The Giants could use the franchise tag on Jones, but at a one-year cost of over $32 million. There’s a real chance Jones hits the free agent market instead. 

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has revealed his 2023 NFL futures odds for Jones' potential next team. 

Daniel Jones 2023 Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
New York Giants+10548.8%
Baltimore Ravens+50016.7%
Las Vegas Raiders+65013.3%
Indianapolis Colts+10009.1%
New York Jets+14006.7%
Seattle Seahawks+15006.3%
Houston Texans+15006.3%
Chicago Bears+20004.8%
The Field+12007.7%

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The Giants recently announced they are committed to bringing back Jones for 2023 and perhaps beyond. In the same statement, they also expressed a desire to bring back RB Saquon Barkley. One of them could receive the franchise tag from the team. The tag for Barkley is expected to be around $10 million – far less than if Jones were to receive it. 

At it stands, the belief is Barkley gets the tag while the team tries to secure Jones to a longer-term deal. But that could mean opening things up to other teams, and there are many out there desperate to find a QB capable of leading a franchise to the playoffs. 

The Giants are reportedly working on a deal right now, with the number of years being the hang-up rather than salary. Jones reiterated that he would also like to remain in New York, but admitted that rumors the two sides are close to an agreement aren't accurate. He might actually hit the free agent market, and given what he showed in his breakout 2022 season, teams will be interested. 

As of right now, the Giants have the third-most cap space this offseason and way more than many other teams that might vie for Jones’ services. They remain the strong favorite in our hypothetical sports betting app market for several reasons. 

The Colts, however, have been desperate in their search to replace Andrew Luck, with the likes of Jacoby Brissett, Philip Rivers, Carson Wentz and Matt Ryan getting the ball the last four years. Jones would be the longer-term option the team covets. 

Like the Colts, the Texans are in the market for a new starting quarterback. But both teams are behind the leaders when it comes to cap space. Each also has a top-five pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Finding their next QB in the draft would be more cost-effective, though Indy is more of a win-now team at the moment. 

The Ravens are a legit dark horse. The team has failed to secure a huge deal with QB Lamar Jackson. The former MVP has missed five games each of the last two seasons and his passing, rushing and rating numbers have fallen off. Jones ranked fifth in QB rush yards this season and could be a great replacement option in John Harbaugh’s offense. Baltimore also has the fifth-most cap space available, $20 million more than the Colts and triple that of the Jets. 

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The Raiders have moved on from Derek Carr and are going to be in the market for a trade and, if that doesn’t work, a free agent or draft addition. A sign-and-trade with the Giants is the only way it could work for Vegas from a cap perspective. 

The Jets said they remain committed to Zach Wilson, but Wilson got benched again this year and it appears they’re likely again on the hunt for a QB. The AFC’s New York team looks headed in the right direction and could really boost their chances with better QB play. 

The Bears have Justin Fields, but Fields has just 24 TDs with 21 INTs in 25 career starts (and just five wins). They also have, by far, the most salary cap space and could outbid even the Giants if they choose. The Seahawks got a career year out of Geno Smith, but Smith and counterpart Drew Lock are both free agents. 

Other teams have needs, or potential needs, at QB, but currently aren’t looking good to make such a splash in free agency due to salary cap space. Those squads lead The Field, including the Titans, Panthers, Saints and Buccaneers

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.