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Giants vs Saints Picks & Betting Predictions for NFL Week 4

Bob Duff for Bookies.com

Bob Duff  | 8 mins

Giants vs Saints Picks & Betting Predictions for NFL Week 4

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Over history, and over the past decade, the New York Giants and New Orleans Saints have traded victories. The rivalry currently stands at 16-14 Giants. Since 2012, the two teams have met four times, and each won twice, alternating victories.

The pattern suggests it’s the Giants’ turn to win. Oddsmakers believe otherwise. The Saints are 7.5-point home favorites this Sunday at NFL betting sites.

The Giants have lost five in a row at New Orleans. Their last win there was in 1993. The bad news for New York is that this is the first true home game for the Saints, so it figures to be a fired-up bunch that they’ll be facing, playing in front of their own fans for the first time since January 2020. The Saints were briefly evicted from the Caesars Superdome due to Hurricane Ida.

Check out Giants vs Saints odds, injury report, betting lines and more. Awaiting online New York sports betting? Bookmark our Caesars Sportsbook promo code New York page to see offers when they become available.

RELATED: NFL Week 4 Odds & Analysis For Every Game

Giants vs Saints Key Matchups

Keeping Up With The Joneses: Last week, the Saints defense put the clamps on New England Patriots rookie quarterback Mac Jones. This week, they’ll seek to do the same to Giants QB Daniel Jones. They’ll find that Jones is often willing to help a defense with that task. You’ll count through 22 starting QBs before landing on his passer rating of 94.3. Butterfingers Jones has already fumbled three times, bringing his career total in 30 NFL games to 32 fumbles.

Jameis vs Jameis: Saints QB Jameis Winston is the ultimate Jekyll-Hyde player. When he’s on, he’s fantastic. When he’s not, it should be R-rated. In New Orleans’ two wins, Winston shows a passer rating of 120.8. He’s thrown for 7 TDs against 0 interceptions. In the Saints lone loss, Winston’s passer rating was 26.7. He had 0 TD passes and was picked off twice. Which Jameis shows up will gone a long way toward determining the outcome.

Judgement Day: Including preseason, the Giants have lost six in a row. They are 0-2 at home, with losses to the Broncos and Falcons, not exactly NFL powerhouses. Could head coach Joe Judge be on the hot seat? FanDuel is offering odds on the Giants going 0-17. Judge is the second in the betting odds to be the first NFL coach fired. A lopsided loss to the Saints could make him No. 1 with a bullet.

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5 Key Giants vs Saints Stats

6: Points scored by Giants TB Saquon Barkley last week, his first TD since Week 17 of the 2019 season. The Giants need their former NFL OROY to return to his past self.

+5: The Saints’ turnover differential, tied for No. 1 in the NFL.

3: Sacks by Giants LB Azeez Ojulari. He’s the first NFL rookie with sacks in each of his first three games since Baltimore’s Terrell Suggs in 2003.

89: Rushing yards last week by Saints RB Alvin Kamara. He had 88 combined through the first two games.

1-5-1: The Giants’ record against the spread in their last seven visits to New Orleans.

Giants vs Saints Player Props To Back

Saints QB Jameis Winston, Under 199.5 Passing Yards

Odds: -115 at BetMGM

Winston hasn’t come close to this total this season. His best day through the air is 148 yards. He’s never thrown more than 22 passes in a game this season.

Saints RB Tony Jones Jr., Over 15.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: -120 at BetMGM

Jones gained 50 yards in the 38-3 blowout of Green Bay. If the Saints roll the Giants, he’ll get plenty of carries in garbage time.

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Saints WR Deonte Harris, Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -111 at BetMGM

Harris is averaging 37.3 yards per game.

RELATED: NFL Week 4 Picks & Best Bets For Every Game

Giants vs Saints Moneyline

New Orleans was 7-2 straight up last season as a home favorite. Since the start of the 2017 season, the Giants are 6-22 SU as an away underdog. They are 0-5 SU in their last five games played at New Orleans. The Saints have also won the past five games against the Giants when they were favored at sportsbooks in the moneyline.

As well, New Orleans loves October. The Saints are 15-0 SU in their last 15 games played during the 10th month on the calendar. Everything points to a New Orleans win. In this instance, listen to those voices telling you to go with the Saints in your NFL betting strategy at Caesars.

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Giants vs Saints Point Spread

The Saints are 2-1 against the spread this season, while the Giants are 1-2. Interestingly, the only time they covered was in their lone road game at Washington. Another intriguing stat – the Giants are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 games when the NFL spreads give them at least 7.5 points.

Meanwhile, the Saints are 7-12 ATS in their last 19 games when laying 7.5 or more points. New Orleans was just 5-4 as a home favorite ATS last season. Giving more than a touchdown to an NFL team, even a bad one, is always risky, especially early in the season and when Winston is your QB. when making your NFL picks over at BetMGM sportsbook.

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Giants vs Saints Totals

New Orleans has gone Under in all three games this season of the post-Drew Brees era. Then again, the Saints were also Under in the final three games with Brees at QB, so that’s a 6-0 streak for the Under dating back to last season.

The Giants have gone under twice in three games. They were a solid 7-0 on the Under play during the final seven games of the 2020 campaign. Combined, that’s 15 unders in 16 games. When you do the math, even though the total is a pedestrian 41.5 points, how do you not use your betting apps to Check out the odds at DraftKings, as well.

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About the Author

A veteran journalist based in Windsor, Ontario, Bob Duff has covered the gambling and sports betting industry since 2016. He has written more than two dozen books.