Bob Duff for Bookies.com

By Bob Duff | | 7 mins

Jets vs Falcons Picks & Betting Predictions NFL Week 5

Jets vs Falcons Picks & Betting Predictions NFL Week 5
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The Atlanta Falcons and New York Jets don’t play often. When they do, the Falcons usually win. Atlanta has won three of four and five of seven from the Jets. They’ve never played a neutral-site game before, though, which could certainly impact the NFL betting on this game. The Jets and Falcons are clashing Sunday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

They’ve each participated once previously in the NFL’s London Series, both in 2014. The Jets beat the Miami Dolphins 27-14. Atlanta fell 22-21 to the Detroit Lions.

Take a look at Jets vs Falcons odds, injury report, betting lines and more.


RELATED: NFL Week 5 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games


Jets vs Falcons Key Matchups

Zach Wilson’s Elusiveness vs Atlanta’s Defense: Jets rookie quarterback Wilson makes things happen via his improvisational skills. Sometimes they’re good things; sometimes, not so much. The mobility of Washington QB Taylor Heinicke gave the Falcons all sorts of fits last week. Atlanta shows 16.4% QB pressures on defensive plays this season, fifth-lowest in the NFL.

Jets Inability To Score vs Falcons Inability to Prevent Scores: It’s the old story of the movable object against the lackadaisical force. The Jets scored more points last week (27) than in the first three games combined (20). Atlanta has allowed more points than any NFL team (128). In these scenarios, defense always seems a step ahead of offense.

Matt Ryan vs Jets Pass Defense: The Jets have allowed just two TD passes all season long. They’re the No. 12 pass defense (226.3 yards per game). Can they handle Falcons veteran QB Matt Ryan?

5 Key Jets vs Falcons Stats

7: Times the Jets defense sacked Tennessee’s Ryan Tannehill last week. Atlanta’s Ryan is an old-school drop-back passer. He might be in trouble.

3: Touchdown receptions last week by Falcons running back Cordarrelle Patterson. He joined current teammate Calvin Ridley as the only Atlanta players with three TD catches in a game over the past 15 seasons.

8: Interceptions thrown by Jets QB Wilson, the most in the NFL. It’s also tied for the most by a Jets rookie QB through his first four starts (Geno Smith, 2013). Atlanta is one of two NFL teams without a pick this season.

32: Rank for the Falcons in NFL scoring defense (32.0 points per game). Also, rank for the Jets in NFL scoring offense (11.8 ppg) By the way, 32 is last.

6: 100-yard receiving games recorded by Jets wide receiver Corey Davis since the start of the 2020 season. He had two during his first three NFL seasons.

Jets vs Falcons Weather Forecast

In England, the weather is a lot like Forrest Gump’s box of chocolates – you never know what you are going to get. The forecast for Sunday’s game is calling for sunny skies with cloudy periods, 13 mph wind and a game-time temperature of 52 degrees. But, much like the TV listings, that is always subject to change.

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Jets vs Falcons Player Props

Falcons Calvin Ridley over 78.5 receiving yards ( -114 at FanDuel : Ridley had his most targets of the season last week against Washington (13) and a season-high 80 yards.

Jets QB Zach Wilson over 243.5 yards passing ( -115 at PointsBet : Rookie Wilson has surpassed this total in two of his four NFL games.

Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson over 37.5 receiving yards ( -115 at PointsBet : Patterson caught three TD passes last week. He’s gone well over this total three weeks running.


Jets vs Falcons Moneyline

Neither of these teams is generally a good moneyline play when making NFL picks and, certainly, picking a favorite for this game had to present a real challenge to sportsbooks.

The Jets are 3-17 straight up over their last 20 games. The Falcons are 1-8 SU in their last nine games. New York is also 1-9 SU in their last 10 road games. Ryan is a steadying, veteran presence under center. Wilson is a wild card who’s making a transatlantic flight for this game. To the steady goes the race. Take Atlanta at on the moneyline at BetMGM.

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Jets vs Falcons Point Spread

Atlanta opened as a 4-point pick in the NFL spreads but has since shortened to Falcons -3.5. The Falcons are 3-6 against the spread over their last nine games. The Jets are 1-4 ATS through their last five games. They’re also 1-4 ATS in their last five when facing NFC opposition and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 October games.

Then again, Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in the last five against AFC teams and 1-6 ATS over the club’s past seven Week 5 contests. The Falcons are also 1-5 SU the last six times they’ve been a favorite. Take the points at your favorite betting sites and the Jets to at least keep it close. Bet on it at WynnBET.

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Jets vs Falcons Totals

On the surface, when it comes time to wager at your favorite betting apps, the Over on the total appears to be a tasty play on this game. Atlanta, after all, suits up the NFL’s worst overall defense and, as noted previously, the worst scoring defense.

However, as was also already noted, the Jets are the NFL’s worst scoring offense, with a rookie QB at the helm. Combined, these two squads are 3-5 this season on the over/under. The total has moved from an opening of 44 points up to 46.5. Take the Under for this game at DraftKings.

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About the Author

Bob Duff for Bookies.com
Bob Duff
A veteran journalist based in Windsor, Ontario, Bob Duff has covered the gambling and sports betting industry since 2016. He has written more than two dozen books.