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First NFL QB Benched Odds: Tannehill, Wilson Closest to Riding Pine

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

First NFL QB Benched Odds: Tannehill, Wilson Closest to Riding Pine

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Not every quarterback who starts Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season will start Week 17. Injuries will play a role, to be sure, but “coaches decision” factor into it as well. All this is reflected in the NFL future odds of our amazing betting apps.

There will be teams in a win-now mode that may not be getting what’s needed from their most important position and look for a spark elsewhere. 

Other teams, out of the running, may take a look at someone else under center as a glimpse of a possible future. 

If a coach feels he could be next on the way out the door, his first big move could be to try someone else at QB and see if it sticks. 

Through eight weeks of the 2023 NFL season weeks, no QB has lost their starter's role due to their play. But it is starting to become clear which starting QBs could be holding the clipboard before too long. Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has updated NFL betting odds as to which QB is the first to get benched in 2023. 

First QB Benched In 2023 Odds

QBOddsImplied Probability
Ryan Tannehill, Titans+10548.8%
Mac Jones, Patriots+35022.2%
Desmond Ridder, Falcons+60014.3%
Kenny Pickett, Steelers+85010.5%
Zach Wilson, Jets+12007.7%
The Field+60014.3%

These NFL future odds are for entertainment purposes only and have been created by our Bookies.com handicapper. They do not reflect actual odds that may be available on betting apps.

Ryan Tannehill On The Outs?

The Tennessee Titans have flirted with going with someone other than Ryan Tannehill at QB for more than a season now. He’s played just well enough to keep his job. That trend may be over. 

Tannehill suffered a high-ankle sprain in a Week 6 loss to the Ravens. QBs can't be held accountable for losing one's job due to injury, but in this case, the injury has lit a spark. Once Tannehill's healthy, the job may no longer be his. 


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Rookie Will Levis, who dropped in Aaron Rodgers-esque form at the 2023 NFL Draft, got his first start in Week 8 for the injury Tannehill and the ineffective Malik Willis. 

He proceeded to throw for four TDs with no INTs, and hooked up with star WR DeAndre Hopkins the way Tannehill didn't. 

That Tannehill sits in dead-last in QBR as he heals from injury doesn't help his status. The next time he's active, it might be as the QB2. Tannehill, 35, is in the final season of his contract. The future might be now in Nashville. 

Other Potential QBs On The Hot Seat

Patriots QB Mac Jones was benched mid-game in a blowout loss to the Cowboys in Week 4. Coach Bill Belichick said Jones is still the team's starter; Jones was taken out because the game was out of hand. 

But since then, things haven't gotten better. The Pats are 2-6, unbeaten when Jones doesn't throw an INT and winless when he does. 

Bailey Zappe was 2-0 as a starter in 2022 and has been turnover-free in two relief stints for Jones. If Belichick believes the season can be turned around, Zappe could be inserted into the lineup. 

Desmond Ridder has been wildly inconsistent and it's directly affected the progression of the Falcons, who are 4-4 and tied for first in the balanced and winnable NFC South. 

Ridder has two games with multiple INTs and two others with 115 or fewer pass yards. 

Fan favorite Taylor Heinicke relieved Ridder on Sunday and nearly rallied the Falcons against the Titans. 

Coach Arthur Smith says Ridder was taken out due to concussion protocol, but he was cleared to return, and didn't. Ridder may be on double-secret probation. 

Kenny Pickett was knocked out of the Steelers' Week 8 loss to the Jaguars (ribs). Pittsburgh plays Thursday and it's unlikely Pickett suits up on such a short turnaround.

If Mitch Trubisky, potentially one of the more capable backups in the league, can perform, Pickett may go in another direction. Pittsburgh is 4-3 despite an offense that ranks 31st in yards and 29th in scoring. 

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Zach Wilson confidently willed the Jets to an OT win over the Giants in Week 8. But let's remember, the score was just 13-10. 

Wilson has just five TDs in seven games and ranks 29th in QBR. It's tough to imagine Tim Boyle getting the nod at this point, but if Wilson is sinking the Jets' boat as it tries to stay afloat for Aaron Rodgers, a change might be necessary. 


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The Field is led by Justin Fields of the Bears, Deshaun Watson of the Browns and Jimmy Garoppolo of the Raiders, QBs who are injured or coming off injury. 

It's unlikely any of them are benched for their current replacements, but none of them have played well enough to automatically retain their previous position. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.