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How Much Would You Make Betting On Kyler Murray Each Week?

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 9 mins

How Much Would You Make Betting On Kyler Murray Each Week?

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Quarterback Kyler Murray and the Cardinals came to their senses this offseason and agreed to a 5-year, $230,500,000 deal that guarantees the former No. 1 pick $160 million.

Gone is the talk about Murray wanting a trade, or the team’s concerns about Murray doing his homework. The focus is forward, hopefully, and has turned to getting to the playoffs out of the tough-as-iron NFC West.

Now, it’s your turn. How well has Murray performed against NFL spreads in his three seasons? Those who partake in NFL betting who backed Murray against the spread have just about broken even.


RELATED: NFL Week 1 Odds, Moneylines and Point Spreads


Murray is 26-22-2 ATS at sportsbooks in his career as a starter, or an even 52%. That tops his 24-25-1 mark outright in 50 games.

The Cardinals open at home against the Kansas City Chiefs in 2022. They are 3.5-point home underdogs at -110 with DraftKings and +155 on the moneyline at the same book. The Week 1 total is a steep 53 points.

How Much Would You Make Betting On Kyler Murray Each Week? 1

Betting on Murray A Net Positive - Barely

Using our system of betting $100 on Murray ATS each week of his career with the industry standard -110 line per point-spread bet available at most betting sites, those who backed Murray weekly since his 2019 debut are up $163.40. That’s enough for a full tank of gas and dinner for four at Olive Garden.

There is some opportunity to bolster that bottom line in 2022. The Cardinals are projected on Arizona sports betting sites to be underdogs in nine of their 17 games, with one at home against the LA Chargers set as a pick’ em.

Not all spreads are created equally. For this exercise, we are using the Cardinals historic ATS records as noted via Pro Football Reference.

Kyler Murray 2022 Futures To Watch

Murray’s numbers scream potential. He turned 25 on Aug. 7. In his three NFL seasons, he has a 66.9% completion percentage and has averaged 3,826 yards passing and 23.3 TDs against just 11.3 picks. With the departure of Russell Wilson to Denver and Trey Lance still learning the ropes, Murray has solidified his spot as the second-best QB in the NFC West.

Kyler Murray To Win NFL MVP

Odds: +2000 at DraftKings

How Much Would You Make Betting On Kyler Murray Each Week? 3

A reasonable price for someone with Murray’s skills, emerging smarts, and available weapons. The Cardinals' projected win total is just 8.5. MVPs usually don’t come from teams with eight wins, especially in a 17-game NFL season. If or when the Cardinals produce a winning record and a division title, Murray’s numbers will be there to put him into the MVP conversation. If you want a limited value play, back Murray being the 2022 NFL MVP at +2000.

This category is stacked at the top, with Josh Allen (+650 at DraftKings), Tom Brady (+850), Patrick Mahomes (+900), Justin Herbert (+900), and two-time defending MVP Aaron Rodgers (+1000) all premium priced.

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Kyler Murray Props: Passing Yards

Bet Odds
Over 4,050.5 Yards Passing -110 at DraftKings
Under 4,050.5 Yards Passing -110 at DraftKings

Murray averaged 270.5 yards passing per game in 2021. For him to hit the over this year, he’ll need to average just 239 yards in 17 games. The key words there being “17 games.” Murray is capable of Madden-like numbers, but he missed three games last season.

Murray will get DeAndre Hopkins back in Week 7 after Hopkins serves a six-game PED suspension. We like Murray this season with a clear head and full heart. If he stays healthy, you can’t lose. Take the over on Murray passing for 4,050.5 yards.

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Kyler Murray Props: Rushing Yards

Bet Odds
Over 525.5 Yards Rushing -115 at DraftKings
Under 525.5 Yards Rushing -115 at DraftKings
How Much Would You Make Betting On Kyler Murray Each Week? 4

Murray ran for just 423 yards in 2021, after gaining 819 the previous season. With his new deal, Kliff Kingsbury will want to keep Murray in one piece for as long as he can. Expect the Cardinals to move from having Murray run as a staple to it being more a second or third option.

James Conner (752 YR) leads the way for the Cardinals on the ground. There is a battle in camp to replace Chase Edmonds as the No. 2 back. Still, take Murray under 525.5 yards rushing on your sports betting app this week.

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Kyler Murray Props: Passing TDs

Bet Odds
Over 25.5 Passing TDs -110 at DraftKings
Under 25.5 Passing TDs -110 at DraftKings

Murray threw for 26 TDs over 16 games in 2020 and added 24 TD passes in just 14 games last season. The numbers appear on his side this year, especially with the return of Hopkins. Take Murray over 25.5 passing TDs.

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.