• Bookies
  • NFL
  • NFL Picks
  • Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread
Most Valuable Offer

Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Loses
Promo Code: BOOKIES

Visit site
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for T&Cs. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.

Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 8 mins

Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread

Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Loses
Promo Code: BOOKIES

Visit site
Used 72 Times Today
Popular in Virginia
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for T&Cs. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.
Bookies Plus
WHY BOOKIES PLUS?
  • Daily expert picks delivered to your email (Over 60% NFL winning percentage!)
  • Opportunities to compete against pro handicappers + win prizes (Bragging Rights 😁)
  • Follow handicappers who are riding hot 🔥
  • Exclusive betting offers from top sportsbooks
  • It’s FREE and takes 30 seconds to sign up!

Which active NFL starting quarterback has the best career record against the spread? Stick around and you’ll find out. 

We are tracking every NFL starting QB used in the 2024-25 NFL betting season. Each week, we update how much money you would have won or lost backing them ATS on various betting apps each time they've started, including the postseason. We use the standard -110 odds in determining the amount of overall money won. 

Through Week 5, Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow holds the highest winning percentage against the spread of any NFL starting QB this season, with 20 or more career starts. The Bengals are 39-23-2 (62.9%) ATS in the 64 regular-season and postseason games started by Burrow since he was chosen with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Injuries have sidelined him in parts of 2 of his 5 seasons. 

Those backing the Bengals in each of Burrow's starts with $100 at standard spread odds of -110 would be up $1,245.10. 

Journeyman QB Gardner Minshew now of the Las Vegas Raiders has the lowest winning percentage ATS of any starting QB used this season with 20 more starts. Minshew is 18-24-0 (42.8%) ATS in his career. If you were unfortunate to back his team in each start, you'd be down $763.80. The Raiders Wednesday said Aiden O'Connell will replace Minshew as the starting QB this week. 

2024 NFL QBs Ranked Against The Spread

Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread 1

Here is a look at the 32 NFL starting quarterbacks used in Week 5 ranked by their career percentage against the spread, including the postseason. Our list is updated weekly during the season. Percentage ties are broken by the amount of money won/lost.

Each QB is listed with his current team, overall record against the spread in 2024-25, career, cover percentage, and the amount of money a would-be bettor would have won or lost backing them each week of their NFL career, using the above formula. 

Feel free to bookmark this page and consult it when planning wagers or making NFL picks, or checking out the upcoming week's NFL lines

QBTEAM2024 ATSCAREER ATSATS %$ WON/LOST
(T) 1. Caleb WilliamsCHI4-1-04-1-080.0263.60
(T) 1. Jayden DanielsWAS4-1-04-1-080.0263.60
(T) 1. Bo NixDEN4-1-04-1-080.0263.60
4. Joe BurrowCIN2-3-0 39-23-262.91245.10
5. Patrick MahomesKC3-1-167-48-358.21281.30
6. Aaron RodgersNYJ2-3-0140-103-757.62426.00
7. Brock PurdySF2-3-0 16-13-1 55.1154.40
8. Jared GoffDET4-1-0 64-53-2 54.7517.60
9. Lamar JacksonBAL3-2-048-41-153.9263.20
10. Daniel JonesNYG3-2-035-3153.0-9.40
11. Dak PrescottDAL2-3-066-59-152.899.40
12. Jordan LoveGB1-2-011-10-252.3-0.10
13. Kyler MurrayARI4-1-0 34-32-351.5-109.40
14. Josh AllenBUF2-3-0 57-48-351.4381.30
15. Joe FlaccoIND0-1-099-96-750.7-600.90
16. Kirk CousinsATL 3-2-076-74-450.6-491.60
17. Jalen HurtsPHI2-2-029-29-250.0-73.00
18. Jacoby BrissettNE1-3-126-26-1 50.0-236.60
19. Deshaun WatsonCLE1-4-034-37-3 48.5-709.40
20. Geno SmithSEA2-2-1 32-34-348.4-491.2
21. Sam DarnoldMIN5-0-0 29-31-148.3-463.30
22. Justin HerbertLAC2-1-130-32-4 48.3-573.00
23. Andy DaltonCAR1-2-079-85-648.1-1318.9
24. Derek CarrNO3-2-076-83-347.7-1391.60
25. C.J. StroudHOU1-4-010-11-0 47.6 -191.00
26. Matthew StaffordLAR1-4-099-114-646.4-2400.90
27. Trevor LawrenceJAX3-2-026-3145.6-736.60
28. Tyler HuntleyMIA1-1-05-6-0 45.4-145.50
29. Justin FieldsPIT3-2-017-21-2 44.7-554.70
30. Baker MayfieldTB3-2-041-51-144.5-1373.20
31. Gardner MinshewLVR1-2-018-24-0 42.8-763.80
32. Will LevisTEN1-3-04-8-033.3-436.40

(Note: Percentage ties are broken by net money won. For this project, we used the archived weekly Las Vegas consensus lines, according to Pro Football Reference.)

Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Loses
Promo Code: BOOKIES

Visit site
Used 59 Times Today
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for T&Cs. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.

New Faces, QB Replacements In 2024

Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread 2

Thus far, 37 different QBs have started in the NFL this season. That number increased by 1 in Week 5 with Joe Flacco, 39, starting for the injured Anthony Richardson.

Aaron Rodgers of the Jets remains the oldest player in the NFL season. And, no surprise, has the most career starts on our list. Those who have backed Rodgers over his career have done well. 

The Jets and Packers are 140-103-7 (57.6%) ATS in Rodgers' 250 career starts. Those backing Rodgers with $100 per start at -110 would be up $2,426.00 over his Hall of Fame career. 

For comparison, Tom Brady covered 56.4% of his 381 starts, which included his 47 games in the postseason. He went 215-158-8 all-time ATS. If you were able to bet $100 on Brady every week using the industry standard -110 ATS odds, you would have retired up $3,743.50.

The rookie QBs starting in Week 1 in the NFL this season were: Caleb Williams of the Bears, Jayden Daniels of the Commanders, and Bo Nix of the Denver Broncos. 

Teams With More Than One Starting QB In 2024

  • Colts: Joe Flacco took over for the injured Anthony Richardson in Week 4 and got the start in Week 5.
  • Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa suffered a concussion and was subsequently placed on the IR in Week 2 as the Dolphins lost 31-10 to Buffalo. He was replaced by Skylar Thompson, who was subsequently replaced by Tyler Huntley in Week 4.
  • Packers: Jordan Love suffered a knee injury in Green Bay's Week 1 34-29 loss to the Eagles in Brazil. He was replaced by Malik Willis.  But Love started in Week 5.
  • Panthers: Carolina pulled the plug on Bryce Young in exchange for veteran Andy Dalton after they fell to 0-2/0-2 with a Week 2 loss to the Chargers. Dalton started in Week 3.
  • Patriots: New England plans to start rookie Drake Maye in Week 6 at home against Houston.
  • Raiders: They will start Aiden O'Connell in place of Garnder Minshew in Week 6 against the Steelers. 

Other QBs Who Have Started In 2024

When QBs are replaced, we'll add the newcomers to the list. Last year, more than 60 different QBs started games in the NFL, so expect the ranks here to grow.

Here's the list of the QBs who have started at least one game in 2024 but did not start in Week 2. Each is ranked by career-winning percentage ATS. 

QBTEAM2024 ATSCAREER ATSATS %$ WON/LOST
1. Malik WillisGB2-1-04-2-0 66.7163.60
2. Anthony RichardsonIND3-1-05-3-062.5154.50
3. Tua TagovailoaMIA0-2-030-2356.6 427.00
4. Skylar ThompsonMIA0-1-02-2-2 50.0-18.20
5. Bryce YoungCAR0-2-0 5-10-133.3-545.5

Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Loses
Promo Code: BOOKIES

Visit site
Used 32 Times Today
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for T&Cs. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.

About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.