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Las Vegas Raiders Next Head Coach Odds: Stick With Pierce?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Las Vegas Raiders Next Head Coach Odds: Stick With Pierce?

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The Las Vegas Raidersare  looking for a new coach for 2024 with the firing of Josh McDaniels after less than two seasons at the helm. The new leader may already be in the building. Our betting apps are prepared with the best NFL odds for this event.

Vegas went the interim route for the remainder of the 2023 season, and Antonio Pierce did such a good job that star DE Maxx Crosby declared he'll request a trade if Pierce isn't given the gig full-time. 

Candidates will vary from established head coaches to up-and-coming coordinators and those from the college ranks. Whoever it is will need to get the green light from owner Mark Davis, whose last two hires – McDaniels and Jon Gruden – will be paid tens of millions of dollars not to coach the team.

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league to update his hypothetical NFL futures odds on who’s leading the Raiders out of the tunnel in 2024.

Next Las Vegas Raiders Head Coach Odds

CoachOddsImplied Probability
Antonio Pierce (Raiders Interim HC)-11052.4%
Leslie Frazier (former Bills DC)+50016.7%
Bill Belichick (Patriots HC)+9509.5%
Mike Vrabel (former Titans HC)+10009.1%
Mike Macdonald (Ravens DC)+12007.7%
Kellen Moore (Chargers OC)+15006.3%
Ben Johnson (Lions OC)+18005.3%
Jim Harbaugh (Michigan HC)+18005.3%
The Field+12007.7

This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the Bookies.com team. It is not currently available on betting apps. Percentages will not add up to 100% most time because these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Who Will Be Raiders Next Head Coach?

McDaniels was supposed to lead the team away from Gruden, who was fired after a chain of disparaging emails were made public. Instead, he lasted 1.5 seasons in Vegas, going 6-11 in 2022 before a 3-5 start this season. Tensions were flaring for the Raiders, who had higher expectations. 

McDaniels is still owed four years of salary, and Gruden is still getting paid out, too. That could affect the decision for Davis, who is shelling out a lot of dough for his own hiring mistakes. 

We'll start with the man already wearing the headset. Antonio Pierce was the team's linebackers coach when he was promoted to interim head coach following McDaniels' ouster. Vegas went 5-4 the rest of the way, and Pierce was rewarded with a raucous ovation from the Raiders' faithful following the team's season-ending win over the rival Broncos. 

Raiders owner Mark Davis commended Pierce for his work in the interim role, but that doesn't mean Davis won't do his due diligence. 

Bill Belichick isn't expected to be back in New England, where he's led the Patriots to eight Super Bowls. The Raiders are one of several teams reportedly interested in at least speaking with the legendary coach to gauge the fit and interest. 

Jim Harbaugh might be the hottest name on the head coaching market if he's on the market at all. The Michigan coach has been coy about his future intentions. He was a success at the 49ers before returning to his alma mater and leading Michigan back to national prominence. 

Harbaugh has already been suspended twice for breaking rules - which may entice the "us against the world" Raiders to look strongly into Harbaugh. He's going to command a Super Bowl-level salary, though, and Davis is already paying two coaches big dough, but there were reports that Davis is excited about the possibilities of Harbaugh in silver and black. 

Promoting a coordinator to be a head coach for the first time is often the cheapest way to go, and it often produces diamonds. When it comes to the coordinator front, a few stand out. 

We'll start with Leslie Frazier, who was the Bills' defensive coordinator for six seasons but was not brought back for 2023. He took the year off, but the former Vikings head coach wants to get on the sidelines again, and he was the first coach Davis and the Raiders wanted to speak to, aside from Pierce. 

Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and Dolphins offensive coordinator Frank Smith have made their marks with their teams. Detroit and Miami are among the most prolific offenses in the NFL. 

The Dolphins are rife with elite weaponry. While the Lions aren’t so bad themselves, Johnson’s work with Jared Goff has turned heads and made the coach a leading candidate to be a head coach somewhere soon, perhaps in 2024. 

Offensive coordinator Kellen Moore of the Chargers, formerly of the Cowboys, is considered a future head coach prospect. If he doesn't land the head gig in L.A., he could be a free agent, and the Raiders make a lot of sense.

While OCs often get the first look in today’s NFL, defensive coordinators get nods as well. Mike Macdonald of the Ravens has his unit ranked in the Top 6 in both yards and points allowed, and the 36-year-old is considered one of the bright minds on that side of the ball. 


RELATED: Commanders Next Coach Odds: Will Belichick Lead Them To Victory?


Mike Vrabel could be the hard-nosed, stable influence Davis seeks. He's likely to get another shot somewhere.

They lead The Field, which also includes successful defensive coordinators on the rise such as the Panthers’ Ejiro Evero, and Cowboys DC Dan Quinn, who led the Falcons to a Super Bowl as a head coach and could get a second opportunity. Rams DC Raheem Morris, who led the Buccaneers through a few ill-fated seasons, has re-established himself as one of the rising stars on that side of the ball and could get a second chance. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.