Chicago is only 2-4 straight up and 2-3-1 against the spread. But only one of their games has been decided by more than eight points. This isn’t a good matchup for the Bears, but the eight points is a lot for a Patriots team with a question mark at QB. 

Zappe, who has led the Patriots to 24, 29 and 38 points, may get replaced by Jones and his 7, 17, 26 point efforts. The Bears defense ranks No. 2 vs. the pass and slows games down with the best of them. Taking the points when it’s more than a TD is the way to go in the 2022 NFL season. 

The Under has been the trend on primetime games this season, and history shows the same when it comes to both these teams under the lights. The Under is 12-3 on betting apps on Monday night games involving either of these teams. 

Now put them together. Regardless of what Zappe has been able to do, each is predicated on the run and a bend-don’t-break defense. Both sides prefer a short game with a running clock, pointing to another Under here.

The Patriots are -365 on the moneyline, meaning it would take a $365 bet on New England to win for a $100 profit. That’s a big price to ask on a 3-3 team with a question mark at quarterback. 

Justin Fields has led Chicago to two road victories in his one-plus seasons. We’re not counting on a third, but we’re not backing New England at that cost. Consider the spread or the total on betting sites over the moneyline here.

Unfortunately, this game comes too early for Massachusetts sports betting fans to legally wager on this game in their home state. However, that should change soon, with the latest information suggesting legal sports betting will launch in Massachusetts by March 2023.

Here are our favorite Bears vs. Patriots player props for today:

Rhamondre Stevenson, Over 15.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Damien Harris is back for the Patriots, forming a 1-2 RB punch against one of the league’s worst defenses against backs. Stevenson and Harris could break out, but picking either is a bit of a coin flip, based on the current lines. 

While we can expect perhaps fewer Stevenson carries with the split backfield, Stevenson is the pass-catching back. He has four receptions in three of the last four games, and between 14 and 28 yards in those contests. Chicago allows about 30 receiving yards per game to RBs; most of that should go to Rhamondre. 

Justin Fields, Over 42.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: -115 at BetMGM

Fields had only 28 and 20 rush yards in Chicago’s opening two games, but he’s figuring out when best to take off. The last four games he had at least 47 rush yards, and last week he had 88 on 12 runs. 

No QB has gone off through the air on this New England defense. Fields may best help his offense by taking off even more than usual. If Chicago is to have a chance, Fields should crush this total by halftime.