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Next NFL QB Benched Odds: Watson, Levis New Favorites

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 4 mins

Next NFL QB Benched Odds: Watson, Levis New Favorites

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Not every quarterback who starts Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season will start Week 17. Injuries will play a role, to be sure, but “coaches decision” will factor into it as well. In fact, one QB has already been shown the pine. 

There will be teams in the win-now mode that may not be getting what’s needed from their most important position and look for a spark elsewhere. Other teams, out of the running, may take a look at someone else under center as a glimpse of a possible future. If a coach feels he could be next, his first big move could be to try someone else at QB and see if it sticks. 

Regardless, new QBs will lead teams, and the first change often comes sooner than expected. Bryce Young was first. Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has updated NFL betting odds as to which QB is the next to get benched in 2024. 

Next NFL QB Benched In 2024 Odds

NFL QuarterbackNFL OddsImplied Probability
Deshaun Watson, Browns+20033.3%
Jacoby Brissett, Patriots+35022.2%
Will Levis, Titans+45018.2%
Gardner Minshew, Raiders+60014.3%
Bo Nix, Broncos+85010.5%
Justin Fields, Steelers+10009.1%
Daniel Jones, Giants+10009.1%

These odds are for entertainment purposes only and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

Potential NFL QBs On The Hot Seat

One quarterback has already been shown the bench, and it was a bit of a surprise. Bryce Young certainly was not playing well for the Carolina Panthers, but the belief was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft would have a longer leash. He did not, and now Andy Dalton is under center in Charlotte. 

So who's next? Through four weeks of the 2024 NFL season, "contenders" have emerged. 

The Browns were built around Deshaun Watson, but he hasn’t held up his end of the bargain. In three seasons, including his year-long suspension in 2021, Watson produced 15 TDs in 13 games, with 11 INTs. 

Through four weeks, no quarterback has a worse QBR rating that Watson. Under his stead, Cleveland has yet to score 20 points in any game.  Cleveland has nine-year veteran Jameis Winston on the bench, and the Browns are built to win now. If head coach Kevin Stefanski wants to keep his own job, he may have to take away Watson's. 

Gardner Minshew was brought on to the Raiders to be a veteran presence and help young Aidan O’Connell learn the ropes. The opening game, a 22-10 loss to the rival Chargers, wasn’t a great start for the Minshew-led offense.

His Raiders are 2-2 now, and Minshew has three TDs and three INTs. Option No. 2 Aidan O'Connell isn't putting a ton of pressure on coach Antonio Pierce, though Pierce is reportedly non-committal, so Minshew may have to step it up in the immediate future. 

Jacoby Brissett perhaps dropped off the list after leading the Patriots to a big upset victory at Cincinnati in Week 1. But he’s considered a placeholder for rookie No. 3 overall pick Drake Maye. Since then, though, the Pats are 0-3 and Brissett has just one TD. New England isn't a team built to win now, so there is no rush to get Maye up to speed. 

Second-year QB Will Levis didn’t look sharp last year and unfortunately picked up where they left off in Week 1. The Titans picked up their first victory in Week 1 when Levis got hurt and veteran Mason Rudolph guided the team to victory. Still, Levis likely has a long leash as he learns the NFL ropes. 

Broncos rookie QB Bo Nix has zero TDs and four INTs over the last three weeks, but Denver is 2-1 in that span. Coach Sean Payton seems content letting the rookie learn on the fly, so Jarrett Stidham and Zach Wilson remain on the bench. Despite the poor passing stats, Nix has two rushing TDs and ranks a respectable 20th in QBR. 


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Daniel Jones of the Giants was considered a prime candidate to get benched back in Week 1. But he ranks 14th in QBR and is owed major money, so New York has reason to stick with him a little longer. 

Justin Fields has led the Steelers to a 3-1 record. But he's managed just one TD the last two weeks, the team hasn't scored more than 18 points, and Russell Wilson is waiting. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.