There’s nothing better for an NFL team than overcoming internal drama – even if they didn’t bring it upon themselves. The Raiders answered any questions about Jon Gruden’s drama last week with a tough road victory in Denver.

The Eagles are dealing with a different type of drama as new head coach Nick Sirianni is constantly under fire. Similarly, his QB Jalen Hurts has dealt with plenty of on-field pressure. Despite all of that and the game in Vegas, we see one of the shorter NFL spreads on the slate.

The Raiders (4-2) only laying three at home hosting the Eagles (2-4) coming off a bad loss to Tampa may be a trap. We see sportsbooks set initial numbers that may seem suspicious, but in this case it’s setting a line that will net the most action.

It’s Week 7 so we have data and results to factor with NFL betting – especially with sides. Yes, the scoreboard indicates the Eagles kept it close with the Bucs, but anyone watching would tell a different story. Tampa Bay played its third game in eleven days, was on the road and on a short week. They were in control and never looked back. The Raiders lit up Denver on the road, also a quality win.

The Raiders are a short 3-point home favorite against the Eagles. The Raiders are -160 on the ML and the Eagles are +155. The total for the game is 49.

Check out the latest Raiders vs. Eagles odds ahead of the matchup on Sunday.

Eagles vs. Raiders Key Matchups

Eagles RBs vs. Raiders Rush D: It’s been the story all season for the Eagles. The disappearance of both Miles Sanders and Kenneth Gainwell, despite both playing well. The Raiders are 14th overall in total defense, but vulnerable on the ground.

Raiders RBs vs. Eagles Front: The Eagles continued their trend of allowing big yards and gains on the ground last week. No reason for that to change this week in Vegas as the Raiders have Josh Jacobs and Kenyan Drake to attack a soft Eagles front.

Carr vs. Eagles Secondary: This seems to be the best chess match for both teams. Carr has multiple options – including Darren Waller who should carve the Eagles LBs. Philadelphia will have to match up with two burners and Waller, something they failed to do against Tampa’s big 3.

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Eagles vs. Raiders Key Stats

79.8: The Raiders don’t run the ball and when they do it’s not efficient. They are 30th in the league at 79.8 rushing YPG but face an Eagles defense that can’t stop anyone on the ground. There’s value in making NFL picks when taking advantage of such a large matchup problem for one side.

130.7: The Raiders also aren’t great at stopping the ball on the ground. They are 25th in the league in defending the run, yet the Eagles ask their QB to handle most of those duties. Inexplicably we see the Eagles move away from their RBs, but this might be the matchup to bring them back.

5th: This is the Eagles overall ranking for pass defense. As bad as it’s looked, the Eagles are solid at applying pressure to the QB. Carr and the Raiders OL should take note, as they’ve given up 17 sacks this year.

13: The total amount of TDs Jalen Hurts has on the year. The offense may sputter at times through the air, and look depleted on the ground, but Hurts scores points. The Raiders will be no different in having to deal with Hurts all over the field.

4.0: Not one Raiders RB is averaging at least this number of yards per rush on the ground. The Eagles defense would be the team to open it up, but Vegas isn’t built for the ground and pound.

Eagles vs. Raiders Player Props

Jalen Hurts Over 297.5 Passing and Rushing Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings ➜

Hurts will be a dual threat all day and is the team’s leading rusher. The strategy won’t change against the Raiders who basically beg teams to run the ball.

Josh Jacobs Over 57.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: -120 at DraftKings ➜

The number is low simply because the Eagles rush defense is worse than the Raiders. It’s been four straight weeks that a single back has gone over 60 yards on the ground versus the Eagles.

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Jalen Hurts Anytime TD

Odds: +120 at BetMGM ➜

Getting Hurts at plus money to score a TD on the ground – or air – is still great value. Hurts is the leading rusher but also a serious threat in the Red Zone to score on the ground. Until the books adjust, it’s worth a unit.

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Eagles vs. Raiders Moneyline

The Eagles can certainly keep games close no matter where they play with Hurts on the field. He’s made plenty of mistakes, but his team seems to find a way to stay in games. The Raiders got a necessary win for multiple reasons last week and just seem to be the better football team right now.

There’s clearly some value at betting sites to hop on the Eagles at plus-money. There just isn’t enough value. The Raiders at -160 is still playable with 1u, or 2u to win 1.

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Eagles vs. Raiders Point Spread

The line is begging you to take the Raiders before it moves. The likelihood of it improving the Raiders odds is super low, so anything at -3 is a gift. The Raiders have a ton of momentum and moved past their own distraction.

The Eagles just haven’t figured anything out on offense outside of putting the ball in Hurts’ hands. The Eagles defense may make it tough for Carr to throw deep, but they are still vulnerable in the short game. Vegas rolls. You can get the Raiders -3 (-115) at BetMGM. ➜

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Eagles vs. Raiders Total

The Eagles are a sneaky over cover as they can get points in a hurry when down. We’ve seen the Raiders put up points in bunches, as they rely on Ruggs, Waller, and Renfrow to get downfield. Neither of these teams are great at causing turnovers so don’t expect shorter fields.

Do expect a lot of uncharacteristic shots down the field for the Eagles, especially in the first half. The total is just above the key number 48 but below an even bigger number in 51. Go Over 49 and you can get it at -112 at FanDuel. ➜

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