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Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 7 mins

Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread

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Which active NFL starting quarterback has the best career record against the spread? Stick around and you’ll find out. 

We are tracking every NFL starting QB used in the 2024-25 NFL betting season. Each week, we update how much money you would have won or lost backing them ATS on various betting apps each time they've started, including the postseason. We use the standard -110 odds in determining the amount of overall money won. 

Through Week 2, Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow holds the highest winning percentage against the spread of any NFL starting QB this season, with 20 or more career starts. The Bengals are 38-21-2 (64.4%) ATS in the 61 regular-season and postseason games started by Burrow since he was chosen with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Injuries have sidelined him in parts of 2 of his 5 seasons. 

Those backing the Bengals in each of Burrow's starts with $100 at standard spread odds of -110 would be up $1,354.20. 

Journeyman QB Gardner Minshew now of the Las Vegas Raiders has the lowest winning percentage ATS of any starting QB used this season with 20 more starts. Minshew is 17-22-0 (45.5%) ATS in his career. If you were unfortunate to back his team in each start, you'd be down $654.70.

2024 NFL QBs Ranked Against The Spread

Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread 1

Thus far, 33 different QBs have started in the NFL this season. That number will increase by at least 2 in Week 3. 

Here is a look at the 32 NFL starting quarterbacks used in Week 2 ranked by their career percentage against the spread, including the postseason. This list will be updated each week. Percentage ties are broken by the amount of money won/lost.

Each QB is listed with his current team, overall record against the spread in 2024-25, career, cover percentage, and the amount of money a would-be bettor would have won or lost backing them each week of their NFL career, using the above formula. 

For this project, we used the archived weekly Las Vegas consensus lines, according to Pro Football Reference.

Feel free to bookmark this page and consult it when planning wagers or making NFL picks, or checking out the upcoming week's NFL lines

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QBTEAM2024 ATSCAREER ATSATS %$ WON/LOST
1. Caleb WilliamsCHI2-0-02-0-0100.0181.80
2. Malik WillisGB1-0-03-1-0 75.0172.70
3. Joe BurrowCIN1-1-0 38-21-264.41354.20
4. Aaron RodgersNYJ1-1-0139-101-757.92535.10
5. Tua TagovailoaMIA0-2-030-2356.6 427.00
6. Brock PurdySF1-1-0 15-11-1 57.7263.50
7. Patrick MahomesKC1-1-065-48-257.5$1108.50
8. Josh AllenBUF1-1-0 56-46-354.9490.4
9. Jared GoffDET1-1-0 62-53-2 53.9%335.80
10. Dak PrescottDAL1-1-065-57-153.2208.50
11. Jacoby BrissettNE1-0-126-23-1 53.1 $63.40
12. Lamar JacksonBAL0-2-045-41-152.3-9.50
13. Kirk CousinsATL 1-1-075-72-451.3-382.50
14. Daniel JonesNYG0-2-032-3150.8 -191.20
15. Kyler MurrayARI2-0-0 32-31-350.7-191.20
(T) 16. Jayden DanielsWAS1-1-01-1-050.0-9.10
(T) 16. Bo NixDEN1-1-01-1-050.0-9.10
18. Anthony RichardsonIND1-1-03-3-0 50.0-27.30
19. C.J. StroudHOU0-2-09-9-0 50.0 -81.90
20. Jalen HurtsPHI1-1-028-28-250.0%-254.80
21. Deshaun WatsonCLE1-1-034-34-3 50.0-309.40
22. Justin HerbertLAC2-0-030-31-3 49.1-373.00
23. Derek CarrNO2-0-075-81-348.0-1282.50
24. Geno SmithSEA0-1-1 30-33-347.6 -573.00
25. Justin FieldsPIT2-0-016-19-2 45.7445.6
26. Sam DarnoldMIN2-0-0 26-31-145.6-736.60
27. Baker MayfieldTB2-0-040-49-144.9-1264.00
28. Matthew StaffordLAR0-2-098-112-644.5-2291.80
29. Trevor LawrenceJAX1-1-024-3044.4-818.40
30. Gardner MinshewLVR4-2-117-22-0 43.5-654.70
31. Bryce YoungCAR0-2-0 5-10-133.3-545.5
32. Will LevisTEN0-2-03-7-030.0-427.30

(Note: Percentage ties are broken by net money won.) 

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New Faces, QB Replacements In 2024

Every Starting NFL QB Ranked By Record Against The Spread 2

Aaron Rodgers of the Jets remains the oldest player in the NFL season. And, no surprise, has the most career starts on our list. Those who have backed Rodgers over his career have done well. 

The Jets and Packers are 139-101-7 (57.9%) ATS in Rodgers' 247 career starts. Those backing Rodgers with $100 per start at -110 would be up $2,535.10 over his Hall of Fame career. 

For comparison, Tom Brady covered 56.4% of his 381 starts, which included his 47 games in the postseason. He went 215-158-8 all-time ATS. If you were able to bet $100 on Brady every week using the industry standard -110 ATS odds, you would have retired up $3,743.50.

The rookie QBs starting in Week 1 in the NFL this season were: Caleb Williams of the Bears, Jayden Daniels of the Commanders, and Bo Nix of the Denver Broncos. 

Teams With More Than One Starting QB In 2024

  • Packers: Jordan Love suffered a knee injury in Green Bay's Week 1 34-29 loss to the Eagles in Brazil. He was replaced by Malik Willis.  
  • Dolphins: Tagovailoa suffered a concussion and was subsequently placed on the IR in Week 2 as the Dolphins lost 31-10 to Buffalo. He will be replaced by Skylar Thompson
  • Panthers: Carolina pulled the plug on Bryce Young in exchange for veteran Andy Dalton after they fell to 0-2/0-2 with a Week 2 loss to the Chargers. Dalton will start in Week 3.

Other QBs Who Have Started In 2024

When QBs are replaced, we'll add the newcomers to the list. Last year, more than 60 different QBs started games in the NFL, so expect the ranks here to grow.

Here's the list of the QBs who have started at least one game in 2024 but did not start in Week 2. Each is ranked by career-winning percentage ATS. 

QBTEAM2024 ATSCAREER ATSATS %$ WON/LOST
1. Jordan LoveGB0-1-010-1-335.7-436.40

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.