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New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Odds, Best Bets & MNF Picks

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 6 mins

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Odds, Best Bets & MNF Picks

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Baily Zappe has been a revelation at QB for the New England Patriots, as they take a two-game win streak into a Monday Night Football showdown with Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears. 

Zappe, the third-string rookie QB just a few weeks ago, was thrust into action when both Mac Jones and Brian Hoyer were injured. He nearly led the Patriots (3-3) to an upset win at Green Bay, but then guided the team to blowout victories over the Lions and Browns. 


RELATED: Best MNF Same Game Parlay For Patriots vs Bears


Coach Bill Belichick has been tight-lipped as to whether Jones or Zappe will be leading the offense on Monday night. We know Fields will be the man under center for the Bears (2-4). Chicago has lost three in a row and has 12 points or less in half their games so far. 

The latest Bears vs. Patriots odds on NFL betting sites have New England at -8, with the total points set at Over/Under 40. 

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – who has hit on over 60% of his NFL picks the last three years running – reveals his Bears vs Patriots best bets for the Week 7 MNF clash. 

Bears vs Patriots Point Spread Pick

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Chicago is only 2-4 straight up and 2-3-1 against the spread. But only one of their games has been decided by more than eight points. This isn’t a good matchup for the Bears, but the eight points is a lot for a Patriots team with a question mark at QB. 

Zappe, who has led the Patriots to 24, 29 and 38 points, may get replaced by Jones and his 7, 17, 26 point efforts. The Bears defense ranks No. 2 vs. the pass and slows games down with the best of them. Taking the points when it’s more than a TD is the way to go in the 2022 NFL season. 

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Bears vs Patriots Over/Under Pick

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The Under has been the trend on primetime games this season, and history shows the same when it comes to both these teams under the lights. The Under is 12-3 on betting apps on Monday night games involving either of these teams. 

Now put them together. Regardless of what Zappe has been able to do, each is predicated on the run and a bend-don’t-break defense. Both sides prefer a short game with a running clock, pointing to another Under here.

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Bears vs Patriots Moneyline Pick

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The Patriots are -365 on the moneyline, meaning it would take a $365 bet on New England to win for a $100 profit. That’s a big price to ask on a 3-3 team with a question mark at quarterback. 

Justin Fields has led Chicago to two road victories in his one-plus seasons. We’re not counting on a third, but we’re not backing New England at that cost. Consider the spread or the total on betting sites over the moneyline here.

Best Bears vs Patriots Player Props

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Unfortunately, this game comes too early for Massachusetts sports betting fans to legally wager on this game in their home state. However, that should change soon, with the latest information suggesting legal sports betting will launch in Massachusetts by March 2023.

Here are our favorite Bears vs. Patriots player props for today:

Rhamondre Stevenson, Over 15.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Damien Harris is back for the Patriots, forming a 1-2 RB punch against one of the league’s worst defenses against backs. Stevenson and Harris could break out, but picking either is a bit of a coin flip, based on the current lines. 

While we can expect perhaps fewer Stevenson carries with the split backfield, Stevenson is the pass-catching back. He has four receptions in three of the last four games, and between 14 and 28 yards in those contests. Chicago allows about 30 receiving yards per game to RBs; most of that should go to Rhamondre. 

Justin Fields, Over 42.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: -115 at BetMGM

Fields had only 28 and 20 rush yards in Chicago’s opening two games, but he’s figuring out when best to take off. The last four games he had at least 47 rush yards, and last week he had 88 on 12 runs. 

No QB has gone off through the air on this New England defense. Fields may best help his offense by taking off even more than usual. If Chicago is to have a chance, Fields should crush this total by halftime. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.