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Justin Fields Next Team Odds: Bears, Falcons, Steelers Emerge As Favorites

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 7 mins

Justin Fields Next Team Odds: Bears, Falcons, Steelers Emerge As Favorites

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The Chicago Bears used the 11th overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft to take Ohio State QB Justin Fields. After two seasons of borderline disastrous results, Fields took a step forward in 2023. But he still ranked just 23rd out of 30 qualified quarterbacks in QBR rating. 

Experts and insiders have been hinting for weeks that the trade market could be open for Fields, an extremely productive college star who has dazzled with his running ability. 

The 2024 NFL Draft is QB-rich, giving credence to the idea the Bears might be looking to move on from Fields and take a QB with the first overall pick. 

Teams needing a QB could make a call and see if a change of scenery helps – it’s helped a lot of former Bears quarterbacks. 

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league to update his hypothetical NFL futures odds on Fields’ 2024 team.

Justin Fields 2024 Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Atlanta Falcons+25028.6%
Pittsburgh Steelers+30025.0%
Chicago Bears+45018.2%
Las Vegas Raiders+75012.5%
New York Jets+12007.7%
Seattle Seahawks+14006.7%
New England Patriots+15006.3%
Washington Commanders+20004.8%
The Field+12007.7%

Odds are for entertainment purposes only and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

Fields was a force at Ohio State. In two seasons, he passed for well over 5,000 yards with 63 TDs and only nine INTs while rushing for 15 more scores. Chicago selected him and many experts believed it was a heck of an addition for a franchise that has been looking for a next-level QB since Jim McMahon left in 1989. 

Through three seasons, that has not materialized. In 38 games, Fields has thrown just 40 touchdowns with 30 interceptions, and the Bears are a brutal 10-28 in his starts. It's been a tough go for Bears fans backing their team on Illinois betting apps.

Fields is known for his rushing skills, though the 657 rush yards and four TDs are far below the 1,143 yards and eight TDs he gained in '22. To be fair, Chicago’s skilled players and its offensive line don't compare with the elite offenses of the NFL. 

Fields, who last year became just the third QB ever to rush for 1,000 yards in a season, is still on his rookie contract, so cash-strapped teams may see him as the best option available. 


RELATED: Russell Wilson Next Team Odds


Fields knows his days may be numbered in Chicago. "That decision is not in my hands," Fields said following a season-ending loss to the rival Packers. "All I can control is what I did do. I gave it my all. Whether it's here or not, I have no regrets."

Chicago has time to make a decision, be it sticking with Fields and drafting, perhaps, Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. at No. 1. Or, they trade Fields and select a QB such as Caleb Williams, who has been compared by some to Patrick Mahomes. They could also trade the No. 1 pick for a king's ransom and add key pieces that would help Fields reach his potential. 

The Bears famously skipped over Mahomes to select Mitchell Trubisky, and the rest is NFL history. North Carolina's Drake Maye is also considered a top-tier prospect. Drafting a new QB also means resetting the contract expense of the position, allowing Chicago to spend more in free agency and shore up other issues. 

If the Bears decide to use the draft to select their next QB, some QB-hungry teams would inquire about Fields. In fact, teams have already begun reaching out

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What Are Justin Fields' Top Landing Spots?

After the Bears, the Washington Commanders and New England Patriots own the Nos. 2 and 3 picks in the 2024 NFL Draft. Both are likely going to go QB. A trade for Fields isn't out of the question, but sitting that high in the draft is a good spot for a fresh signal-caller. 

There are many teams out there looking for an upgrade at QB, and many of them won’t be in a position to draft one of the elite prospects.

The Atlanta Falcons might be tops on the list. Desmond Ridder doesn't appear to be the long-term solution, and Taylor Heinicke is a capable fill-in, but not considered a franchise-type guy. Atlanta drafts No. 8, likely too high up to get an immediate QB1. Fields, a Georgia native, could be a great fit with the skillset around him. 

The Pittsburgh Steelers had three starting QBs at various points. The team went 10-7 and got to the postseason, but it's hard to say the team is all-in on any of Kenny Pickett (six TDs in 12 games, 7-5 record), the aforementioned Trubisky (0-4) or Mason Rudolph (3-0 and the current starter). 

Many experts believe Pittsburgh is the most-logical choice, and it does make sense on a lot of fronts. The Steelers' cap issues ($-4.3M to start the off-season) make Fields more affordable than free agent options. 

The Las Vegas Raiders have Jimmy Garoppolo, who missed most of last season due to injury and managed more INTs than TDs in his seven games on teh field. Aidan O'Connell took over and managed 12 TDs in 11 games. Fields adds a mobile wrinkle to the position that full-time head coach Antonio Pierce could work with. 

Despite a sizeable contract, Garoppolo would be easier to trade than Russell Wilson. 

The Denver Broncos have almost surely moved on from Wilson after benching him near the end of the season. Jarrett Stidham is the lone option at QB; Fields would be an improvement, and in fact, could be a boon to Sean Payton's lackluster offense. Expect Denver to seriously inquire, but with the team already more than $26 million over the cap as the off-season begins and Wilson's contract perhaps the worst in NFL history for a team, Wilson must be moved. 


RELATED: Next New England Patriots Head Coach Odds


Geno Smith took a big step backward in 2023 after signing a big contract. If the Seattle Seahawks can jettison Smith's big contract and add Fields at a fraction of the price, it's likely to be considered. 

The New York Jets should have Aaron Rodgers for 2024, but he's 40 years of age, and it was painfully clear Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian and Tim Boyle bombed as backup options. The Jets are poised to win and to win now. Fields' cap hit for '24 is only $6 million; he would be a massive insurance upgrade. 

The Field is led by the Broncos, whose financial issues are likely too tough; the Minnesota Vikings, who need a QB but likely will find it tough to trade with the NFC North rival; the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who could see Fields as a Plan B if Baker Mayfield doesn't return; and the New York Giants, who already seem interested in moving on from high-priced Daniel Jones just one season after signing a huge deal. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.